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- Jul 15, 2014
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It seems like it’s becoming a common theme, but Collingwood and Richmond are once again set up for another blockbuster game, with huge ramifications for both teams in regards to a coveted top four position in an ever crowded top eight. The two teams are coming into the game in wildly different forms. For the Magpies, there rejuvenation was short lived, as they were crushed by a stunning Giants side. For the Tigers, there season has come back to life, and have suddenly been thrust into premiership contention.
The last time these two sides met was back in round two. Collingwood dominated for pretty much the whole game, leading in every statistical category. De Goey was excellent for the Magpies, wile Dustin Martin struggled for the Tigers.
Collingwood
It was quite an opportunity wasted for Collingwood. Win against an undermanned Giants side, and the top four is pretty much a certainty. However, the Magpies were blown away by a hurricane in first quarter, with the Giants playing as good as football as any side has played this season. Flynn Appleby struggled against the tall Giants forward line, and the Collingwood midfield once again comes under further criticism, with the midfield really lacking cohesiveness especially on the defensive side of things. Despite a little cameo in the second quarter, Ben Crocker continued to struggle, and as a result was omitted from the side, in what will most likely be his final AFL game. The loss not only brought pressure on the players once again, but the pressure was once again compounded on Nathan Buckley, something he hasn’t really felt since round one of 2018. However, many are questioning whether 2018 was merely a fluke, drawing comparisons to Port Adelaide in 2014, or the Bulldogs in 2016. A win against Richmond can truly silence those critics, and halt any comparisons to those two teams.
The loss really puts the top four position in jeopardy for Collingwood, and a loss this week will most likely end their chances for that spot. If the Magpies are to beat the Tigers, they will need to regain that hunger they had against the Eagles. Last week, too many players looked disinterested, and it clearly showed on the scoreboard. The inside-50 will also be a point of concern for Nathan Buckley, with the team routinely losing the inside-50 count in the past month.
The man to watch for Collingwood is Mason Cox. While Cox is severely out of form, if there is one side he plays well against, it’s the Tigers. Cox averages six marks a game against the Tigers, the most of his against any team. The short Tigers backline presents a big opportunity for Cox to dominate, and kick his season back into the form the team so desperately needs.
Richmond
Tigers supporters have made sure it’s no secret that Richmond’s season is back on track after a midseason derailment. The Tigers are on a four game winning streak, and have finally got a relatively clean slate of injuries. The revival of this Richmond outfit has seen punters flock to the Tigers, with the Tigers the second favorites for the Premiership, second only to Geelong. To add to their luck, Richmond will not leave the MCG for the foreseeable future, a point of contention among many other teams. Richmond are coming off a win against an uninspiring Port Adelaide team, who showed very little fight. Tom Lynch continued to benefit from the return of Jack Reiwoldt, while Dion Prestia was also very good.
A key stat that has shown the revival of Richmond is their ability to get their hands on the football. In their past four matches, the Tigers have won the disposal count by an average of 30 disposals. Last time the Tigers played against Collingwood, they were unable to get their hands on the football, with the Magpies effectively playing keepings off. If the Tigers can continue their disposal form, they will most likely beat Collingwood. To add to this, they have been not only more able to get the ball inside-50, but to also more effectively convert their chances when they get the ball inside-50, converting 31% of their inside-50’s into scores.
The man to watch for Richmond is David Astbury. Astbury is most likely going to take on Mason Cox. While Cox has the ability to garner attention from multiple opposition players, it will be important that Astbury is able to stop Cox’s run at the ball, something which Richmond has failed to do against Cox.
Head to Head odds
Collingwood: $2.45
Tigers: $1.58
Changes
Tigers
No Change
Collingwood
IN
Matthew Scharenberg, Jamie Elliott, Josh Thomas, Josh Daicos
OUT
Ben Crocker (Omitted), Brayden Sier (Injured), James Aish (Injured), Flynn Appleby (Omitted)
TV
Live on Channel Seven, National
Live on Fox Footy, Commercial Free
Radio
Triple M
3AW
ABC
SEN
IPTV
AFL Live Pass
Foxtel Now
WatchAFL
Kayo Sports
The run home…
So, it’s the pointy end of the season, and it’s necessary to see what a loss or win means for Collingwood. The ladder predictor will assume that all the other favorites win.
If Collingwood wins...
Collingwood remains fourth.
If Collingwood loses...
They go down to sixth.
Tip
This game has me conflicted. Richmond fans are very overconfident going into this game, giving me flashbacks to that preliminary final. And while Collingwood has showed good form against the Tigers in their past two outings, they are simply a level below, and will suffer a critical loss.
Tigers by 25.
The last time these two sides met was back in round two. Collingwood dominated for pretty much the whole game, leading in every statistical category. De Goey was excellent for the Magpies, wile Dustin Martin struggled for the Tigers.
Collingwood
It was quite an opportunity wasted for Collingwood. Win against an undermanned Giants side, and the top four is pretty much a certainty. However, the Magpies were blown away by a hurricane in first quarter, with the Giants playing as good as football as any side has played this season. Flynn Appleby struggled against the tall Giants forward line, and the Collingwood midfield once again comes under further criticism, with the midfield really lacking cohesiveness especially on the defensive side of things. Despite a little cameo in the second quarter, Ben Crocker continued to struggle, and as a result was omitted from the side, in what will most likely be his final AFL game. The loss not only brought pressure on the players once again, but the pressure was once again compounded on Nathan Buckley, something he hasn’t really felt since round one of 2018. However, many are questioning whether 2018 was merely a fluke, drawing comparisons to Port Adelaide in 2014, or the Bulldogs in 2016. A win against Richmond can truly silence those critics, and halt any comparisons to those two teams.
The loss really puts the top four position in jeopardy for Collingwood, and a loss this week will most likely end their chances for that spot. If the Magpies are to beat the Tigers, they will need to regain that hunger they had against the Eagles. Last week, too many players looked disinterested, and it clearly showed on the scoreboard. The inside-50 will also be a point of concern for Nathan Buckley, with the team routinely losing the inside-50 count in the past month.
The man to watch for Collingwood is Mason Cox. While Cox is severely out of form, if there is one side he plays well against, it’s the Tigers. Cox averages six marks a game against the Tigers, the most of his against any team. The short Tigers backline presents a big opportunity for Cox to dominate, and kick his season back into the form the team so desperately needs.
Richmond
Tigers supporters have made sure it’s no secret that Richmond’s season is back on track after a midseason derailment. The Tigers are on a four game winning streak, and have finally got a relatively clean slate of injuries. The revival of this Richmond outfit has seen punters flock to the Tigers, with the Tigers the second favorites for the Premiership, second only to Geelong. To add to their luck, Richmond will not leave the MCG for the foreseeable future, a point of contention among many other teams. Richmond are coming off a win against an uninspiring Port Adelaide team, who showed very little fight. Tom Lynch continued to benefit from the return of Jack Reiwoldt, while Dion Prestia was also very good.
A key stat that has shown the revival of Richmond is their ability to get their hands on the football. In their past four matches, the Tigers have won the disposal count by an average of 30 disposals. Last time the Tigers played against Collingwood, they were unable to get their hands on the football, with the Magpies effectively playing keepings off. If the Tigers can continue their disposal form, they will most likely beat Collingwood. To add to this, they have been not only more able to get the ball inside-50, but to also more effectively convert their chances when they get the ball inside-50, converting 31% of their inside-50’s into scores.
The man to watch for Richmond is David Astbury. Astbury is most likely going to take on Mason Cox. While Cox has the ability to garner attention from multiple opposition players, it will be important that Astbury is able to stop Cox’s run at the ball, something which Richmond has failed to do against Cox.
Head to Head odds
Collingwood: $2.45
Tigers: $1.58
Changes
Tigers
No Change
Collingwood
IN
Matthew Scharenberg, Jamie Elliott, Josh Thomas, Josh Daicos
OUT
Ben Crocker (Omitted), Brayden Sier (Injured), James Aish (Injured), Flynn Appleby (Omitted)
TV
Live on Channel Seven, National
Live on Fox Footy, Commercial Free
Radio
Triple M
3AW
ABC
SEN
IPTV
AFL Live Pass
Foxtel Now
WatchAFL
Kayo Sports
The run home…
So, it’s the pointy end of the season, and it’s necessary to see what a loss or win means for Collingwood. The ladder predictor will assume that all the other favorites win.
If Collingwood wins...
Collingwood remains fourth.
If Collingwood loses...
They go down to sixth.
Tip
This game has me conflicted. Richmond fans are very overconfident going into this game, giving me flashbacks to that preliminary final. And while Collingwood has showed good form against the Tigers in their past two outings, they are simply a level below, and will suffer a critical loss.
Tigers by 25.
