Cal Brown is also vulnerable, but he's showing good signs so might keep his spot.
I like Varcoe, but he doesn't seem to be creating space or closing it down as effectively as he has in the past. He was fumbly whenever he got near it as well, so I agree he might be the unlucky one.
Are we all forgetting Greenwood? Can he come out for Elliott and Straight swap Reid for Cox? Or does that leave us one down in defence? I'd think Brown and Wilbur keep their spots.