Ford Fairlane
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AFLW 2024 - Round 9 - Indigenous Round - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
List Mgmt. 2024 AFL Draft (Picks 13, 29, 36, 50, 94, 112, 130)
- Thread starter Holden Hillbilly
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PortAdelFC1997
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- Jun 12, 2015
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That is very true. I just don't wanna see Port trade up again and weakening their draft hand even further.
Firstly, highly doubt we'll move up, thankfully we can't do something like what we did with Sinn and cough up a future 2nd cause we traded our future first. We just dont have the currency to move up.
Secondly, we really need to be hitting this draft hard. Ideally I would've taken 5 or 6 picks if we had the list spots but we don't. I think it'd be foolish to give up any more picks in such an even draft.
Secondly, we really need to be hitting this draft hard. Ideally I would've taken 5 or 6 picks if we had the list spots but we don't. I think it'd be foolish to give up any more picks in such an even draft.
I would say Murphy Reid is a very Robbie Gray pick, could be him?
Inside the top 10 or pick 10 specifically and we are trying to do a deal with Richmond? And if we are just trying to get in front of west coast and Richmond are happy to slide back to 13 for a later pick swap then wouldn’t their pick 11 be enough?
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You have to go for it, but how do you think this would realistically happen? In a hypothetical sense, I don't see why any team would give up a top 10 pick to us for cheap when they could get Smilie themselves.
Like 13 + 29 won't get us a top 10 pick. If we are giving away 13, 29 and 36 for a top 10 pick well its foolish to put all eggs in one basket when you've been burnt by the Sinn pick, who btw I still highly rate and hope he has a bright future, but in such a deep draft, I am not convinced thats the smartest move.
FWIW I really like the look of Smilie in our midfield. But I am pouring cold water over this because I am not building up hope of us getting him haha
Surely you don’t need 29 and 36 to move up 3 spots. Especially if it’s Richmond who we are trying to deal with who have picks 10 and 11 and just need to work out who we want and who west coast want and could get who they were after anyway at 13.
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The dynamic that Richmond creates in the first round with all of their picks is an interesting one. They potentially prefer getting 2 out of north to get the best 2 mids, then they can really spread the player type that they are after around with later picks. I could see them taking a tall and small forward as well as a tall and running defender. North want tauru apparently too and both Melbourne and st kilda could look at a tall too. The potential for a top mid to slide to 10 is definitely there, but not realistically to our current pick. I wouldn’t want to give too much away though because we have multiple list needs to fill.
yeah i agree
- May 2, 2017
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I feel like this is an Occam’s Razor situation, in that the simplest explanation is most likely the correct one.
Going hard to move up just three places in the draft order seems a big risk if we’re hoping to nab a potential slider from the projected top 6-8 (e.g. Smilie or Reid) - as we’d need to be certain that all 9 of the selections before us are going to pass on our target, otherwise there’s no point in making the trade.
That would suggest to me that we’re very confident that our guy will be there at pick 10, and they’re likely someone that is almost no chance of going earlier (i.e. we’re only concerned that Richmond or West Coast are interested in them at either pick 10, 11 or 12).
I wouldn’t have thought that Richmond would be willing to deal pick 10 to us if they’re super hot on our target, so I’d say we’re trying to trade up because we’re worried about West Coast taking our guy.
The popular opinion is that West Coast are just about certainties to take Bo Allan at 12 - so I reckon that’s the most logical answer to who we’re after.
Ford Fairlane
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There does appear to be a bit of a gap appearing between the top 10-11 available players and our pick. We're more in the mix of the next bracket. I don't know if we can pull it off, but it would be beneficial to get into that upper group if the cost isn't prohibitive.
Unless we are preparing now but only going to pull the trigger as a live trade
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It would be a sin to mimic our move for Sinn if all we were doing it for was to get Bo Allan imo
Haggas
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I definitely hope not
Depends on whether we are trying to get pick 10 or get a top 10 pick.
Because we don't need the best kick in this draft?
Cleanest, highest iq player in the draft
Who can play high half forward then transition into mid once wines retires. he is a great kick and decision maker
he is harry sheezel in play style.
Absolutely makes no sense to me that people here don't want him haha
The beauty is he could start in the Houston role immediately too
- May 2, 2017
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I’m not necessarily saying that it’s the right move, or that I particularly want us to draft Allan.
I’m just saying it is the most logical explanation as to why we would trade up to 10, especially when our recruiting department has a history of making these kind of moves in the past (e.g. like you said with Sinn a few years ago).
I doubt they’re going hard for a three pick upgrade unless there’s a specific target in mind, otherwise I just don’t see the value in giving up additional draft capital for a marginally better chance at a general slider in what is described as a very even, deep draft. In that case, surely you would just roll the dice that any general slider lasts another three picks to 13, and keep the rest of your draft capital and pick another young player from a highly rated second round.
I could be wrong of course, but it just seems more logical to me (given the context around the draft order, etc)
that Allan is our target.
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