Preview Rd 1 Geelong V Collingwood Fri March 17 2023 740 pm @ MCG

Predicted winner & margin

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supahoops said:
Hard to fathom we are the shortest price team in rd1.

Wonder if we may pull a surprise or two early-

SDK forward
O‘Connor shadowing DeGoey

Also feel they won’t put too much pressure on OHenry and wait until Carlton.
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Not sure Collingwood is the opposition to be trying anything to tricky or surprising, especially in round 1

I'd guess that Collingwood's team will include at least one, if not both of Cox & Cameron, and if both play that means likely seeing at least one 200cm+ guy in their forward line at game. Then you add in McStay at 195cm, Johnson at 193cm & Mihocek at 191cm, and Collingwood have decent height in their forward line

We're already without J. Henry, while news has been quiet on how Kolpdjashnij is recovering from his head clash against Brisbane - all adds to this not being the match to shift our best KPD to the forward line just to throw a surprise

As for De Goey, we don't seem to be a team that plays a dedicated tagger and not sure De Goey is necessarily the guy you tag in Collingwood's midfield - but if we are going to apply extra pressure around stoppages, then surely Atkins is the guy to go with him
 

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Jumping Jack said:
That’s correct. Will miss I’m told.


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
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Pity menegolas knee is still an issue. With no holmes and duncan he could have had the wing for a week (although smith tuohy blitz ans bowes still gives us options there).
 
Another year begins. After the joy of 2022 its hard to believe that even with Joel hanging them up, we might actually have a better list. The Pies will be motivated by the Qualifying final loss that surely stings and we will be be aiming to peak is September not March. I would say the Pies longer break and us with enough injury/availability issues will see the Pies start favorites.

But its the competition for spots in our side that is my wild card. At least 30 into 22 doesnt go. I would have thought our intraclub sessions would have been tougher than either pratice match. I'd say a super conservative approach to injuries with guys being held back if they got a bit sun burnt, will see several guys miss. Team selection will be a nightmare. But guys playing for their spot in the team gets us home.
 
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This will be a tough win if we get it.... and whilst the discussion of motivation is not an issue, we will be missing potentially
Selwood
Hawkins
J Henry
Cameron
Duncan
Holmes

5 of the 6 played in the GF and the one that missed should have bar injury.

its very hard to replace that kind talent and nuance, especially after only playing for sheep stations since Sept 2022.

I want to win every game of course, but it never happens and I can see this one being a step too far this early in 2023.

Of course the naysayers will be back on the too old too slow they've lost it type speak but I reckon the group will respond well overall... just not yet.

Happy to be wrong too

GO Catters
 
catempire said:
Jezza’s kid born midweek plz.
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Should be getting induced this weekend IMO!!! that is next level management and planning haha
 
Phill Hendo said:
Another year begins. After the joy of 2022 its hard to believe that even with Joel hanging them up, we might actually have a better list. The Pies will be motivated by the Qualifying final loss that surely stings and we will be be aiming to peak is September not March. I would say the Pies longer break and us with enough injury/availability issues will see the Pies start favorites.

But its the competition for spots in our side that is my wild card. At least 30 into 22 doesnt go. I would have thought our intraclub sessions would have been tougher than either pratice match. I'd say a super conservative approach to injuries with guys being held back if they got a bit sun burnt, will see several guys miss. Team selection will be a nightmare. But guys playing for their spot in the team gets us home.
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Thanks you just wrote most of my preview.
 
Everyone's wondering how we will fare, will we start the season slow? how will we play?

I think there's also a question around the Pies, they were good last year and came from 17th in 2021 to finish 4th last year and push us all the way in that QF. Will they improve this year? they won a hell of a lot of close games, but there's no doubt there best footy was up there last year.

It's a genuine 50/50 game, i'm 'expecting' to drop this one but won't be bothered at all, as last year after round 9 we were 5-4 and then hit our straps. 2022 was incredible for many reasons and it's bloody awesome to be entering 2023 as the reigning premiers. The great thing about this season is we have another really good shot at it, if we can stay fit, have our blokes humming at the right time, we have arguably the best depth in the comp, we can do it again, it'll be hard but we can do it.
 

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UnitedWarrior93 said:
Everyone's wondering how we will fare, will we start the season slow? how will we play?

I think there's also a question around the Pies, they were good last year and came from 17th in 2021 to finish 4th last year and push us all the way in that QF. Will they improve this year? they won a hell of a lot of close games, but there's no doubt there best footy was up there last year.

It's a genuine 50/50 game, i'm 'expecting' to drop this one but won't be bothered at all, as last year after round 9 we were 5-4 and then hit our straps. 2022 was incredible for many reasons and it's bloody awesome to be entering 2023 as the reigning premiers. The great thing about this season is we have another really good shot at it, if we can stay fit, have our blokes humming at the right time, we have arguably the best depth in the comp, we can do it again, it'll be hard but we can do it.
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I'm expecting a loss in front of a feral Collingwood crowd.
 
Can we get a poll up on the result? To the naked eye 80% are expecting a loss, which would have to be some kind of record over the past 15 years. This is still a Collingwood side that barely eclipsed 100 in percentage last year, played out of their skins in the QF while Geelong had early finals jitters, and have added McStay + T.Mitchell (neither had glorious 2022s).
 
Gavin Excell said:
Geelong are pound for pound simply a better team than Collingwood
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Sure, but we are missing too many pounds, in all likelihood.
Selwood indefinitely.
Hawkins
Henry
Duncan
Cameron.
Hard to select us with that in mind.
 
Vdubs said:
Sure, but we are missing too many pounds, in all likelihood.
Selwood indefinitely.
Hawkins
Henry
Duncan
Cameron.
Hard to select us with that in mind.
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Pies have a few out no?

If Hawkins & Cameron both miss, i think we'd do well if we can get the win, and that would be exciting for the future.
 
From AFL.com.au, mock Rd 1 teams by "staff writers" aka people who obviously didn't watch preseason;


FB: Jed Bews, Sam De Koning, Zach Guthrie
HB: Jake Kolodjashnij, Tom Stewart, Zach Tuohy
C: Isaac Smith, Patrick Dangerfield, Max Holmes
HF: Brad Close, Jeremy Cameron, Brandan Parfitt
FF: Tyson Stengle, Ollie Henry, Gryan Miers
Foll: Rhys Stanley, Cam Guthrie, Tom Atkins
I/C: Mark Blicavs, Mark O'Connor, Jack Bowes, Gary Rohan
EMERG: Esava Ratugolea, Tanner Bruhn, Ollie Dempsey, Jon Ceglar

I will give them a pass on Kolo, because it might only be recently he was ruled out with concussion, but Bruhn has probably been in our top 3 mids in the preseason there is absolutely 0% chance he doesn't play unless he goes and takes a massive shit on Scottys car on match day.
 
Vdubs said:
Sure, but we are missing too many pounds, in all likelihood.
Selwood indefinitely.
Click to expand...
'Indefinitely'?

Ill Be Back Jim Carrey GIF


:D
 
Gavin Excell said:
What's Geelongs record when Hawkins doesn't play
Long thought he is the most important player structurally to the team
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I think it's still a winning record but not as good as when he plays.
Last time we saw him miss was the 2019 PF which we lost.
Totally agree. He's the most important structurally by far.
 
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