List Mgmt. 2021 List Management

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We traded our first round future pick to Adelaide for 2 picks, one which got us Stocker (think around pick 20 or so) and also their future first round.

There’s footage of SOS looking very happy when we got Stocker, which says a lot because SOS doesn’t show much emotion.


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Disagree - I think Cerra showed some great foot skills yesterday - and if he had Harry Charlie Mitch Jack etc as targets he would hit them most of the time


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He hit targets, but wasn't so dangerous going forward, and inside 50.
He kicked 2 points, and his other 22 disposals resulted in a single score.
 
Don't see the issue in allowing Stocker to develop into a primo small defender. I'm not much on extravagant comparisons, but he clearly has the makings of a vastly superior Hodge.

Outlandish statement of the millennium, come on man seriously? Vastly superior version of Hodge 🤣


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I wouldn't touch Cerra. Too big a price to pay. We need to keep flexible in the salary cap for opportunistic plays.

I would keep at it in the draft, and probably try to add at least one pick every season by helping out teams with points etc.

Moneyball for gaps in our list, there are always bargains in the recycled pool eg Lyons. Thus season I would be hunting the Bulldogs VFL list. Plenty of unloved AFL level role players in that lot.

We also need to upgrade in the ruck as a priority, despite very sensibly adding a developing ruck in the midseason draft. Pitto should have a market as a number 2 ruck for someone else. TDK still a couple of seasons away from taking the role full time.

CB
 
Mind exercise.
You have 6-800k to spend any mid in the League who would demand that sort of contract, and it will cost you more than our 1st this year (1st + pick or player).

Is anyone picking Cerra?

No. He's not even the first Fremantle player I'd be picking.
 
Im half half on Cerra. Is he a perfect fit for us if he can increase his disposal count by 5-10 per game? yeah absolutely. Would he be a perfect fit next to a firing Dow and 4th year Walsh? Absolutely. He adds another big body to the contest and absolute class with ball in hand. He's also a good two way runner which helps fill the void that Dow and Crippa leave both being explosive characters more so than endurance athletes.

I don't see the cost being much of an issue, our poor season probably works out perfectly to offer up a pick 5-8 for him. The simple equation is - Is he going to take the next step into becoming an elite mid or remain a solid contributor for a few more years? If its the latter I'd just take the pick to the draft and find our own without the price tag, if the club is certain he will take the next step I see it as an easy decision to pony up the price tag.

We have plenty of players we can move on or trade to accomodate room for Cerra and It's clear to see he is a class above what we've got in the sheds and a step up on plenty of blokes we run out on the field too.
 

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I’m not convinced we have such solid gold midfield stocks, certainly not in the areas where Cerra excels, and certainly not to the depth of the top sides.

I am vastly more bullish on the likes of Dow, Kennedy etc. after the last couple of weeks (Dow especially, it looks like the penny has dropped) but let’s not pretend we have oodles of proven quality outside of Cripps and Walsh.

There’s talent but with unrealised talent comes variability. Let’s say we pick someone great with pick 5-10, and all goes well and within 3-4 years they have the tank/conditioning/experience to be a legit contributor as they enter their prime. Guess what - we just described Cerra, without any variability because we know what his floor and likely trajectory is. I am not sure why he’s being underrated - his first half was brilliant and he’s shown signs all year.

We need an elite rotation running through the midfield and right now we bat very shallow. You throw a ready made player in Cerra who is on the cusp of his prime, with a perfect mix of skills that we require (size, composure, delivery inside 50) and our midfield ascends immediately - in turn helping capitalise on the quality bookends we have up forward & down back. There are things he needs to improve to become an A grader but geez he is on track. For us to win a flag we’ll need more genuine midfield talent than we currently have.

Again I agree on the cost issue. My gut tells me Freo will not be kind at the trade table and we may have to walk away. But I’d absolutely give our first + second (hate giving away a large chunk of draft capital but for a 21yo #5 draft pick who has played 70 games and looked every bit a future gun, it’s worth it) and pay him 600-700k a year.

I actually feel based on what we’ve heard the salary might be OK but Freo will almost certainly demand 2 x 1sts or the equivalent of. That’s probably where we walk away and in all likelihood the deal doesn’t get done, making all this speculation academic...so maybe we should all just jump across to the Phantom Drafts board and figure out who we’re getting.
 
I think a 1st and a 2nd is too much for us to pay, let alone his contract.
Good player certainly, but we have more pressing needs.

I think if the pick is top 5, there will be no need to offer any more, I’d even say, we might get something back, something small but who knows.

$$$$ is obviously important.

I was very happy with Dow’s game, one of his best, he got 22 touches, Cerra got 24 without the fanfare.
 
Mind exercise.
You have 6-800k to spend any mid in the League who would demand that sort of contract, and it will cost you more than our 1st this year (1st + pick or player).

Is anyone picking Cerra?

No, but the media reports aren’t suggesting 6 years at $800,000, the media reports suggested our offer was LESS than $3M over 4 years.

Perhaps a good comparison would be to put a list of names up, of players who are out of contract.

At 6 years for $800,000, no way am I interested.

4 years at $700,000, it’s quite a bit but maybe, I’d like to think, that even that figure is a slight exaggeration.

Freo can beat their chest all they like, if he walks out the door, they aren’t getting a big draft haul, a top 10 pick will get it done.
 
I’m not convinced we have such solid gold midfield stocks, certainly not in the areas where Cerra excels, and certainly not to the depth of the top sides.

I am vastly more bullish on the likes of Dow, Kennedy etc. after the last couple of weeks (Dow especially, it looks like the penny has dropped) but let’s not pretend we have oodles of proven quality outside of Cripps and Walsh.

There’s talent but with unrealised talent comes variability. Let’s say we pick someone great with pick 5-10, and all goes well and within 3-4 years they have the tank/conditioning/experience to be a legit contributor as they enter their prime. Guess what - we just described Cerra, without any variability because we know what his floor and likely trajectory is. I am not sure why he’s being underrated - his first half was brilliant and he’s shown signs all year.

We need an elite rotation running through the midfield and right now we bat very shallow. You throw a ready made player in Cerra who is on the cusp of his prime, with a perfect mix of skills that we require (size, composure, delivery inside 50) and our midfield ascends immediately - in turn helping capitalise on the quality bookends we have up forward & down back. There are things he needs to improve to become an A grader but geez he is on track. For us to win a flag we’ll need more genuine midfield talent than we currently have.

Again I agree on the cost issue. My gut tells me Freo will not be kind at the trade table and we may have to walk away. But I’d absolutely give our first + second (hate giving away a large chunk of draft capital but for a 21yo #5 draft pick who has played 70 games and looked every bit a future gun, it’s worth it) and pay him 600-700k a year.

I actually feel based on what we’ve heard the salary might be OK but Freo will almost certainly demand 2 x 1sts or the equivalent of. That’s probably where we walk away and in all likelihood the deal doesn’t get done, making all this speculation academic...so maybe we should all just jump across to the Phantom Drafts board and figure out who we’re getting.

That’s a pretty fair wrap.
Reckon in the end, the asking price will be to high.
Peter “feather in my cap” Bell has a healthy dose of SMS to make matters worse …
 
I wouldn't touch Cerra. Too big a price to pay. We need to keep flexible in the salary cap for opportunistic plays.

I would keep at it in the draft, and probably try to add at least one pick every season by helping out teams with points etc.

Moneyball for gaps in our list, there are always bargains in the recycled pool eg Lyons. Thus season I would be hunting the Bulldogs VFL list. Plenty of unloved AFL level role players in that lot.

We also need to upgrade in the ruck as a priority, despite very sensibly adding a developing ruck in the midseason draft. Pitto should have a market as a number 2 ruck for someone else. TDK still a couple of seasons away from taking the role full time.

CB
The club will make at least, about 8 changes at season’s end.
There’ll be plenty of cap mobility to snare at least established quality footballer.
 
I’d also chase Miller or Hooper if they remain unsigned, not so high profile but both have grunt and good skills set which we need in the engine room.
I think Cerra too, would be a great addition, long term investment
tough & durable, good skills, especially decision making and ball delivery.
 
At the moment he is providing strong output which allows us to maintain a big body at clearances, even when Cripps rests forward.

Additionally of all our mids, Kennedy is easily the best forward. Great mark, great kick.

Even if all his weaknesses you and others have pointed out are true, he brings enough strengths to the table to make him a net positive...particularly as a great complement to Cripps.
Bringing this here: Best 22 for 2022, please, then your next 10.
 
I told you: we have a lot of other options, so show me where you think Kennedy falls in terms of the top 60% or so of our list. Not really interested in going back and forth without some insight there.
Atm he's best 22 and our 2nd best inside mid. If you think hes outside best 22 then name yours. Nonsensical to do it the othef way round.
 
I think if the pick is top 5, there will be no need to offer any more, I’d even say, we might get something back, something small but who knows.

$$$$ is obviously important.

I was very happy with Dow’s game, one of his best, he got 22 touches, Cerra got 24 without the fanfare.

Dow kicked a goal, had an assist, and 5 other score involvements. Cerra kicked 2 points and had 1 other score involvement. And we won.
Big difference in fanfare.

Carra was pick 5, and has shown to be a good pick, so he's going to cost more than our 1st.
 
No, but the media reports aren’t suggesting 6 years at $800,000, the media reports suggested our offer was LESS than $3M over 4 years.

Perhaps a good comparison would be to put a list of names up, of players who are out of contract.

At 6 years for $800,000, no way am I interested.

4 years at $700,000, it’s quite a bit but maybe, I’d like to think, that even that figure is a slight exaggeration.

Freo can beat their chest all they like, if he walks out the door, they aren’t getting a big draft haul, a top 10 pick will get it done.

It's not that he would be on 800. But if we were to pay him 650-700, that means we can't pick somebody else, who we may prefer. That's the point to the exercise.

And I'm not so interested in who is out of contract, it's about is Cerra the right player for us at the right cost for the long-term?
 

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