Prediction The Run Home- The next six Games and beyond

[BallaratBulldog]

I can’t see Freo losing either of their games in Perth.

I have a log jam on 15 and 8 when I did a predictor. Dogs finish in the four.

 

[Snarls Barkley]

They have the hardest draw remaining I think.

Potentially, having to play three top 8 sides. They’d go in favourites for their two home games (probably quite heavy favourites against Geelong). So think they should be fine still.

GWS having us and Brisbane away with Freo at home sandwiched in the middle would be the hardest in my book

 

[X_box_X]

Brisbane's form at the GABBA is indifferent.

The more games they play there, the larger the sample size, and the more apparent it's becoming that they have more lapses in concentration at home this season.

 

[WB_]

Brisbane's form at the GABBA is indifferent.

The more games they play there, the larger the sample size, and the more apparent it's becoming that they have more lapses in concentration at home this season.

Indeed, it's been a fortress for most of the last five years, but a surprising number of losses and close wins there this season. By contrast the away form has been reasonably strong compared to recent years.

 

[X_box_X]

Man oh man, GWS replaced their guru head of fitness with a guru head of fitness.

 

[X_box_X]

Darcy Jones burns Brisbane

 

[ScragCity]

Brisbane are cooked. We are a stew bin for the flag.

 

[X_box_X]

Man, imagine if Collingwood didn't choke last night.

Not only would we only be a minor premiership chance, but the Pies would have been more desperate to beat BL next week.

 

[BallaratBulldog]

I can’t see Freo losing either of their games in Perth.

I stand corrected. Freo

 

[dogwatch]

Why would anyone bother doing a flag predictor more than 1-2 weeks out?

Results are just so ... ummm ... unpredictable!

 

[BEaston]

Why would anyone bother doing a flag predictor more than 1-2 weeks out?

Results are just so ... ummm ... unpredictable!

Boredom. Well at least that's my answer.

 

[BEaston]

Potentially, having to play three top 8 sides. They’d go in favourites for their two home games (probably quite heavy favourites against Geelong). So think they should be fine still.

GWS having us and Brisbane away with Freo at home sandwiched in the middle would be the hardest in my book

Fair point on GWS before this round, but think Freo's is hardest now. Just due to having to play GWS away.

Could see them easily losing the last 3 games to choke a finals spot.

 

[MYOB]

Fair point on GWS before this round, but think Freo's is hardest now. Just due to having to play GWS away.

Could see them easily losing the last 3 games to choke a finals spot.

That would be their last 4 then

 

[FootyLad0]

I stand corrected. Freo

You’d figure people would stop writing off Geelong at this point? It’s been since 2011 that Cats we’re gonna fall off and they are still getting it wrong.

Guys like David King know ****ing nothing about footy.
Just a bunch of buzzwords and constantly change their minds every week.

Also Hodgey picked all other top 7 sides as Premierships threats except Geelong, think someone might be a bit hurt Cats are doing well

 

[BEaston]

If Demons win it would be a pretty good night for us.

 

[Mutt]

You’d figure people would stop wiring off Geelong.

Guys like David King know ****ing nothing about footy.
Just a bunch of buzzwords and constantly change their minds every week.

Also Hodgey picked all other top 7 sides as Premierships threats except Geelong, think someone might be a bit hurt Cats are doing well

Why the but-hurt mate? You should go to the main board if you want a dialogue about how awesome Geelong is. Nobody on here cares.

 

[FootyLad0]

Why the but-hurt mate? You should go to the main board if you want a dialogue about how awesome Geelong is. Nobody on here cares.

Oh I’m just saying, tipsters thought Freo was shoe in.

Doggies will still be major threat in Finals.

 

[bigdog54]

You’d figure people would stop writing off Geelong at this point? It’s been since 2011 that Cats we’re gonna fall off and they are still getting it wrong.

Guys like David King know ****ing nothing about footy.
Just a bunch of buzzwords and constantly change their minds every week.

Also Hodgey picked all other top 7 sides as Premierships threats except Geelong, think someone might be a bit hurt Cats are doing well

Geelong are shit. heck off

 

[maddog37]

You’d figure people would stop writing off Geelong at this point? It’s been since 2011 that Cats we’re gonna fall off and they are still getting it wrong.

Guys like David King know ****ing nothing about footy.
Just a bunch of buzzwords and constantly change their minds every week.

Also Hodgey picked all other top 7 sides as Premierships threats except Geelong, think someone might be a bit hurt Cats are doing well

 

[Optimistic Dog]

Need the pies to be the lions and love to finish 3rd and play the cats at the G. They would lobby for the game to be at their S...hole of a ground but would not happen. Be very confident of going straight in the prelim.

 

[fred cook]

Might be still a chance of the pies to make the eight

 

[Astro_]

Assuming we win all our games, it’s likely going to come down to the last game of the season between Freo v Port to decide whether we finish 4th or 5th.

Most likely Freo will need to win to stay in the 8 and Port will need to win to finish 2nd. Lose and they could be 6th

 

[RWnBluey]

So assuming we win all 3 we need one of these outcomes to finish top 4

Coll to beat Bris
Adel to beat Port
Saints to beat Geel
Ess to beat Bris
WC to beat Geel
Freo to beat Port

 

[Doggy]

Assuming we win all our games, it’s likely going to come down to the last game of the season between Freo v Port to decide whether we finish 4th or 5th.

Most likely Freo will need to win to stay in the 8 and Port will need to win to finish 2nd. Lose and they could be 6th

Squiggle has dogs 4th and Port 5th

AFL predictor has us 7th

 

[Sentinel]

So assuming we win all 3 we need one of these outcomes to finish top 4

Coll to beat Bris
Adel to beat Port
Saints to beat Geel
Ess to beat Bris
WC to beat Geel
Freo to beat Port

By the odds it's more likely that we drop one of our last 3 than not one of these 6 games to go in our favour.

Furthermore, for the Dogs to win all 3 and still miss top 4 would require 9 games (3 of ours, 6 others) to go in a specific direction. It's not likely. How often do you tip all 9 games correctly in a round of football?