Vic Predict the outcome of the 2018 Victorian State Election

[Jascave]

With Victoria due to go to the polls within a year from now to either a) give Daniel Andrews another 4 years in power; b) a change in government which will mean Matthew Guy becomes the new Premier of Victoria, or c) a hung parliament, gaze into the crystal ball to predict how next year's Victorian election will pan out.


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[Adz]

Liberals will win a very tight race. Hard to ignore the damage he’s caused since becoming leader.

 

[Maggie5]

Labor will win with a majority, Greens to picks seats at the expense of LNP.

 

[Power Raid]

Labor to win


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[TimmeT]

Labor will win with a majority, Greens to picks seats at the expense of LNP.

where?

 

[Benny78]

LNP will win.

Andrews best premier in 30 years I'm tipping he'll get voted out by angry Victorians for cancelling the E/W link contract. They will vote in the party that signed the contract and assured their donors receive their part of the bargain.

 

[pazza]

Labor with a slightly smaller majority in Legislative Assembly and no majority in Legislative Council, as the Greens take some inner suburban seats from both sides.

 

[sportsmaniac89]

Unfortunately I think the ALP will win a second term.

Matthew Guy is about as charismatic as shit and there's enough people in Victoria who are happy to kiss the arse of Dan/Daniel/Whatever his name is Andrews as shown on his Facebook page....just cringeworthy stuff.

 

[skilts]

No,

 

[Jascave]

Labor will win the next election by a smaller margin than in 2014 but enough to retain power.

The problems for the Liberals is if their federal counterparts unveil a very tough budget, it won't do Matthew Guy much good. And then there's the small matter of Guy having dinner with a Mafia Don which could raise its head again during the course of the election campaign.

 

[Power Raid]

I'm surprised people think this will be close

 

[Jascave]

What will be the seats to watch out for on Victorian election night 2018?


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[BEaston]

Labor will shit it in.

 

[pazza]

What will be the seats to watch out for on Victorian election night 2018?


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Need to look at those seats where the Greens have pull..Northcote, Brunswick, Prahran...

 

[Lebbo73]

You have to **** up pretty bad to be turfed after one term in government. Plus, Guy had dinner with an alleged mafia boss. I say alleged because the bloke has never been charged with anything to back up these allegations.
On this basis, fh Andrews wins another term in government!

 

[Upgrayedd]

Labor, possible increase

 

[The Punter]

The only seats the Greens Party can realistically gain are currently held by the government.

 

[Pessimistic]

One election? How about three?

Lab wins. Lib wins. Lib wins.

Then probably lab but I'm not confident that far out. The pattern is set in


Oh and public servants can work towards a potential pay out in five more years, or thirteen whatever suits

 

[Bomberboyokay]

The only seats the Greens Party can realistically gain are currently held by the government.

They took a Liberal seat last time.

 

[Bomberboyokay]

You have to **** up pretty bad to be turfed after one term in government.

Ted Baillieu, Denis Napthine and Campbell Newman like this.

 

[The Punter]

They took a Liberal seat last time.

And that was the only one they could take. With 24.75% of the primary vote.

 

[Pessimistic]

Even the CFA thing is being muddied now. Malcolm taking sides makes them look as bad as the ALP.

its a huge scit fight

 

[Bomberboyokay]

And that was the only one they could take. With 24.75% of the primary vote.

They took a Labor seat too.

 

[The Punter]

They took a Labor seat too.

We were talking about Liberal seats. The only seat that the Liberals have held in recent memory that the Greens Party have the possibility of winning is Prahran, which the Greens Party already now hold.

Any seats the Greens Party gain in 2018 (or before) will be at the expense of the ALP.

 

[aCunningPlan]

From May onwards the Herald Sun's first edition (rural newsstands) will be daily headlines about the CFA and the second edition (suburban newsstands) will be all about Sudanese gangs. Just attack the weakest point over and over again.