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What I learnt from tonight's game: If at first you don't get the free kick, drop the knees a bit further.

While it is worth bearing in mind in certain circumstances (e.g. Swan v Ablett), I think there is a danger in focusing too much on trying to identify which players are going to be rested. Going at this rate, we will pretty soon have ruled out half of the competion (and most upgrade targets)...

Nice work on maintaining this podcast on such a regular basis. Without wanting to be critical, there is just one minor gramatical issue that has bothered me for a while: is the title of the podcast strictly correct, or is it missing an apostrophe? I understood the common use of the figure of...

As someone who went into this season with a Gun/Rookie strategy (14 guns and 8 sub-$250k upgrade targets on the field), your interview articulated a lot of the issues that I experienced with my team from the start. IMO, the Gun/Rookie strategy potentially reduces flexibility compared...

For a great explanation of the advantages of the Mid Price strategy over the Gun/Rookie strategy referred to by Hirdy, or over playing rookies at the start of the season in general, see the interview with skankdanker in the pre-Round 6 episode of the Dream Team Ruined My Life podcast.

True, and I am probably looking at previous years with rose-tinted glasses. But I still recall some good threads appearing last year from NP member discussions (e.g. one on correlations between players in the same team). I am not saying that NP members don't try hard enough, or for that...

This, for mine, appears to have been the single change that resulted in the most significant loss of quality discussion from the main DT board for the masses. When I first discovered BigFooty in 2007, I felt that the discussions on strategy by senior members were invaluable in educating...

IMO this is what currently happens with the new super-threads such as the trade discussion and player comparison threads. As I see it, the problem with these threads is that they attract posters who wish to ask questions, but there is less incentive for attention by the posters who have the...

You are right, of course. I'm not sure where I plucked my number from. Gia's average TOG in the latest Fantasy Freako email suggests that his TOG in round six picked up to 81%. But he scored only 68, which is worrying.

Backing out estimates from the Fantasy Freako email, Gia's TOG for rounds 1-5 (with scores in brackets) appears to have been: 78% (129), 78% (70), 75% (79), 69% (51), 75% (91). Gia is averaging 0.91 points per minute prior to last round which, based on an average of 84 in the first five rounds...

I reckon there is no excuse for misspelling a name as difficult as Gia's - it should cause posters to look up the spelling and ensure that it is accurate!

To be fair to Lakey, the previous poster asserted that Higgins will keep rising to his "true value" of around $400k, suggesting that his average score will be sufficient to reach that price - which, as Lakey pointed out, is not very realistic.

This is a very simplistic statement IMO that ignores proven premiums such as Bowden, Hodge, Carrazzo, Embley and Enright in favour of Gilbert, Burgoyne and Mackie. I think your "back locks" are likely to look very different in round 22 than they do mid-way through round 4. I'm also not sure...

I am a bit annoyed at this criticism, because hindsight makes the decision seem a lot easier. That would be his score in the first game of 79, which was also followed in rounds three and four with scores of 61 and 68. His average in the last two games still ranked third of the other players...

I read this on the AFL website and thought that it rang a bell. As it turns out, McIntosh made similar kinds of comments on 17 May 2008 before the Kangaroos played West Coast. Despite talking up the contest, McIntosh scored 67 compared to Cox's 109. I had McIntosh last year, but even prior to...

Re: O'Keefe wants OUT Shades of Spida Everitt? Mind you, Jarryd Morton (pick 33) doesn't seem like a bad replacement.

Even putting DT aside for Jan Juc’s benefit, I don’t see any reason for Valenti’s omission – unless it is just to put him on as an emergency to be a late-inclusion, which might make sense to Bailey. I remember being impressed with the way Valenti played in his second game, against the Hawks in...

I can't say that I am :) It's a pretty simple statistical analysis that anyone can do, and it does have quite a few limitations. I mentioned it originally because I thought using R2 as a quantitative measure for comparison might be preferable to eyeballing graphs. Below are some results for...

I forgot to mention, the results can also be improved by removing outliers, e.g. removing Chad's 109 v Burgoyne's 37 in Rd 9, 2007, "improves" the relationship to an R squared of 0.0985. It probably depends on your perspective as to whether that is appropriate or not: on one hand, you might be...

Sorry for the essay, but this explains my methodology and results: The first issue was that I had to remove all of the scores where one player played and the other did not, which was easy enough. But it also leads to the question of whether a player's score should be removed prior to...

Well, I ran into a number of issues, which I will explain in the following post, and which is why I used the word "tried" :) The short answer is that if I take the scores over their careers (but remove scores where either player did not play, as explained below), then I get a positive...

Just a suggestion for the No Passengers crew (if it is appropriate in this thread): I note in the Week 12 discussion that you have been considering whether the scores of different players are correlated. I actually tried to do this when I was picking up Peter Burgoyne, to see if his score was...

I just want to say that I am a big fan of FFGenie, but was wondering if, in any future upgrades, there is any way of making it a bit more interactive. I'm not sure what the code allows, but I was thinking something along the lines of a "find" function like in Excel, and being able to change the...

IMO Thornton wasn't worth trading for in the first place, given he had not previously averaged higher than 63.2 for a season, and Riewoldt's form and breakevens prior to Round 7 were such that it was worth waiting until after the round to see how he went. I'm not trying to be smart, because I...

??? On the contrary, Black and Voss did do something, even though they avoided being convicted.

Agreed.

Great call, which articulated a lot of what I have been thinking. Regardless of whether or not the report is accurate, if there is a problem with the club's culture or image, then I hope that it is being dealt with.

I wasn't sure whether the caps were provided by the AFL (to avoid a situation like last year) or by Geelong. If they displayed Geelong's sponsor, then they must have been provided by Geelong (I didn't get a close-up). Either way, full credit to whoever it was to learn from the Eagles'...

IMO Franklin had a bad game against the Roos the week before, but still kicked three goals. But I guess Tredrea's standards this year are so low that three goals is actually something to get excited about. Arrogance: an attitude of superiority manifested in an overbearing manner or in...

From what I've read, Tredrea has pretty much had no impact all season, so I'm trying to figure out what he had to bow about (unless he was bowing out, that is). I can't see what credit he can take from Port being in the Grand Final.