Toast Hawks made finals in 2024! - Hawks finals discussion

[Bardo State]

What would our % chance of making finals be with:
14 wins
13 wins
12 wins

14 - Almost certainly make it
13 - Very good chance to make it
12 - Almost no chance of making it

Something in the realm of
99%
60%
1%

 

[Hawkk]

I think can only make it on 13 wins if one of our 3 remaining wins is the Giants. Otherwise we will need 14. The Giants game is critical. Dogs winning this weekend against Cats is annoying but Melbourne taking a percentage hammering and the Essendon loss are good.

Giants Port and Essendon remain the three vulnerable sides given their fixtures

And if we're within 10% of any of these teams we have the Tigers and Roos games to make up percentage.

So long as we win any of the next three I think we're a decent shot.

 

[TylerDurden]

It's all about the Giants game.

 

[peetoo]

As of now Looking like jus 5 goals behind Melbourne on percentage

That’s about 30 points, 20 points per 1% season percentage

 

[Strapping Young Lad]

It's all about the Giants game.

Crows will be a good test at home.

 

[Kanga Commando]

Crows will be a good test at home.

Yes
Not that i am a betting man, the bookies have them favourites.

 

[buddy2fernando]

We will win comfortably next week. Especially with Dawson and Rankine out

 

[Roddy]

Hawks haven’t beaten anyone!!

As it stands at the end of this round, we have beaten two top four sides…

Edit: and three top 5 sides.

 

[TylerDurden]

We will win comfortably next week. Especially with Dawson and Rankine out

Would be a huge result. Wont be easy over there.

 

[Cyril says]

Not if we lose to both Adelaide and GWS.

Obvs. But was more saying if we are good enough to beat Carlton then we’ll more likely than not win the rest.

 

[Cyril says]

Hawks haven’t beaten anyone!!

As it stands at the end of this round, we have beaten two top four sides…

And the last two premiers in their premiership years.

We’re good.

 

[H00t]

Given the way Crows, Blues and Giants have been playing we should be winning all 3 and securing our place in finals before the Tigers and North games.

 

[Flukey!]

This might be stating the bleeding obvious amongst fellow Hawk brothers and sisters but we are absolutely good enough to play finals now.

I hope we do.

 

[mustang]

Looking at the ladder, and the way we are playing. Top 4 is certainly not out of the question!

Imagine that

 

[mustang]

I'd settle for a Dons v Hawks Elimination Final rather than a Swans v Hawks (potential flogging) in a Qualifying Final if it got to that.

Imagine the pressure on Essendon against the second youngest squad in the competition

Yes but it gives the kids the experience of two finals, and if we somehow won it bonus, the way it’s going with teams so up and down a team could do a 2016 dogs.

 

[mustang]

And if we're within 10% of any of these teams we have the Tigers and Roos games to make up percentage.

So long as we win any of the next three I think we're a decent shot.

AC will do what he can to make sure we don’t make finals if we need percentages to do it will be the worse game and a massive lockdown.

 

[mustang]

Yes
Not that i am a betting man, the bookies have them favourites.

They have a couple out

 

[Dipper]

Watching Carlton there's no way a win over them is out of the question.

If we win our last 5 games then you'd almost make us flag favourites.

Hawthorn-Brisbane grand final.

 

[Roddy]

And the last two premiers in their premiership years.

We’re good.

And do you want to know what the BEST thing about all this is?

We’ve still got a shit-ton of improvement left in us.

 

[GinniAndTonic]

I honestly think we don’t lose another game in the home and away and we make top 4

 

[Hawk Vision]

I honestly think we don’t lose another game in the home and away and we make top 4

Does 15 wins make the top 4?

 

[Wahooti Fandango]

What's not sure where to post this, but this seemed as good as anywhere.

 

[RX Hawk]

If we play like we played this week we will win all our games irrespective of the location and the opponent. However if we play like we played against Cats we might loose some and not make it to finals. I think kids are hitting the form at the right time and we will make it to finals this year.

 

[The Chad and I]

Ladder is so good tight we could slip into the top four in the last two rounds if we nail 4 more wins.

Momentum building, players like Breust/Gunston refreshed and hitting peak form.

Game plan refined, lessons learned from losses like Geelonh, Sydney, Suns etc

Sydney and Carlton are ahead of us but on our day… anything can happen.

 

[kazzooka]

Yes they canView attachment 2054043

There's 5 games left but you only had us on 14 wins?