Draft Watcher Knightmare's 2016 Draft Almanac

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Knightmare, as the draft draws near, how do you see this years crop compate to 2015 and 2014 at the same point. Contentious as they are, I always enjoy it when you 'mash' a list of several drafts - any chance of a top 20 or 30 from you from the past three years based on what you project and what you have seen so far?

I may have done something like this on a previous page? I can't recall.

I may save an exercise such as this for after the draft as they get seem to get so heavily scrutinised that I'd like to spend more time than I've probably got at the moment to put something like that together.

Happy to do it then though if you ask in December/January. post draft.

For the first time Knighmare I have to say no idea lol.

Spoke to a friend at the Pies and he has told me the deal is done and Cloke has ripped up contract saving you $500k.... pick 71.

As for Jong cant Knock back $450-$550 a year at gold Coast 4 years pick 22 is on the table

Hrovat has Carlton,St Kilda,Melbourne,Essendon all ready to deal so pick around mid 20s is a great chance :)

Stevens is a hard one with only Essendon and Richmond keen.

My interest in analysis not news breaking.

Given the speculation that Western Bulldogs are only interested in trading pick 71 and Collingwood seeming from my impression mostly just interested in dumping Cloke. I am happy to give my perspective, given the odds a deal of Cloke for very little will happen.

My stance is, if Collingwood trade that poorly that's their own fault. Salary dump or not (and I don't believe dumping Cloke's salary is a positive in Collingwood's list build at all) the lack of compensation being suggested is beyond poor. Collingwood would benefit from (to make a tragic position less bad) getting creative and at least working a three way trade with Gold Coast involving Lin Jong - get a lesser player as a Sam Day or Trent McKenzie.

Cloke projects in 2017 to have (per 20 games) a 250 disposal, 130 mark (35 contested), 30 goal season and I expect he ongoing maintains numbers around that mark. That is of a clear best 22 standard on any team in the competition. Further to this, given Cloke's career durability, I expect him to also continue playing 20+ games each season. Western Bulldogs are absolutely getting a steal in Cloke, and Collingwood have blundered badly by letting Cloke walk on a team that after Darcy Moore lacks a second AFL standard key forward (unless Ben Reid swings forward which is ill-advised given the lack of footskills and intercept marking the Collingwood back half are able to generate). My expectation with Cloke is that he continues playing (given his father played until the age of 36 and remained productive and durable) until around the age of 35.

Plainly put, Western Bulldogs by getting Cloke are getting a steal, assuming he compliments the clubs front half which is my only question with Stringer, Crameri, Boyd (when forward) and Cloke a beefy front half.

Jong to Gold Coast is expected though I have not heard what the currency will be so I can't confirm/deny your thoughts, other than looking at the deal and thinking "what are Gold Coast thinking?". Gold Coast are substantially overpaying if they agree to trading a pick in the 20s. Jong is able to win it on the inside to an ok-good standard and is an above average athlete, but his kicking is poor his numbers even though at AFL level he plays a lot forward aren't anything mildly resembling midfield-like.

Trading for Cloke, and trading away Hrovat, Jong and Stevens would be excellent trading from a Western Bulldogs perspective, moving three players who don't project as best 22 players in 2017 (due to the sheer quantity of quality midfielders) and adding an established player who projects to be a best 22 player and can add veteran leadership and aid in the development of the likes of Boyd and Stringer. \
 

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New Power rankings too?

Also, with Todd Marshall having a poor back half of the season, where in the draft do you see him going now?

Power rankings ESPN I'm expecting will schedule for Monday. Lots of movement and new names on the list (several who won't feature on any list).

I make mention of where I see Marshall possibly falling in my weekly wrap: While still in the first round mix, he may now slip into the second round depending on how clubs have viewed his finals campaign, and how strongly they feel about Marshall's chances to develop into an AFL-grade key forward.

To give you an updated and specific draft range 10-30 is where Marshall fits now.
 
At this stage do you have a clear no. 1 pick in your opinion knightmare? It would appear there hasn't been a draft where there is so much uncertainty regarding the pick in years.
 
Power rankings ESPN I'm expecting will schedule for Monday. Lots of movement and new names on the list (several who won't feature on any list).

I make mention of where I see Marshall possibly falling in my weekly wrap: While still in the first round mix, he may now slip into the second round depending on how clubs have viewed his finals campaign, and how strongly they feel about Marshall's chances to develop into an AFL-grade key forward.

To give you an updated and specific draft range 10-30 is where Marshall fits now.

Cheers Knightmare. Love and appreciate your work.
 
At this stage do you have a clear no. 1 pick in your opinion knightmare? It would appear there hasn't been a draft where there is so much uncertainty regarding the pick in years.

Most years pick one is clear at this stage.

This year I'm anticipating once trade week is complete for pick one overall to become clear.
 
Most years pick one is clear at this stage.

This year I'm anticipating once trade week is complete for pick one overall to become clear.


IIRC the newspapers back in the day had Cooney, Goddard and Deledio as No. 1 candidates real early on.

Wonder if next year someone pipes up early.
 
Hi Knighmare.

Melbourne doesn't look like being a big player in this draft (first time in a while :$).

We gave our first this year away for the Weideman pick last year, and our second this year looks set for Hibberd from Essendon. Our first live pick this year could be mid-third round.

Have you heard about any players we might be keen on with later picks, and if not, what type of player(s) do you think Melbourne would want to bring into their list via this draft?

Thanks mate.
D16
 
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Hi Knighmare.

Melbourne doesn't look like being a big player in this draft (first time in a while :$).

We gave our first this year away for the Weideman pick last year, and our second this year looks set for Hibberd from Essendon. Our first live pick this year could be mid-third round.

Have you heard about any players we might be keen on with later picks, and if not, what type of player(s) do you think Melbourne would want to bring into their list via this draft?

Thanks mate.
D16
Weid pick came from us

You got the Oliver pick from GC
 
He just lacks that consistency of kicking by fo
First person to name someone who can kick 60m but can't hit a target consistently probably has the comparison, to give him a kicking comparison.
*Although to his credit, his kicking is less bad than he was certainly a year ago.

Matthew Broadbent is your man. Hoofs it 60m regularly, often over the targets head.
 

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Matthew Broadbent is your man. Hoofs it 60m regularly, often over the targets head.

Yeah both Hartlett and broadbent have the ability to pinpoint a spear like 60m pass on one play , then blast away to no one the next. I would say Hartlett is even a worse offender of going from super elite to crap disposal variation within games. Broadbents best kick is behind Hartlett but is generally pretty good and generally hits targets so I wouldn't say he regularly misses. Just too much variation in his best and worst kicking.
 
Hey Knightmare, just wanted to know if you know if there's any truth to the rumour going around that SPS wants to stay in WA or not, and do you think its possible that he lasts til the eagles first pick at #12?
 
Hey Knightmare, just wanted to know if you know if there's any truth to the rumour going around that SPS wants to stay in WA or not, and do you think its possible that he lasts til the eagles first pick at #12?
I ran into SPS after the grand final and had a good chat to him. He's a cracking young bloke and was amazed that someone recognised him in Victoria and would stop him for a chat.
From the chat I had with him he said he would love to come over and play in Melbourne. Didnt say any particular clubs. Would just presume that he would also love to stay in WA. Either way I think whichever club gets him seems to be getting a great young man/player
 
For the first time Knighmare I have to say no idea lol.

Spoke to a friend at the Pies and he has told me the deal is done and Cloke has ripped up contract saving you $500k.... pick 71.

As for Jong cant Knock back $450-$550 a year at gold Coast 4 years pick 22 is on the table

Hrovat has Carlton,St Kilda,Melbourne,Essendon all ready to deal so pick around mid 20s is a great chance :)

Stevens is a hard one with only Essendon and Richmond keen.
For the love of god, please stop
 
For the first time Knighmare I have to say no idea lol.

Spoke to a friend at the Pies and he has told me the deal is done and Cloke has ripped up contract saving you $500k.... pick 71.

As for Jong cant Knock back $450-$550 a year at gold Coast 4 years pick 22 is on the table

Hrovat has Carlton,St Kilda,Melbourne,Essendon all ready to deal so pick around mid 20s is a great chance :)

Stevens is a hard one with only Essendon and Richmond keen.

Pick 22 for Jong???? Many lolzzz
 
Knightmare I value your view on young talent however you are way out here.

Cloke will be 4th rounder, Jong pick in the 20's, Hrovat high 20's or very early 30's and Stevens plus 50
We might get a pick in the 20s for Jong, but only because Gold Coast have them to throw around. Rest will be third round picks at best.
 
Knightmare I value your view on young talent however you are way out here.

Cloke will be 4th rounder, Jong pick in the 20's, Hrovat high 20's or very early 30's and Stevens plus 50


LOL you're the one that is way off, neither Jong or Hrovat will get a pick in the 20's. Stevens doesn't have any trade value
 
hi KM, reports that the lions are interested in Tom Stewart mature age (23) 3rd tall type defender from geelong VFL. i have read a few articles on him and really like the sound of him if we got him cheaply.

what are your thoughts on Tom? open draft/if so range/rookie?
 
I ran into SPS after the grand final and had a good chat to him. He's a cracking young bloke and was amazed that someone recognised him in Victoria and would stop him for a chat.
From the chat I had with him he said he would love to come over and play in Melbourne. Didnt say any particular clubs. Would just presume that he would also love to stay in WA. Either way I think whichever club gets him seems to be getting a great young man/player

I have heard that he would prefer to go to a Melbourne club, and has told the Queensland clubs and Fremantle of that preference.
 
Knightmare ... have had a look , I cant see that you have done much on Cameron Zurhaar . Seems to have a good right foot and has a bit of run playing across the HBL...

I've been waiting for this kid to explode and show his worth. They keep playing him deep in the forward line at championships and the like, I think he has so much more to offer.
I picked him up in the Phantom Mock Draft earlier this year and had high hopes he would lift once he got over his injuries.
 
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