I can't believe I ever doubted St. Kilda's genuine quality. To think that I wrote them off before they'd even embarrassed themselves at home with Adelaide, a team without a single win as yet...
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Teams you think will definitely not make the 8
- Thread starter Gavin Excell
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I can't believe I ever doubted St. Kilda's genuine quality. To think that I wrote them off before they'd even embarrassed themselves at home with Adelaide, a team without a single win as yet...
- Apr 28, 2008
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Finals groupings
Certainty:
Hawthorn
Very likely (can only be stopped by horrific injury run):
Geelong
Fremantle
Likely:
Port Adelaide
Sydney
North Melbourne
Essendon
Collingwood
50/50:
West Coast
Unlikely:
Adelaide
Richmond
Very unlikely (need bad luck to befall more likely teams):
Gold Coast
Western Bulldogs
Miracle required:
St Kilda
Carlton
GWS
Melbourne
Brisbane
No chance:
none (few teams not far away though)
Certainty:
Hawthorn
Very likely (can only be stopped by horrific injury run):
Geelong
Fremantle
Likely:
Port Adelaide
Sydney
North Melbourne
Essendon
Collingwood
50/50:
West Coast
Unlikely:
Adelaide
Richmond
Very unlikely (need bad luck to befall more likely teams):
Gold Coast
Western Bulldogs
Miracle required:
St Kilda
Carlton
GWS
Melbourne
Brisbane
No chance:
none (few teams not far away though)
Id wack Geel and Freo in the certainty to play finals.
Bris, Melb and Carl with no chance.
Id add Adel, GC, Syd and Dogs to 50/50.
- Oct 5, 2013
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Falchoon
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- Feb 15, 2002
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- Nov 21, 2010
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Highly Likely top 4/top 8 locks
Hawthorn
Geelong
Strong top 4 chance/highly likely top 8
Essendon
Fremantle
Port Adelaide
Strong top 8 chance/unlikely top 4
Gold Coast
North Melbourne
Collingwood
West Coast
Possible top 8 chance
Sydney
Richmond
Fairly unlikely top 8/possible bottom 4
Western Bulldogs
Adelaide
Next Year
St Kilda
GWS
Melbourne
Carlton
Brisbane
Hawthorn
Geelong
Strong top 4 chance/highly likely top 8
Essendon
Fremantle
Port Adelaide
Strong top 8 chance/unlikely top 4
Gold Coast
North Melbourne
Collingwood
West Coast
Possible top 8 chance
Sydney
Richmond
Fairly unlikely top 8/possible bottom 4
Western Bulldogs
Adelaide
Next Year
St Kilda
GWS
Melbourne
Carlton
Brisbane
Plugger35
Umpiring Expert
- Sep 27, 2008
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And Essendon embarrassed themselves against a less than full strength Freo so what's the difference?
Both our teams are 2-2, you wouldn't want to lose to us this Saturday as that really would be embarrassing.
Donakebab
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Because Adelaide at Etihad is just as daunting as Fremantle in Perth...
- Sep 16, 2006
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Have you seen Adelaides draw?
They could be on a 10 game winning streak when they start finals this year!
Plugger35
Umpiring Expert
- Sep 27, 2008
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Freo were missing 4 of their best players Fyfe, Barlow, Mayne and Walters and a lot of people tipped Essendon to win.
We were flat against Adelaide after playing in warm conditions in Perth the week before, you might struggle this weekend too for similar reasons.
Bailey01
Norm Smith Medallist
Not really we just got a good run from rounds 4-7
Bailey01
Norm Smith Medallist
Certainty:
Hawthorn
Fremantle
Geelong
Likely:
Essendon
Collingwood
North Melbourne
Port Adelaide
Possible:
Sydney
Gold Coast
West Coast
Western Bulldogs
Adelaide
Richmond
Unlikely:
GWS
Carlolton
St Kilda
Brisbane Lions
Melbourne
Hawthorn
Fremantle
Geelong
Likely:
Essendon
Collingwood
North Melbourne
Port Adelaide
Possible:
Sydney
Gold Coast
West Coast
Western Bulldogs
Adelaide
Richmond
Unlikely:
GWS
Carlolton
St Kilda
Brisbane Lions
Melbourne
- Oct 9, 2003
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Still don't get why people are so bullish about the GC. They were just spanked by the best team by 100 points on their home ground. Don't have enough good players to play consistently well to make finals.
- Jun 27, 2013
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Hhhmmmm we have in the next 2 and a half months Carlton and Adelaide at home, Essendon, Melbourne and Gold Coast away, Fremantle and Brisbane home, Collingwood and Port away then Melbourne again. If we happen to get some momentum heading into the bye after the Melbourne away game would we still be an automatic write off?
Bailey01
Norm Smith Medallist
Nah no chance we will beat you
Certainty:
Hawthorn
Fremantle
Geelong
Essendon (unless ASADA take them down)
Likely:
Port Adelaide
North Melbourne
Collingwood
The rest of the league is a mess and I don't know what to think of them.
The following might be better than the footy they are playing.
Sydney
Gold Coast
West Coast
Richmond
The following might be improving.
Western Bulldogs
Adelaide
St Kilda
GWS (maybe)
Melbourne
The following are idiots for sacking their coaches, recruiting second hand players, and/or destabilising their culture.
Carlton
Brisbane Lions
+ Sydney (If I can count them twice)
and maybe Melbourne (but I'd trace that back to when they sacked Bailey for only winning 8 games in 2010 and 2011)
Hawthorn
Fremantle
Geelong
Essendon (unless ASADA take them down)
Likely:
Port Adelaide
North Melbourne
Collingwood
The rest of the league is a mess and I don't know what to think of them.
The following might be better than the footy they are playing.
Sydney
Gold Coast
West Coast
Richmond
The following might be improving.
Western Bulldogs
Adelaide
St Kilda
GWS (maybe)
Melbourne
The following are idiots for sacking their coaches, recruiting second hand players, and/or destabilising their culture.
Carlton
Brisbane Lions
+ Sydney (If I can count them twice)
and maybe Melbourne (but I'd trace that back to when they sacked Bailey for only winning 8 games in 2010 and 2011)
lmach
Naitanui2Yeo
Lamest excuse.
I still think Richmond are a chance, if they kicked straight in the 1st quarter against Brisbane a 100 point flogging was on the cards.
forwardflanker
Cancelled
It's difficult to make any calls about Essendon's mid tier players this early on in the season because they play like April champions every season. The way Fremantle dismantled the possession game must be a real concern though. I know it was at Subiaco but even if the Essendon midfield has improved, I really doubt they have the skill level to implement that style effectively in September.
JHF1870
Premium Platinum
Only thing I disagree with is
I'm not confident on the Roos making the top 4, but they're hardly in the unlikely basket! I'd have thought beating Sydney in Sydney convincingly was a good enough sign of where the roos are at.
- Nov 14, 2010
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agree with all this except would move essendon down one rung
- Apr 16, 2014
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Certainty:
Hawks
Freo
Geelong
Port
Likely:
North Mel
Essendon
Collingwood
Swans
Adelaide
The Rest:
West Coast
Richmond
Bulldogs
GWS
Gold Coast
St Kilda
Brisbane
Carlton
Melbourne
Hawks
Freo
Geelong
Port
Likely:
North Mel
Essendon
Collingwood
Swans
Adelaide
The Rest:
West Coast
Richmond
Bulldogs
GWS
Gold Coast
St Kilda
Brisbane
Carlton
Melbourne
lost two games to teams in the certainty bracket (and forced a team clubs have struggled to beat for the best part of a year to fight for a win).
Touch more than likely at this stage we make it.
We're being talked about as likely top 4. I think top 8 is ours barring a 2013 repeat where we have to be removed
I actually missed the whole game (effing collingwood gf made me come with her to watch Bob Downe!!) However, Essendon clearly mismanaged the whole week naming Fletch and Chapman when they weren't going to play and then getting struck down by a virus and not being able to replace players other than Myers ... then Goddard in the warm up was the final insult. Essendon was missing just as much as Freo and it was on their home patch. However, that doesn't excuse a lame effort ... but illness through the camp does.
Lets hold off judgement on Essendon .. until halfway through August!
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