Europe War in Ukraine - Thread 3

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Once the Ukrainian offensive starts, I assume that the RF will focus on them and the Ukr forces will start to be hit badly, instead of the cities. Zelensky has said this himself.
What UF need to do is move rapidly and take ground as soon as they can.
Agree. Its hard to hit a moving target.

Ukraines biggest issue will be overcoming the layers of landmines at the front during its offensive. If it gets past them in a quick fashion, l dont see the mobiks and trenches being an issue as they will get swarmed and then it will be a rapid movement after that.

The VKS will try and get involved but they will lose a sh!tload of aircraft doing so.
 
Maybe its an ISR issue. I doubt Russia has 24/7 satellite coverage over Ukraine. Cities do not move, weapons, ammo etc can & do. NATO ISR tells Ukraine where the Russian fuel/ammo dumps and command posts are, Russia may well have little idea about where Ukrainian dumps and bases are.
HIMARS strikes on Russian forward command centres a factor in their intel and strike capacity I'd say
 
Agree. Its hard to hit a moving target.

Ukraines biggest issue will be overcoming the layers of landmines at the front during its offensive. If it gets past them in a quick fashion, l dont see the mobiks and trenches being an issue as they will get swarmed and then it will be a rapid movement after that.

The VKS will try and get involved but they will lose a sh!tload of aircraft doing so.

The recent military aid package from the United States to Ukraine included equipment specifically designed for mine warfare, including mine rollers, Mine Resistant Ambush Protected Vehicles (MRAPs), and demolition equipment for obstacle clearing. These systems are indicative of an issue that Ukraine will face as the war continues – landmines. Although, landmines have been used throughout the conflict, Russian mine usage will likely escalate as they try to halt the Ukrainian counter-offensive.

The military aid package will provide some of the necessary assets for the Ukrainians to counter the Russian minefields. In particular, the mine rollers, are to be used on the Stryker armored fighting vehicles that are also included in the aid package. These mine rollers would allow Ukrainian forces to clear a path through a minefield. Meanwhile, the MRAPs will allow the Ukrainians to protect their soldiers as they move through mined areas. While an MRAP would still be disabled by most anti-tank mines, the passengers would remain safe. Though the press release did not provide details about the “demolition equipment for obstacle clearing,” this equipment is likely aimed towards clearing minefields as well.



 
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This is hilarious. Russian legion fighting in Russia and the governor of Belgorod going behind Putin's back to discuss the fate of POW's.





To add insult to injury, Russia's great army is using incendiary ammunition against its own citizens in the area as well. Obviously don't give a sh!t about their own people, yet the sheep will keep on toeing the party line....



 
According to this post from Denys Davydov, well ... just read it ... dunno whether to lol or throw my hands in the air :



In case you can't render a TG embed :
BPR (Belgorod People’s Republic)- situation: it is reported that now 4 settlements of the Russian Federation are under the control of the RVK and the Legion
The Kremlin does not control these territories. There are battles for Moore, Nekhotevka, Zibrovka, Arkhangelskoye, Novaya Tavolzhanka, Shchebekino, Rzhevka, Nezhgolsk and Voznesenovka.


The map shows the region around Shevekino, Belgorod (city) would be just above the pineapple watermark on the top-left.

~ ~ ~

And ... this. Wow. Meeting for prisoner handover fell through. Again: wow.

The entire United Russia government, represented by Governor Gladkov, was scared to meet and sit out in cozy offices, leaving their people in our captivity. Now we have finally understood how rotten and cowardly the authorities are at the helm, it is pointless to communicate with them. As they say, "scoundrels and scoundrels." We transfer the prisoners to the exchange fund of the Ukrainian side.
 
It's becoming clear Russia has put all their resources into Ukraine and there is nothing left to protect their own border.

I think I remember reading the FSB are being used to battle RVK. The FSB is more about suppressing their own Russian population and will not be effective in military combat.

Edit: I wonder what effect this is having of people who are having rebellious thoughts in Russia and Belarus but were reluctant to act because of the belief the Russian army/FSB will be too powerful and be able to stop them.
 

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Tensions between Wagner and the Russian army are at boiling point apparently they've taken a Army colonel prisoner.



So the infighting has now become public. Not only that but taking the commander of the 72nd Brigade of the Russian Army, beating him up and humiliating him.

Another embarrassment for Putin, Shoigu and their minions. If they weren't cowards, they wouldn't tolerate this and would act on Wagner. But lucky for us they are, and let more of this demoralisation continue!
 
Tensions between Wagner and the Russian army are at boiling point apparently they've taken a Army colonel prisoner.






Proves the old adage, there is no honour among thieves. With Russian lands being 'invaded' by freedom fighters, drone attacks on the Kremlin, invincible missiles shot down and a nasty counter offensive about to begin, there just so much winning for Mr P. Hopefully there are some separatists' groups in the distant republics who can leverage the chaos. This is where I thought the first fractures in the RF would show, but instead it's begun in the centre, amongst the elites.
 
Tensions between Wagner and the Russian army are at boiling point apparently they've taken a Army colonel prisoner.






Prigozhin taking hostages. The Russian army laying traps to kill the Wagner forces and shooting at them. While there have been rumours in the past Prigozhin revealed positions of the Russian armed forces.

If this is true, then surely Prigozhin would be asking himself if he can return to Russia and expect things to be normal. Can he really trust Putin and Shoigu to not offer him some polonium tea or show him a magnificent view from a 10 storey building?
 
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Prigozhin taking hostages. The Russian army laying traps to kill the Wagner forces and shooting at them. While there have been rumours in the past Prigozhin revealed positions of the Russian armed forces.

If this is true, then surely Prigozhin would be asking himself if he can return to Russia and expect things to be normal. Can he really trust Putin and Shoigu to not offer him some polonium tea or show him a magnificent view from a 10 storey building?
Shiogu and Prighozhin won't be sharing each others' movements with each other. Both would love for the other to be hit by some friendly fire, or a HIMARS attack from the UAF.

The more I hear about Russia repulsing attacks, the more I'll be convinced they're advancing.
 
These two alleged translations were posted in Alexander Khodakovsky TG channel, suggesting Western tanks are being used in 2 sites in the east.

"The situation near Vuhledar, where the enemy started a new attempt to break through at night, is quite difficult, the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, with the support of armored vehicles, are trying to shake up our defenses and are stepping up efforts. It is reported about the appearance in this direction of western tanks."

"The enemy is making attempts to push through the defenses of the Russian army in the areas of Novodonetsk and to the left of Velikonovoselovka, the situation there is really difficult. According to Khodakovsky, the enemy has found weaknesses in the defense and is now stepping up efforts to finally break through it, introducing reserves and new armored vehicles. It is reported that German "Leopards" have already appeared on this sector of the front."
 
There was a rally of sorts demanding release of Navalnyy with some picketting, based on his birthday - in a few towns. Of course basically everyone got detained and even TV stations attending to report on the events had members got arrested.
 
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