Analysis 2024 National Draft

Who will be our first selection on night 2 of the Draft?


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Not when you’re in the bottom three. They needed to keep adding elite talent until they actually have proof that they’re on the way up.
Their midfield is genuinely stacked. Once again I'd imagine this might turn out to be 6 for Whitlock and 19 and a year of development. Sooner or later you have to back yourself in.
 
We fail to appreciate that Norf are working on expansion club logic, if they stuff it up they'll just get more freebies from head office instead
And trading two years ahead is coming too

Easy to dismiss the future a bit to get what you want now

On first impressions, this trade looks impulsive to say the least and I’m not a fan

However, a bird in the hand theory suggest they got a flexible big along with an emerging elite midfield and backed themselves in

They would also have a handle on next year’s crop in hedging their bets
 
Gawd......Imminent meltdown potentially on the way :cryv1: :laughv1:


The only two issues I have with Smith is the lack of penetration in his kicking and his scope for improvement and development. 2-3 preseasons in the gym may buy him an extra 5m with his kicking, but I think Lalor, FOS & Draper have far greater scope for the development and expansion of their game.
Jagga will probably put on 5+ kgs through pre-season and gain kicking and sprint power as he goes. He's a blank canvas for a gym and sprint program.
They’ve given up a top 5 draft pick next year. Horrible move.
If North are bottom 5 next year, that's a significant failure for that list. I'm not suggesting they'll make the 8, but I wouldn't think they'd want their first rounder to be any higher than 7.

Richmond are a very good chance to be bottom 2.
Overly confident if they think they're finals bound. Gone a bit early on the hope a bit like er did from say 2019 to 2021.
Their list has to climb, and Whitlock was worth that kind of punt. Now the coaches can turn around and tell the team 'the entire football department believes in you, let's start the climb.'
We’re not allowed to trade that F2 without getting another back
Is it possible with AFL dispensation? I've never bothered to dig into the rules far enough.

That kind of flexibility is going to have to open up given next year's rules.
 
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If I've done my sums right...

Worst case for us is a bid on Ben Camporeale with the first live pick (28). Would cost us 488 to match. Can do that easily with pick 40 and 55 (getting pick 60 back), but we might still want to trade out pick 40, and look to trade back in later. If that's the case, we can still match the bid at pick 28 - just. Picks 55, 63, 64 and 67 are worth 489 points. So we'd use them all up, then try to trade back in.

Obviously, the later that bid comes, the better. And there's still a good chance it doesn't come before pick 40, which is ideal.
 
If North are bottom 5 next year, that's a significant failure for that list. I'm not suggesting they'll make the 8, but I wouldn't think they'd want their first rounder to be any higher than 7.

Richmond are a very good chance to be bottom 2.

Their list has to climb, and Whitlock was worth that kind of punt. Now the coaches can turn around and tell the team 'the entire football department believes in you, let's start the climb.'

Is it possible with AFL dispensation? I've never bothered to dig into the rules far enough.

That kind of flexibility is going to have to open up given next year's rules.
Ridiculous move by North. Aside from the deal being in the Tigers favour If they kept their 2nd and not wasted it on Daniel they could have got the tall they need.

Odds on that North will be Bottom 4 yet again.
 

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If I've done my sums right...

Worst case for us is a bid on Ben Camporeale with the first live pick (28). Would cost us 488 to match. Can do that easily with pick 40 and 55 (getting pick 60 back), but we might still want to trade out pick 40, and look to trade back in later. If that's the case, we can still match the bid at pick 28 - just. Picks 55, 63, 64 and 67 are worth 489 points. So we'd use them all up, then try to trade back in.

Obviously, the later that bid comes, the better. And there's still a good chance it doesn't come before pick 40, which is ideal.
It’s a pity that the bids for the Lions didn’t come earlier to wipe out some more of their picks.
They’ve still got 5 picks between 46 and 59.
 
That’s weird, North. Even if they improve, which won’t be enormous improvement, i don’t think you sell your future first. Unless they feel next year’s draft crop is shite.
 

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Analysis 2024 National Draft

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