This will either please everyone or no one
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AFLW 2024 - Round 3 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
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Like I don't think I've ever seen a current player post a graph of someone's posting frequency by day. We all need to lift.Also gives me a chance to make headway on the 149 page hip hop thread that Dank had.
Only 146 pages to go.
My number one suspect is Fryer Tuck. Let's look at his posting activity trends.
View attachment 333288
This is a crap graph, but you get the idea. We've got spikes from the Tuesday to Wednesday, staying consistent ish for the next day and then ballooning on the Thursday to Friday line before declining again today.
The first jump in his posting stats occurs when both the Seer and Fake seer die on the Wednesday morning.. His slight drop occurs when Brahj, Fith, Brown bottle and the doctor die within the Wednesday night/Thursday morning phases. The Thursday night phase brought about the death of Human Meatball, (The last person who could seer him) and in the morning, BigJoeD_, Noobz0r, Far Kern and Jacknah.
So to sum it up, his posting jumps when someone who can seer him dies, falls when 3 wolf members die, and jumps considerably when the Godfather (seer), and the rocks of the village die (Far_Kern, BigJoeD_). From then until now, he has attempted to assume the role as director of the village, culminating in this very process that has been his undoing in my mind.
When you pair up his rises and declines in postings with events in the game, it becomes clear that he is the Wildcard Wolf. A tl;dr version of this
Posting falls when Brahj, Filth, Brown bottle die.
Posting rises when seers and strong villagers die.
Posting activity isn't everything though, albeit in this case it seems to point really strongly towards FT.
Fryer Tuck's posts have evolved from jokey, to stating the obvious, to leading the village over the game.
I hope others can see the trend here. It goes from him stating what he thinks to stating what the village should think. I think this change in posting correlates with the deaths of the people that could potentially out him and for that reason I'm really convinced he is evil.
As for my second pick, not sure. Want to be in depth so I'll post that soon.