List Mgmt. Trade & Free Agency Part 9

Who Will NOT Be Re-Signed?

  • Dylan Grimes

    Votes: 117 82.4%
  • Dion Prestia

    Votes: 2 1.4%
  • Dustin Martin

    Votes: 70 49.3%
  • Jack Ross

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Liam Baker

    Votes: 40 28.2%
  • Maurice Rioli

    Votes: 2 1.4%
  • Sam Naismith

    Votes: 111 78.2%
  • Matthew Coulthard (Rookie)

    Votes: 79 55.6%
  • Thomson Dow

    Votes: 24 16.9%
  • Kamdyn McIntosh

    Votes: 22 15.5%
  • James Trezise (Rookie)

    Votes: 1 0.7%
  • Noah Cumberland

    Votes: 96 67.6%
  • Mate Colina (Cat B Rookie)

    Votes: 99 69.7%
  • Mykelti Lefau (Rookie)

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Seth Campbell (Rookie)

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Steely Green

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Kaleb Smith

    Votes: 4 2.8%
  • Marlion Pickett

    Votes: 27 19.0%
  • Jacob Blight (Rookie)

    Votes: 2 1.4%
  • Campbell Gray (Rookie)

    Votes: 3 2.1%
  • Jack Graham

    Votes: 54 38.0%

  • Total voters
    142
  • Poll closed .

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We should not entertain any ‘cast-off’ mids, no matter what they cost. No Phillips, no Settlefield, no Hobbs and no Tsatas.

We have TT and Hopper as full-time mids. When fit they will 100% play seniors. Then in 2025 at least there’s Prestia, who will also play mid when fit.

Then we want to give midfield minutes to McAuliffe, and I’d want to see Sonsie given an opportunity in there. Then there’s at least 2-3 x draftees who will be mids who I want given midfield minutes.

The Hawks moved on JOM, Shiels and Mitchell to ensure midfield spots were available - and players like Nash, Day, Newcombe and Worpel have thrived with the extra opportunity and responsibility.

If we are 0-12 and the wolves are at Yze’s door, and Yze has the chance to select Draper/FOS/Smith in the midfield, or the more seasoned Settlefield, Phillips or Hobbs, who is he choosing? We need to make sure there’s no option to revert to C-grade midfielders.


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I differ on this. We want to avoid the 2024 scenario, where we had no Taranto, Hopper, Prestia for a stretch all at the same time. Then you are putting McAuliffe into a midfield led by Dow and propped up by Baker, Graham or whoever was available. Next year the likes of Baker and Graham probably won't be available. We don't want to be putting prime 18yo mids into that situation or anything remotely like it.

The Hawks cleaned out Mitchell and O'Meara, but look a bit closer. They have big bodies in there and the youngest is 22yo, not 18-19. When those guys were really young they did have Mitchell and O'Meara.

If we pick up a cast off mature mid(who will obviously be flawed) and Prestia, Hopper, Taranto are all fit, then the new guy probably sits in the VFL. No problem, not like he will be on a massive contract. In the seemingly inevitable scenario 1-2-3 of our mature mids are injured, we need something better than Dow, McAuliffe, Baker, Graham for the new gun(s) to play with. A big strong body with a tank would be helpful for a start.

Yze will be building a team that functions. Not picking his best 4 mids regardless of the mix. We were robbed of all our depth due to cap constraints, but now that is released we can afford to have some mature depth on the list. These are not players we are building a team around. They are players we can call on to fill a role or two when we have absences, to keep the team functioning and stop the finely built youngsters from being thrown to the wolves.

Think Ryan Lester at Brisbane. He has snuck 200 games in meanwhile they have been desperately trying to recruit replacements who keep getting injured, Adams, Payne, Doedee, Gardiner.

I am not sure who the right guys are, but Koschitzke is starting to look like half decent key forward/2nd ruck depth, we tried with Naismith and sadly he did the ACL but we will want another back up first ruck, we are probably ok for key defence depth with Young, Blight. But in the other key area, centre square mids, we need a better depth structure, this year has shown that. We need to be able to play the gun youngsters to advantage and rest them when required, and we need someone with some maturity to be able to cover for Taranto/Hopper/Prestia when they are not fit.
 
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I wonder what his VFL form is like, cant see he is a need though.

Had to check, averaging 27 possessions and 6 tackles a game which is solid. Upgrade on Dow with his ability to rest forward. Still, not a need.
exactly this he is still very young and I back Morris to get more out of him than the drugs
 
Kinnear betson. Someone with a copy of the herald sun could even do better.


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Kinnear Beatson is very good at what he does, not doubting that at all. But he and Wells from Geelong are lauded by all and sundry, yet since 2010, how many flags have their respective clubs won? Swans one, Cats two. And Beatson most certainly gets a huge benefit from being a Northern Academy club recruiter, although they have both plucked some gems from late selections, as have other clubs including ours.
Like I said, they are both good at their jobs but give me Blair Hartley looking after our list with a half decent recruiting team at his behest.
 

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Kinnear Beatson is very good at what he does, not doubting that at all. But he and Wells from Geelong are lauded by all and sundry, yet since 2010, how many flags have their respective clubs won? Swans one, Cats two. And Beatson most certainly gets a huge benefit from being a Northern Academy club recruiter, although they have both plucked some gems from late selections, as have other clubs including ours.
Like I said, they are both good at their jobs but give me Blair Hartley looking after our list with a half decent recruiting team at his behest.
Blair has been great. FJ did a good job too. Clarke left a lot to be desired. Toce doesn't have a lot of picks as the main man but they're looking mostly promising. Not too many recruiters will have a crop of 5 all play first season. Very encouraging for us.
 
We should not entertain any ‘cast-off’ mids, no matter what they cost. No Phillips, no Settlefield, no Hobbs and no Tsatas.

We have TT and Hopper as full-time mids. When fit they will 100% play seniors. Then in 2025 at least there’s Prestia, who will also play mid when fit.

Then we want to give midfield minutes to McAuliffe, and I’d want to see Sonsie given an opportunity in there. Then there’s at least 2-3 x draftees who will be mids who I want given midfield minutes.

The Hawks moved on JOM, Shiels and Mitchell to ensure midfield spots were available - and players like Nash, Day, Newcombe and Worpel have thrived with the extra opportunity and responsibility.

If we are 0-12 and the wolves are at Yze’s door, and Yze has the chance to select Draper/FOS/Smith in the midfield, or the more seasoned Settlefield, Phillips or Hobbs, who is he choosing? We need to make sure there’s no option to revert to C-grade midfielders.


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Surely our club is now wiser and will not pick any 'cast-off' midfielders and are preparing to bring in gun midfielders in this draft.
 
Kinnear betson. Someone with a copy of the herald sun could even do better.


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Ok, list his last 9 years first round picks where he didn't have the benefit of academy priority. In fact, I will happily do it for you:

2023 Will Green(16) Caiden Clearly(24)
2022 Jacob Konstanty(20)
2021 Angus Sheldrick(18)
2020 Logan McDonal(4)
2019 Dylan Stephens(5)
2018 Nil
2017 Matthew Ling(14)
2016 Oliver Florent(11) Will Hayward(21)
2015 Nil


v Richmond

2023 Nil
2022 Nil
2021 Gibcus(9) Brown(17)
2020 Nil
2019 Dow(21)
2018 Collier-Dawkins(20)
2017 Higgins(17) Coleman-Jones(20)
2016 Nil
2015 D Rioli(15)

Richmond took one single pick below pick 15, and it was pick 9. Swans had picks 4, 5, 11, 14 below pick 15.

Richmond had 3 that are either good players(Rioli) or look like being good players(Gibcus, Brown) 2 we got our money back on(Higgins, CCJ) and 2 failures, Dow, RCD, from 7 picks.

Swans from 9 picks have 4 I wouldn't know enough about to make a judgement(Sheldrick, Konstanty, Cleary, Green) 2 big failures(Stephens and Ling) and 3 we know are decent players(McDonald, Florent, Hayward.)

So I would just ask, what is it you think Beatson did better than Clarke with his first round picks? He had way better picks available and barely did better, if at all.
 
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We should not entertain any ‘cast-off’ mids, no matter what they cost. No Phillips, no Settlefield, no Hobbs and no Tsatas.

We have TT and Hopper as full-time mids. When fit they will 100% play seniors. Then in 2025 at least there’s Prestia, who will also play mid when fit.

Then we want to give midfield minutes to McAuliffe, and I’d want to see Sonsie given an opportunity in there. Then there’s at least 2-3 x draftees who will be mids who I want given midfield minutes.

The Hawks moved on JOM, Shiels and Mitchell to ensure midfield spots were available - and players like Nash, Day, Newcombe and Worpel have thrived with the extra opportunity and responsibility.

If we are 0-12 and the wolves are at Yze’s door, and Yze has the chance to select Draper/FOS/Smith in the midfield, or the more seasoned Settlefield, Phillips or Hobbs, who is he choosing? We need to make sure there’s no option to revert to C-grade midfielders.


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What if we want to play them in a different position
 
If Eagles have offered Jack Graham a 4 year deal, please let him go and do not match Richmond.

This is gold for us and the first good thing Matty Clarke has done for us.
We can't match, he's unrestricted.
 
Ok, list his last 9 years first round picks where he didn't have the benefit of academy priority. In fact, I will happily do it for you:

2023 Will Green(16) Caiden Clearly(24)
2022 Jacob Konstanty(20)
2021 Angus Sheldrick(18)
2020 Logan McDonal(4)
2019 Dylan Stephens(5)
2018 Nil
2017 Matthew Ling(14)
2016 Oliver Florent(11) Will Hayward(21)
2015 Nil


v Richmond

2023 Nil
2022 Nil
2021 Gibcus(9) Brown(17)
2020 Nil
2019 Dow(21)
2018 Collier-Dawkins(20)
2017 Higgins(17) Coleman-Jones(20)
2016 Nil
2015 D Rioli(15)

Richmond took one single pick below pick 15, and it was pick 9. Swans had picks 4, 5, 11, 14 below pick 15.

Richmond had 3 that are either good players(Rioli) or look like being good players(Gibcus, Brown) 2 we got our money back on(Higgins, CCJ) and 2 failures, Dow, RCD, from 7 picks.

Swans from 9 picks have 4 I wouldn't know enough about to make a judgement(Sheldrick, Konstanty, Clearly, Green) 2 big failures(Stephens and Ling) and 3 we know are decent players(McDonald, Florent, Hayward.)

So I would just ask, if what is it you think Beatson did better than Clarke with his first round picks? He had way better picks available and barely did better, if at all.
Rioli was FJ. I don't think people are complaining about FJ, dude drafted us a dynasty list. CCJ is a Clarke failure. Blair saved our ass recouping cost. I think most agree Blair is very good at his job.

The 3 you've listed as decent we'd be fapping over if we had them. For instance Gibcus and Brown don't look like being any better than McDonald, Florent & Hayward.

The one thing we do seem to have got right in the Clarke years and impossible to know if it's him or Blair is we traded out of 2020 and even 2022 looks pretty meh but maybe a bit early for me to crow about that.
 
Rioli was FJ. I don't think people are complaining about FJ, dude drafted us a dynasty list. CCJ is a Clarke failure. Blair saved our ass recouping cost. I think most agree Blair is very good at his job.

The 3 you've listed as decent we'd be fapping over if we had them. For instance Gibcus and Brown don't look like being any better than McDonald, Florent & Hayward.

The one thing we do seem to have got right in the Clarke years and impossible to know if it's him or Blair is we traded out of 2020 and even 2022 looks pretty meh but maybe a bit early for me to crow about that.

Even if you just go from the 2016 draft onwards(remembering Clarke was working for us prior to then) you would struggle to say Clarke has done worse than Beatson on a pick for pick basis. Beatson had 2 top 5 picks + 11 and 14. Clarke had 1 single pick under 17.
 
Blair has been great. FJ did a good job too. Clarke left a lot to be desired. Toce doesn't have a lot of picks as the main man but they're looking mostly promising. Not too many recruiters will have a crop of 5 all play first season. Very encouraging for us.
I tell you what though tigs, FJ didn’t get much love on here until we started winning flags. Some of the vitriol directed at him at times was disgraceful. I got to know him a little and always tried to defend him, but that caused a bit of grief in my direction too.
 
Inb4 we should get Will Brodie ffs
 

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I tell you what though tigs, FJ didn’t get much love on here until we started winning flags. Some of the vitriol directed at him at times was disgraceful. I got to know him a little and always tried to defend him, but that caused a bit of grief in my direction too.

Our recruiters get brutalised on here. It is easy to make them look poor by pointing to failures.

But it is easy to refute the criticism by simply putting their total picks up against opposition recruiters total picks. Our guys have had basically zero gifts. Our last priority pick was pick 18 in the 2007 draft. Our last decent father sons are long retired by now 15 years ago in fact.

Our recruiters have done as well as any. They did so well players they recruited like Stengle, Butler, Chol, Markov, Ellis, Conca, Lloyd, Higgins, Coleman-Jones, Soldo who couldn't get a regular game with us were the subject of good offers from other clubs, and had to be released.

As I have written before, if we had simply been a poor side, none of these guys would have been squeezed out, and we'd have had a string of higher picks. Sadly it seems, we had to settle for 3 flags instead.
 
We should get Will Brodie.
 
Even if you just go from the 2016 draft onwards(remembering Clarke was working for us prior to then) you would struggle to say Clarke has done worse than Beatson on a pick for pick basis. Beatson had 2 top 5 picks + 11 and 14. Clarke had 1 single pick under 17.
I get Clarke was with us prior but our picks have notably got worse since then when he had final say over FJ. Also think if you went the opposite way and compared picks after 30 only Kinnear would win by KO in the first round. On the flip side I think FJ would go toe to toe and potentially even win the battle. Just look at the year where we picked up Butler, Short, Castagna, Lambert and Soldo late. I doubt Clarke ends up with as many late hits as that in 7 drafts.

Things can change maybe Campbell becomes an A grade mid from nowhere or 3 of the 2021 crop become stars in time. At the moment I'm seeing some solid role players with maybe Gibcus ending up very good.

I tell you what though tigs, FJ didn’t get much love on here until we started winning flags. Some of the vitriol directed at him at times was disgraceful. I got to know him a little and always tried to defend him, but that caused a bit of grief in my direction too.
Absolutely he got crucified. The guy was a one man band and picked 3 generational talents and a 300 gamer in his first 2 drafts which is crazy. I've even seen in the past Clarke get credited for the premierships, not even sure how that's possible. 🤔
 
Perfect. Another plodder.


I was spewing that we missed this bloke, was exactly what we needed at the time, an inside bull with great hands and excellent defensive skills, has a huge tank running a 6min 32sec 2km trial at the state combine.
He's a natural accumulator and has worked on his outside game and disposal by foot, we'd be mad to not have a crack at him, still only 20yo.

I reckon that the reason we got Hopper was because we missed Hobbs the year before

 
Draft watchers overhype draft kids before they get drafted and then when they go to other clubs those who lauded them manage to disassociate their pre draft hype to their actual performance like they’re two different players. So it’s easy to assume that every other club must be drafting better then us

Case in point with Ben Hobbs who people lost their absolute minds over when we passed on him to now being furious that there’s suggestions we might trade for him in the future

Clarke did a more than adequate job while he was with us and importantly (for me anyway) I think the ranking system the club has is shown to identify talent. Hopefully that means that Toce in conjunction with the continued use of that system will continue to find us AFL players
 
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That is a strong draft, but sort of illustrates the point. Going to the strongest draft of the last decade, and picking the eyes out of the best 12 players from 9-33 and you get a great crop. There’s 13 other players left out, meaning if we had 6 x picks from 9-33 in the strongest recent draft available, ‘odds’ are we’d get 3 of the above list. With a bit of bad luck we could get 2.

And that’s in the strongest and deepest draft in recent history.

In my perfect world we lose Graham and Rioli and retain Bolton and Baker.

My strategy would be to offer GC Rioli, pick #1 and our F3 with us paying a high portion of Rioli’s salary for 3-years.

In return we get 6, 12, 20, 37 and a F1.

GC get pick #1, Lombard (top-10 quality) and Rioli whilst retaining cap space to retain other players.


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Gold coast need picks for several academy stars next year
 
I get Clarke was with us prior but our picks have notably got worse since then when he had final say over FJ. Also think if you went the opposite way and compared picks after 30 only Kinnear would win by KO in the first round. On the flip side I think FJ would go toe to toe and potentially even win the battle. Just look at the year where we picked up Butler, Short, Castagna, Lambert and Soldo late. I doubt Clarke ends up with as many late hits as that in 7 drafts.

Things can change maybe Campbell becomes an A grade mid from nowhere or 3 of the 2021 crop become stars in time. At the moment I'm seeing some solid role players with maybe Gibcus ending up very good.


Absolutely he got crucified. The guy was a one man band and picked 3 generational talents and a 300 gamer in his first 2 drafts which is crazy. I've even seen in the past Clarke get credited for the premierships, not even sure how that's possible. 🤔

This wouldn't be the right comparison, because it would exclude key rd 2 picks Rowbottom for Swans, Balta and Bolton for Tigers.

This is the players of any note Swans have drafted or SSP'd outside the first round of the draft 2016 onwards(excluding academy players):

Darcy Cameron, Fox, McCartin, Amartey, Rowbottom, McInereney, Warner

v Matthew Clarke and Richmond:

Bolton, Graham, Stengle, Balta, Miller, Baker, Ross, Pickett, Ralphsmith, Rioli Jnr, Mansell, Campbell

I have just included the players who are probably established in their club's best 23 right now. A couple like Fox, Campbell, Pickett, Ralphsmith might not be fully established.

But I am ****ed if I can see any knockout blows there. Do you?
 
This wouldn't be the right comparison, because it would exclude key rd 2 picks Rowbottom for Swans, Balta and Bolton for Tigers.

This is the players of any note Swans have drafted or SSP'd outside the first round of the draft 2016 onwards(excluding academy players):

Darcy Cameron, Fox, McCartin, Amartey, Rowbottom, McInereney, Warner

v Matthew Clarke and Richmond:

Bolton, Graham, Stengle, Balta, Miller, Baker, Ross, Pickett, Ralphsmith, Rioli Jnr, Mansell, Campbell

I have just included the players who are probably established in their club's best 23 right now. A couple like Fox, Campbell, Pickett, Ralphsmith might not be fully established.

But I am ****ed if I can see any knockout blows there. Do you?
That 2016 being credited to him is a bit dodgy given what happened. He "took over" after all the work was done. You've also left out McLean and Gulden for them (possibly others as I haven't bothered to check)

Sydney's group has 3 parts of a spine, 2 starting mids and both wings of the top team. Ours has a ton of average plus Balta. Even if you include 2016 I'm still taking the Swans list.

I'm actually not sure they're Beatsons picks. I think hes been their Blair for quite awhile.

Anyway I'm happy Clarke is gone and Toce has come in. I genuinely believe we've upgraded here and time will tell but that's ultimately all that will matter.
 
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