- Apr 20, 2006
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- AFL Club
- Carlton
Considering one side won a premiership last year, the other played in a grand final this year and we have been camped down the bottom for 3 years and lost one of our best players in a position we are already weak in, it could just as easily turn out pick 19 and 37 for picks 35 and 36.Your scenario is only taking 1 possible outcome into perspective.
You are basically judging the finish result of this year as the finish result of next year.
I think Adelaide will struggle to win the flag. I think people are undervaluing the contribution of Lever and Cameron to that side. Gibbs will improve their midfield, however their midfield was already dominant this year. So they have strengthened an area people perceived as weak when it wasn't at the expense of defence and forward.
I think Dogs will struggle next year. I think they're a candidate for bottom 6. Let's not forget how they won games out of their arse early this year when they sat at 5-2.
Carlton will improve. I think they could easily finish above the Dogs or no more than 1-2 spot below.
So we could easily have
40 -> 30 this year
24 -> 26 next year
42 -> 33 next year
That is basically saying:
Adelaide 4th
WBD 10th
Carlton 12th
Adelaide and Dogs could quite easily finish below those positions too
I much much much rather take that gamble than the gamble of all 3 sides finishing in the exact same position 2 years in a row
I think last years position is the fairest thing we can go off