Analysis 2024 National Draft

Who should Carlton take at Pick 3 if available?


  • Total voters
    209

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Cripps - Can't play another role
Rests forward regularly
Cerra - Capable of playing half back and wing but not to a high standard
Got spelled at wing and HF when his hamstrings were in good nick
Hewett - Can't play another role
Has played in defence for us briefly and is arguably a better shout there than Cerra if we can solve for defensive midfield issues
Walsh - Can play wing but is one of the best mids in the comp at his best.
Originally tore it up early in the AFL on the wing, regularly has had stints coming off HF at the bounce prior to the last 2 years, and still only looks at his best on ball when he gets to free wheel in the corridor with the ball gifted to him.

The writing is on the wall there.
That right there is the root cause of the rotation issues for our mids. Probably why we're targeting a dynamic mid who can push forward in this draft. Ben Campo is another we'll add who can really only excel as an inside mid. We lack flexibility in our midfield, something a team like Collingwood or Sydney do not.
We absolutely need to be more dynamic in midfield, just not sure FOS is the guy to really crack it open, or that we should ignore his lack of production given he was having issues with his fingers, not his legs.

He has so much work to do to become a full-time mid, and even then he might wind up slowing down as he adds mass.
 
We absolutely need to be more dynamic in midfield, just not sure FOS is the guy to really crack it open, or that we should ignore his lack of production given he was having issues with his fingers, not his legs.

He has so much work to do to become a full-time mid, and even then he might wind up slowing down as he adds mass.
As it relates to the thread, nor am I. The 'idea' of FOS is clearly the best fit of anyone in this draft. Smooth moving goal scoring midfielder who can take a grab and is elite by foot... But I haven't seen anywhere near enough to be convinced.

That said I don't have anywhere near the same data or inside knowledge as our recruiting team so who knows maybe he's just been extremely unlucky.

Draper>Lalor>Smith>FOS still my order of preference.

If we were getting the 'finished product' versions of each I'd probably have FOS>Lalor>Draper>Smith
 
Full season highlights for Harvey Langford. These highlights demonstrate what a consistently powerful and prolific season Langford has had, in terms of sheer performance level perhaps only matched by Jagga Smith. Deservedly named joint Larke medalist, and demonstrated his leadership traits in propelling both his Vic Country and Dandenong Stingrays teams to excellent seasons even if they did ultimately fall short of the major trophies. If he can overcome some concerns around his athletic profile, he could end up starring at the next level.

 

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Cripps - Can't play another role
Cerra - Capable of playing half back and wing but not to a high standard
Hewett - Can't play another role
Walsh - Can play wing but is one of the best mids in the comp at his best.

That right there is the root cause of the rotation issues for our mids. Probably why we're targeting a dynamic mid who can push forward in this draft. Ben Campo is another we'll add who can really only excel as an inside mid. We lack flexibility in our midfield, something a team like Collingwood or Sydney do not.
Cuners has done a medical with Sydney!!
 
My 2c - one of Voss biggest bloody weaknesses is exactly this. He doesn't rotate heavy load midfield jobs well at all. It's part of the damn injury issues. He's blinkered with players and the jobs he wants them to do. Thought that was something that was obvious and accepted.

Whether we all agree and get along on the changes and trials we would like to see / could be appropriate etc. That's always going to be discussed though. But they're different things...
Cripps - Can't play another role
Cerra - Capable of playing half back and wing but not to a high standard
Hewett - Can't play another role
Walsh - Can play wing but is one of the best mids in the comp at his best.

That right there is the root cause of the rotation issues for our mids. Probably why we're targeting a dynamic mid who can push forward in this draft. Ben Campo is another we'll add who can really only excel as an inside mid. We lack flexibility in our midfield, something a team like Collingwood or Sydney do not.

100%

Also, this whole idea that teams rotate heaps of players through the midfield is a bit of a myth.

Our issue is more the mix of players we have playing midfield (makes suggestions of putting Walsh on a wing even more absurd), not that we don't have enough players going through there.

Pretty much every team has 4-5 players that get 95% of the cbas. The model is usually 3 main guys who get >60% supported by 2 guys who get 20-40%. Or 4 main guys who get >50% supported by others who attend the odd bounce.
 
I disagree with you on this one.

I am not “adamant” Kemp would be a star mid, but strongly believe he has sufficient key traits to transfer to the middle. He is very good in traffic and has excellent hands in tight. Plenty of less likely players have made the successful transition to the midfield.

Weak through the hips is BS. Not having the body strength to compete with 200cm/100kg key forwards or resting rucks does not equate to “weak in the hips” for a mid.

Fumbles/:makes poor decisions under pressure? Again BS pressure in the middle does not equate to a tsunami of ball heading your way off the back of players up the ground applying little to no pressure, while you are the last line and a perceived failure produces opposition goals. Totally different pressure.

Voss afraid to shift the magnets? Not afraid, but absolutely Voss or other coaches see Kemp as the best option for 2nd tall defender given the list. He is regularly overfaced, has good defensive intent, but is more a ball player than a born defender. I still maintain his best use on our list is as the 3rd tall rebounding defender, but I absolutely believe he should be at least trialled in the engine room and/or on a wing for his sake and for that of the team.
Yeah I don't really agree on any of this bar 'he has traits to transfer to the middle' so I'll just leave it at that.

Kemp's biggest issue for me whether its playing back forward or mid is still his strength. Still youngish but he's got to improve that significantly, just as TDK has over the years.
 
Kemp does not show enough intensity, concentration, and nous in his current role which leads to him being dropped to the VFL. I can’t see those aspects of his game magically increasing when we throw him into the role in the team with the highest level of pressure and scrutiny. If he wants midfield time, he needs to show it by dominating his current role rather the match committee gambling 4 premiership points on helping him to find his best position at AFL level.
 
Cripps - Can't play another role
Cerra - Capable of playing half back and wing but not to a high standard
Hewett - Can't play another role
Walsh - Can play wing but is one of the best mids in the comp at his best.

That right there is the root cause of the rotation issues for our mids. Probably why we're targeting a dynamic mid who can push forward in this draft. Ben Campo is another we'll add who can really only excel as an inside mid. We lack flexibility in our midfield, something a team like Collingwood or Sydney do not.
Wrong
Wrong
Fair
Wrong
 
Full season highlights for Harvey Langford. These highlights demonstrate what a consistently powerful and prolific season Langford has had, in terms of sheer performance level perhaps only matched by Jagga Smith. Deservedly named joint Larke medalist, and demonstrated his leadership traits in propelling both his Vic Country and Dandenong Stingrays teams to excellent seasons even if they did ultimately fall short of the major trophies. If he can overcome some concerns around his athletic profile, he could end up starring at the next level.


I’ll preface my comments by saying I don't really understand the nuances around why clubs rank players where they do and why they think they are a good fit or not. I have enjoyed watching Langford’s highlight packages more than any other potential draftee at our range (by a long way) and based on that I would be more than happy if he was a Carlton player on 20/11.
 

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Full season highlights for Harvey Langford. These highlights demonstrate what a consistently powerful and prolific season Langford has had, in terms of sheer performance level perhaps only matched by Jagga Smith. Deservedly named joint Larke medalist, and demonstrated his leadership traits in propelling both his Vic Country and Dandenong Stingrays teams to excellent seasons even if they did ultimately fall short of the major trophies. If he can overcome some concerns around his athletic profile, he could end up starring at the next level.


There is something about this guy that I just keep coming back too and saying could be the best of the group.
 
Just listened to Cal Twomey on SEN this morning and he said the strong belief talking to clubs is the Tigers deciding between Lalor and FOS for pick 1
l would not discount the Tigers gaining pick 2 to make it a easy decision they get both.
Also makes sense for North to get two top 10 picks also with the quality in the top 10.
 
This is my assessment based of the top 5 guys against attributes needed for a gun mid (worthy of a top 3 pick) and what we as the Blues need:
  • O’Sullivan (FOS)
  • Lalor
  • Smith
  • Langford
  • Draper
Excludes Father Sons - Ashcroft (who apparantly is a cousin of mine - distant)

Keen to get thoughts on whether you would rank attributes differently and also what their defensive running ability is like as I haven’t seen enough game time to judge

FOS
- if we pick him gee I hope this year (low possessions) was a blip due to injuries - I like his skills and his ability to play forward

Lalor - if he is available then grab him - 3rd tall forward who can play as impact midfielder why not. These guys are rare - they win Grand Finals

Smith & Draper - elite small mids but I think with Walsh, Cerra, OHollands, Binns - we got plenty of those types around the contests - Smith & Draper may be better but we need a POD

Langford - I like his elite disposal, that’s his POD to our midfielders, especially moving the ball on quickly with his left foot, he might not have burst speed but he has evasiveness and he has more endurance then Cripps. And he can play forward. If Lalor is gone I would take him next - he could be our next Wayne Johnston (left footed midfield/half forward)

FOSSLJSHLSD
In the game - Possessions881099
Kicking to advantage98898
Handballs to advantage88888
Marking89787
Goals88787
Separation from contests - speed & evasion88989
Tackling88787
Defensive work
Play alt position99797
Endurance98999
Total7574727671
 
This is my assessment based of the top 5 guys against attributes needed for a gun mid (worthy of a top 3 pick) and what we as the Blues need:
  • O’Sullivan (FOS)
  • Lalor
  • Smith
  • Langford
  • Draper
Excludes Father Sons - Ashcroft (who apparantly is a cousin of mine - distant)

Keen to get thoughts on whether you would rank attributes differently and also what their defensive running ability is like as I haven’t seen enough game time to judge

FOS
- if we pick him gee I hope this year (low possessions) was a blip due to injuries - I like his skills and his ability to play forward

Lalor - if he is available then grab him - 3rd tall forward who can play as impact midfielder why not. These guys are rare - they win Grand Finals

Smith & Draper - elite small mids but I think with Walsh, Cerra, OHollands, Binns - we got plenty of those types around the contests - Smith & Draper may be better but we need a POD

Langford - I like his elite disposal, that’s his POD to our midfielders, especially moving the ball on quickly with his left foot, he might not have burst speed but he has evasiveness and he has more endurance then Cripps. And he can play forward. If Lalor is gone I would take him next - he could be our next Wayne Johnston (left footed midfield/half forward)

FOSSLJSHLSD
In the game - Possessions881099
Kicking to advantage98898
Handballs to advantage88888
Marking89787
Goals88787
Separation from contests - speed & evasion88989
Tackling88787
Defensive work
Play alt position99797
Endurance98999
Total7574727671
I think you've got FOS and SL too high in possessions, both should be 7's. Draper should be a 10 in separation from contest or FOS and SL should be 7's, Langford should be lower again. Draper is the best tackler of the lot, should be a 9. Lalor's endurance should probably be a 7. Also what alternative position could Harvey Langford play?
 
FOSSLJSHLSD
In the game - Possessions771099
Kicking to advantage98898
Handballs to advantage88888
Marking89787
Goals88787
Separation from contests - speed & evasion779610
Tackling88789
Defensive work
Play alt position910787
Endurance97999
Total7372727374
My recommended adjustments.
 
I think you've got FOS and SL too high in possessions, both should be 7's. Draper should be a 10 in separation from contest or FOS and SL should be 7's, Langford should be lower again. Draper is the best tackler of the lot, should be a 9. Lalor's endurance should probably be a 7. Also what alternative position could Harvey Langford play?

Harvey Langford appeared to be playing forward at times - he was taking marks in the forward line - and at times on a lead
 
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Langford isn't quick over 20, but once in stride, most players don't get a hold of him and his evasiveness certainly helps in this area

Exceptional hands, vision, disposal, beast overhead and safe shot at goal

What's more impressive, he is already mature beyond his years, knowing his strengths / limitations and working well within his lane

Really is a Dawson clone, what's not to like about this kid
 

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Analysis 2024 National Draft

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