Analysis 2024 National Draft

[Aphrodite]

Broadcast Guide - Live Draft ...

1st Round tonight (20th Nov) from 7.00PM
2nd Round tomorrow night (21st Nov) from 7.00PM

FoxFooty (Ch 504)
Kayo
foxfooty.com.au

AFL National Draft Tracker - AFL.com.au

View all the picks as they happen at the AFL National Draft

www.afl.com.au

AFL National Draft Tracker - AFL.com.au

View all the picks as they happen at the AFL National Draft

www.afl.com.au

 

[The Old Dark Navy's]

Don’t think Draper is going top 2

It's interesting to me that a lot of our supporters think Draper is the best bet for us, but nobody has him going top 2. FOS and Smith both have top 2 credentials. Is it purely about pace?

Not a knock on Draper though. I've actually improved my opinion on him and would be happy to have him. I'd be happy to have any of top 6 candidates to be fair. Lots to like.

 

[Foucault1989]

Yeah this "we can't lose" at pick 3 statement that's going around is a bit of a myth. We absolutely can lose and it's a decent possibility. Just hard to tell which is the winner vs the loser at this point. That's why Austin gets paid the big bucks.

In a few years we'll be laughing at these posts struggling to split Draper, Smith, O'Sullivan Langford when xx is a multi-time All Australian and yy is a whipping boy. Hopefully we get xx.

Agree with this. We absolutely need to nail this pick and I think there are busts in the top end of this draft like every draft.

 

[mrkyuss]

which one do you choose if draper is gone

Lalor lol

 

[SurreyBlue]

I feel a player that can play half forward / midfield is the best suited for us currently.
Lalor, Langford and O’Sullivan seem to be the standouts here.
However, as I always say, picking top 30 should always be ‘best available’, no matter list requirements.
This year we might be extremely lucky and have the best available also be the best suited.
Over to the recruiting team but IMO, Langford is still the standout for me. I could be wrong but time will tell.
Just don’t f@#$ it up Austin, we have invested a bit!

 

[swuzzlebubble]

Suspect Richmond would be more interested in pick 38 than Brisbane's future 2nd. Whether that's enough though is the question.

Perhaps the scenario is that Richmond don't take Lalor at 1 and then try to buy back in at 3.

 

[Dunna Heartknee]

Perhaps the scenario is that Richmond don't take Lalor at 1 and then try to buy back in at 3.

If Lalor is there at 3 we'd take him, he's the perfect fit for us.

 

[CrippaTheGoat9]

I feel a player that can play half forward / midfield is the best suited for us currently.
Lalor, Langford and O’Sullivan seem to be the standouts here.
However, as I always say, picking top 30 should always be ‘best available’, no matter list requirements.
This year we might be extremely lucky and have the best available also be the best suited.
Over to the recruiting team but IMO, Langford is still the standout for me. I could be wrong but time will tell.
Just don’t f@#$ it up Austin, we have invested a bit!

Starting to get a feeling that in a few years we will look back and might regret not taking Langford with our pick with all the qualities he brings.

It’s Langford or FOS for me as first choice but I’ll be delighted with whoever we select.

I just want the best player available, we are fortunate that this year that they all fill needs that we need. 3 days to go!!!

 

[swuzzlebubble]

If Lalor is there at 3 we'd take him, he's the perfect fit for us.

Yer but if 6 & 11 are on the table at that point we'd have a think

 

[myblueroan]

Hang on. People are guessing?

Only for the last 100 pages or so.
Nothing to see here.

 

[CrippaTheGoat9]

Yer but if 6 & 11 are on the table at that point we'd have a think

Tigers aren’t offering that for pick 2 so it won’t be on the table

 

[RPCB]

Yer but if 6 & 11 are on the table at that point we'd have a think

The likelihood of Austin drafting exactly the two players you want at 6 and 11 is low. Might as well just use 3.

 

[RPCB]

Only for the last 100 pages or so.
Nothing to see here.

A lot longer than that. BigFooty was created in 1999.

 

[BlueTongue]

Agree with this. We absolutely need to nail this pick and I think there are busts in the top end of this draft like every draft.

Indeed we do.

Just watched Cal on 9 news talking about how North can't trade down from Pick #2 because most clubs want multiple picks in a deep draft.

I initially wanted us to keep 12 & 14 but obviously we have a target in mind #3, so really need to get it right because we gave up a lot to get it.

C'mon Aussie C'mon.

 

[Blue__Balls]

Trading down to say #6 only works if Richmond is keen on a particular player and see value in trading up to 3.

They are virtually in full rebuild mode - and therefore are as likely, if not more than us, to be interested and open to several players such as FOS, Smith, Draper or Langford and happy to choose whoever is available at pick 6.

Yep, well aware, which is why my original outline of this scenario was predicated on Richmond taking a risk/gamble on a) our reported interest in FOS, and b) the complete absence of any suggestion we've met with Lalor.

If they think Lalor might last to three, there's an angle where they draft FOS at 1, then come hard for 3 from us. It's risky, cause if we really like one of Smith/Draper/Langford, or if we'd pounce on Lalor, then they risk missing out. But if they have Lalor and FOS as 1 & 2 on their board, it'd be a viable way to try and get both.

There's a lot of moving parts though. Would NM grab Lalor at 2? Will NM trade from 2 to 4, and if so who do Adelaide take? How have Carlton ranked the top 6 and, more importantly, where have they drawn lines from one tier of player to the next?

Simply put, I don't see any other club with both the picks to offer and the desire to move up to 3. Besidea 3, the top ten picks are owned by 4 clubs. Melbourne and St Kilda's picks are already well-placed for their needs, and if we're willing to swap picks with Adelaide that would signal to them that the trade is probably unnecessary. That leaves Richmond. If they take Lalor at 1 and FOS is still there at 3 then its sounding like we call his name. If it's the other way round, maybe a deal gets done.

Very slim, outside chance that a club outside the top 10 enters the conversation. GWS could try and do 15 and 16 for a top ten pick (via Saints or Dees), then maybe that pick and 21 for 3 becomes an option.

As I've said a few times though, I doubt we move back. It's possible, but I see it as needing a very specific set of circumstances all falling into line. Not impossible, definitely improbable.

 

[SkyhorseTamer]

The videos I like are those that show every time the player touches the ball during a game, clangers and all.

There are heaps of those videos available for all the players mentioned in this thread.

Not just highlights.

80% of the game they aren't touching the ball.

 

[The Return of the Paf]

The likelihood of Austin drafting exactly the two players you want at 6 and 11 is low. Might as well just use 3.

I don't think your logic holds up.

 

[RPCB]

I don't think your logic holds up.

It won’t matter, as pick 3 won’t be traded anyway.

 

[TENACIOUS]

Smillie is going to be a star.

Jealous of whoever gets him. Cripps MK2, with better foot skills.

Just not the type we need.

 

[Stiffler's Dad]

Apparently Voss has recently flown to Adelaide to speak with Draper.

 

[JustaBattler]

80% of the game they aren't touching the ball.

closer to 95% - and that is for a gun player.

 

[GoBlues!]

Smillie is going to be a star.

Jealous of whoever gets him. Cripps MK2, with better foot skills.

Just not the type we need.

I’m thinking the same about Langford T.

 

[swuzzlebubble]

The likelihood of Austin drafting exactly the two players you want at 6 and 11 is low. Might as well just use 3.

Generally with trading down you accept not getting exactly what you want in return for an extra bite of the cherry. I expect we'll stay at 3 anyway.

 

[Foucault1989]

My preference order excluding Lalor and Ashcroft:
1. Draper.
2. Smith.
3. Langford.
4. FOS.

I wouldn't even consider FOS at pick 3. I think he is the most likely to be the bust of the draft. He seems like a very laid back lad compared to the others who are ultimate professionals. He hasn't shown he can accumulate against under 18s and to be honest his highlights are very average.

I feel like a lot of people are just agreeing we should take him because everyone says he is good. Objectively when you watch him play he is a rung below the other contenders who have runs on the board. And I don't want excuses about his broken finger. I just think he is a talented kid without the intensity and drive compared to the others.

Draper had performed against men. He is the real deal.

 

[CrippaTheGoat9]

Apparently Voss has recently flown to Adelaide to speak with Draper.

Vossy has met with all 5 candidates in the past week

 

[Juice030103]

My preference order excluding Lalor and Ashcroft:
1. Draper.
2. Smith.
3. Langford.
4. FOS.

I wouldn't even consider FOS at pick 3. I think he is the most likely to be the bust of the draft. He seems like a very laid back lad compared to the others who are ultimate professionals. He hasn't shown he can accumulate against under 18s and to be honest his highlights are very average.

I feel like a lot of people are just agreeing we should take him because everyone says he is good. Objectively when you watch him play he is a rung below the other contenders who have runs on the board. And I don't want excuses about his broken finger. I just think he is a talented kid without the intensity and drive compared to the others.

Draper had performed against men. He is the real deal.

Draper also the best athlete and pressure mid out of everyone