Banter Who will be Better in 2025, Collingwood or Carlton? Part 4

[Pistol Night]

You imagine it started in the 21 century, oh boy.

Have you guys started the 21st century yet?

 

[Arr0w]

I love it how CArr0w's big gotcha moment was 'der her her, you forgot about Tasmania...' when anyone with a half functioning brain would have considered that in line with the number of other possibilities such as other teams folding, the world ending, etc., and deduced that any possibilities in addition to the existing 18 team competition at the time were immaterial to the final result.

But, but, but... 'Tasmania! Gotcha!'.

Yet, you left them out of your dataset, after being challenged many times, then falsely claim you stated as such at the time of posting your theory, but can't provide the evidence

Now you're questioning the level of intelligence of others, because of your ineptitude and lying

Get some help fudge

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

No, it's apparently far too complex for you to get your head around.

And so too for your Carlton brethren.

But I do understand that it's not a scenario you really want to be considering. So I do get that....

You would rather spend your time focusing on how 'next year will finally be the year when everything is different!'

Fudgey lay off the bongs and get back to footy talk. Ur calculations are a pisstake

 

[JustaBattler]

Oh.

So we can't derive a rationale to calculate the probability of a team (any team) not winning a premiership for the next 21 years, because it's not a 'coin toss simulation' (or situation)?

I appreciate it's not a scenario you would like to imagine, but unfortunately for you, your team is well on it's way to making it a reality.

So....

Carlton not winning a flag for the next 21 years:

• It's not 0%
• It's not 100%

It MUST therefore be somewhere inbetween, right?

This is the TLDR version of why what you are trying to argue can't empirically be argued:

Just because an event may or may not happen doesn't mean that one can ascribe "a" probability to it happenning or not happenning....

 

[Robertio]

Have you guys started the 21st century yet?

 

[Scritchyscroony]

Like we wouldn't play finals because we only added Acres in an off season?

The Fadge historian strikes again!

 

[Scritchyscroony]

Even more hilarious - no wins against Essendon

"At least we're not like Carlton or Essendon"

 

[Arr0w]

The Fadge historian strikes again!

You want to have another think about that?

 

[King Tut]

Why should they take away the 95 flag?

No I was being churlish. You almost definitely rorted the cap then too but it was 30 years ago now. If you have to go back to 1987 for your last premiership we’re getting beyond living memory and that’s too cruel even for Blues supporters.

Keep crying me your bitter tears Collingwood boy.

Why would I be bitter? I wasn’t born when most of the Blues success happened and even then Im nearly middle aged. Carlton’s total lack of success for the majority of my life has been heart warming and life affirming

 

[Scritchyscroony]

You want to have another think about that?

No

 

[rye]

When was your last non merger, non academy flag?

when was your last flag?

when was your last flag won without rorting the cap?

when was your last flag won in a professional competition?

the neutral observer would value brisbane's 2024 triumph alone over carltons 16 premierships as a collective.

 

[rye]

29 years and counting.

A 30% probability of the drought extending to 50 years and beyond.

its incredible every year the same carlton posters trot out the same lines that are proven horribly wrong once the season begins

yet they feel validated enough to continue each off season.

our learned friends continue to drift further and further from reality.

 

[Arr0w]

when was your last flag?

Ours was 1995, still waiting for what year you won a non merger/academy flag

when was your last flag won without rorting the cap?

You tell me

when was your last flag won in a professional competition?

What year did the competition become "professional"

the neutral observer would value brisbane's 2024 triumph alone over carltons 16 premierships as a collective.

Sure they would

 

[Carringbush2010]

The real competition is indeed more than just Carlton V dirty birders- it also includes Essendon and Richmond. The only reaon I watch with interest from afar is the tribal rivalry - couldnt care less about flags when none of these teams are invovled in the run. As for other metrics - couldnt care less about participation awards - that is 'just' food for banter.

eg Carlton has been able to pizzon every milestone game Collingwood have ever had - nice to know but really only a banter item.

Anyway pinup boy fundgey has laready previously stated that he doesnt beleive that there is a dirty boird Carlton rivalry - because Carlton has been crap all century - he is more into licking Geelong and Shitney crevices and adoring Brisbane these dayz - shifting goal posts and deflections interalced with disparaging lies about all Carlton supporters being welchers is his go to mana.

Good for you

 

[JustaBattler]

its incredible every year the same carlton posters trot out the same lines that are proven horribly wrong once the season begins

yet they feel validated enough to continue each off season.

our learned friends continue to drift further and further from reality.

Start a Brisbane chest pufery fred mate - I know the dirty birders need help - but calling in vagrants from Fitzroy and pussy city as helpers is just pathetic.

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Start a Brisbane chest pufery fred mate - I know the dirty birders need help - but calling in vagrants from Fitzroy and pussy city as helpers is just pathetic.

Embarrassing stuff from Rye. I can still hear his moans that Neale should have been AA captain over Bont or Cripps permeating through the AA threads

 

[JustaBattler]

It's amazing that any betting agencies are able to ever offer any odds on anything, isn't it?

not treally because all they have to worry about is price and hedging that - you really dont understand even basic asset liablity management algebra do you?

I'll tell you something else that even the tea ladies at the betting agencies know- market makers couldnt care less about "probabilities" probabilities aren't odds just like probabilities aren't odds in a non coin toss market - the price suckers pay for odds thinking that they are probabilities is just the cost of percieved cheap thrills on the way to poor houses.

grow a brain will ya.

 

[JustaBattler]

Embarrassing stuff from Rye. I can still hear his moans that Neale should have been AA captain over Bont or Cripps permeating through the AA threads

ahh a known whiner is he?

 

[Chronz]

Start a Brisbane chest pufery fred mate - I know the dirty birders need help - but calling in vagrants from Fitzroy and pussy city as helpers is just pathetic.

I think all neutrals just hate the Blose because thry get an easier ride in '25 than most bottom 8 teams. I'm surprised they didn't slip in some EDFL sides in there for an even greater leg up.

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

ahh a known whiner is he?

No just a known Carlton troll. He just doesn't make it his sole mission in life like Fudgey.

He's not too bad.

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

I think all neutrals just hate the Blose because thry get an easier ride in '25 than most bottom 8 teams. I'm surprised they didn't slip in some EDFL sides in there for an even greater leg up.

Most Blues fans wouldn't disagree with the easy fixture being a bit laughable.

But what's more laughable is Fadgey and Corn etc saying we're going to finish 15th with one of the easiest fixtures going around

 

[Corn Cobbers]

Most Blues fans wouldn't disagree with the easy fixture being a bit laughable.

But what's more laughable is Fadgey and Corn etc saying we're going to finish 15th with one of the easiest fixtures going around

Could sneak into 14th with that FIX-ture

On SM-A225F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Carringbush2010]

VFA,VFL and AFL history shows Carlton 22 flags and the Pies 17, Blues the most flags since the game started.

Two different competitions

 

[Irish BlueBagger]

No I was being churlish. You almost definitely rorted the cap then too but it was 30 years ago now. If you have to go back to 1987 for your last premiership we’re getting beyond living memory and that’s too cruel even for Blues supporters.

Why would I be bitter? I wasn’t born when most of the Blues success happened and even then Im nearly middle aged. Carlton’s total lack of success for the majority of my life has been heart warming and life affirming

Your three miserable flags since 1958 is life affirming as well. As for the rest of that piece of dribble you constructed, all hearsay and conjecture mate.

 

[Irish BlueBagger]

Two different competitions

Same sport though. Ourselves and Essendon are the actual big two of footy.