Art Vandelay_
TheBrownDog
- Oct 28, 2012
- 107,543
- 149,261
- AFL Club
- Geelong
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- Bushrangers - Tottenham
Needing a margin but playing RossBall.Getting a margin at marvel next week is crucial.
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AFLW 2024 - Round 9 - Indigenous Round - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Needing a margin but playing RossBall.Getting a margin at marvel next week is crucial.
Home final likely
Thanks for that- love it spelled out about now.
Eternal optimist here- but even I know STK have the capacity to upset us (and only us)
As an avid ladder watcher I hope we pulverise them.
Essentially if we win both we cant finish below 2nd unless either gws or port win out and beat our %.
But i think thats unlikely-gws have freo at home but then dogs at ballarat which will be really tough.
If port win tonight they should win the showdown but the freo game is 50-50 away.
In their favour is they play last rnd24 so they will know what margin they have to win by (to get 2nd). But if freo lose next week the port game becomes a final for them (drop both and they could finish 9th) so hopefully that means they beat port.
The key for us is we need to not slip up against the lyon flood and we need to win by at least 30pts next week.
Do that and we keep ports % in reach for the last round.
For once this is actually not trollingHome final likely
I don’t understand why he keeps coming backFor once this is actually not trolling
You are done here.Home final likely
Geelong and % boosters in 2024 - we really haven't capitalised on those often.Essentially if we win both we cant finish below 2nd unless either gws or port win out and beat our %.
But i think thats unlikely-gws have freo at home but then dogs at ballarat which will be really tough.
If port win tonight they should win the showdown but the freo game is 50-50 away.
In their favour is they play last rnd24 so they will know what margin they have to win by (to get 2nd). But if freo lose next week the port game becomes a final for them (drop both and they could finish 9th) so hopefully that means they beat port.
The key for us is we need to not slip up against the lyon flood and we need to win by at least 30pts next week.
Do that and we keep ports % in reach for the last round.
Geelong and % boosters in 2024 - we really haven't capitalised on those often.
If we beat St Kilda by 3 goals and West Coast by 7 goals will that be enough? Based on our season so far that's about what we'd expect.
Don't discount a showdown loss to PA. Adelaide have won the last few showdowns against the odds.Its rough maths but according to the predictor i ran if port win the showdown by about 5 goals and beat freo by about 18 points then we would need to beat st kilda by about 40 pts and eagles by about 50 points (or 30 and 60) to pass them.
If port win by more we need a bigger margin.
So its doable but means we must hit the scoreboard next week.
Will be easier to pass gws as their % is a bit lower (and i expect they lose to dogs in any case)
If Freo beat Port, and Bulldogs beat GWS, will we be guaranteed to finish top 2 if we simply win our last 2 matches? That is possible too.Its rough maths but according to the predictor i ran if port win the showdown by about 5 goals and beat freo by about 18 points then we would need to beat st kilda by about 40 pts and eagles by about 60 points (or 30 and 70) to pass them.
If port win by more we need a bigger margin.
So its doable but means we must hit the scoreboard next week.
Will be easier to pass gws as their % is a bit lower (and i expect they lose to dogs in any case)
I don’t understand why he keeps coming back
If Freo beat Port, and Bulldogs beat GWS, will we be guaranteed to finish top 2 if we simply win our last 2 matches? That is possible too.
If Freo beat Port, and Bulldogs beat GWS, will we be guaranteed to finish top 2 if we simply win our last 2 matches? That is possible too.
I rate port at home but I would also point out that Freo plays Adelaide oval quite well. If you're looking for an upset to tip it's not the worstYes in that scenario we are guaranteed 2nd bc none of port/freo/bris could pass us.
But i am not confident about freo beating port which is why we need % next week.
I rate port at home but I would also point out that Freo plays Adelaide oval quite well. If you're looking for an upset to tip it's not the worst
Tanner out for sure. Not convinced we see SDK next week. They don’t have king so give him another rest. Blitz can go back again and give Stanly another crackWhere are we at next week....lose Bruhn, get SDK?
Ted got head knock so may not be able to come in?Yeah I missed OH.....and agree, would give SDK another week. They'll be anxious to get him back in though.
Rohan in will be a sure thing, and will be interesting to see which way they go with Bruhn's replacement. If I heard correctly both Knevitt and Clohesy went ok today.
And it is last game of year. If hawks win all games Freo won’t be able to make finals even if they win. So maybe no incentive. ShameThe port freo game is at optus not AO.
But freo look out of form to me.
Tanner out for sure. Not convinced we see SDK next week. They don’t have king so give him another rest. Blitz can go back again and give Stanly another crack
What do we do with 2E?
Ted got head knock so may not be able to come in?