- Jul 5, 2012
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A desperate Look Over There in light of Morrison’s multiple ministries?
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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
2022 Victorian State Election-November 26
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Funny that all we got from journalists - including The Age - was how we were going to have a hung parliament.
Looks like Bass (the final seat in balance) will fall to Labor too. 56 seats if that is the case.
Remarkable.
Something deserving investigation is why outer Eastern suburbs didn't see similar swings as outer North and Western suburbs
Places like Sydenham, Broady, Greenvale, Mill Park, Thomastown, Yan Yean and St Albans saw 8-15% swings against Labor
Yet suburbs that I assume have similar demographics, not identical but similar, didn't see equivalent swings. Cranbourne, Pakenham, Dandenong, Narre Warren etc.
On track for 56 seats then? That would be a better result than the Danslide.
Not sure of the racial demographics of those areas in the North and NW, but the SE have a LOT of Indians & Sri Lankans who, apparently, were well in favour of the lockdown measures. Maybe that made a difference, I don't know.
Access and provision of services.
The pandemic slowed down public works builds, and this hit the North/West.
Likewise, the pandemic hit hardest in the West, so there will be greater negative sentiment within those communities.
Apropos of nothing, as an alternative to some of the ugly goings-on at various booths, I would like to relate this story.
I live in Pakky but work in Eltham. A few days before the election I had to pop into Eltham Bunnings for something. I decided to use the front carkpark rather than the underground one in order to save time, but as I approached I could see there were no spaces left. I was not aware that over the road there was pre-poll voting going on, which accounted for the carpark being full. I missed the turnoff for the underground so parked at the Maccas and walked down (about 100m). As I was approaching the pedestrian lights to cross the road the heavens opened and I was left standing there, like a drowned rat, for lights that seemed to take forever to change.
The next thing I know a woman appears beside me holding an umbrella over me. I recognised her from placards around the suburb - it was Vicki Ward, the Labor candidate for Eltham. I thanked her and wished her well. I tried to explain that, although a Labor voter I was from a different area but she cut me off. "Let's not worry about politics, let's just keep you dry". The lights changed and, with the rain still tumbling, she walked me over to the Bunnings entrance.
Yeah, okay, she wasn't waiting for me when I left and the rain was continuing, but still....
I live in Pakky but work in Eltham. A few days before the election I had to pop into Eltham Bunnings for something. I decided to use the front carkpark rather than the underground one in order to save time, but as I approached I could see there were no spaces left. I was not aware that over the road there was pre-poll voting going on, which accounted for the carpark being full. I missed the turnoff for the underground so parked at the Maccas and walked down (about 100m). As I was approaching the pedestrian lights to cross the road the heavens opened and I was left standing there, like a drowned rat, for lights that seemed to take forever to change.
The next thing I know a woman appears beside me holding an umbrella over me. I recognised her from placards around the suburb - it was Vicki Ward, the Labor candidate for Eltham. I thanked her and wished her well. I tried to explain that, although a Labor voter I was from a different area but she cut me off. "Let's not worry about politics, let's just keep you dry". The lights changed and, with the rain still tumbling, she walked me over to the Bunnings entrance.
Yeah, okay, she wasn't waiting for me when I left and the rain was continuing, but still....
According to my rough calcs the other day...
there are about 45 seats within 30km of Melbourne.
13 that are within 10km and 30-35 between 10-30km- the middle ring.
Liberal won 8 of ~45.
4 inner seats of 13, and 4 middle ring seats from 30-35
They've become the party of the super rich and the rural.
there are about 45 seats within 30km of Melbourne.
13 that are within 10km and 30-35 between 10-30km- the middle ring.
Liberal won 8 of ~45.
4 inner seats of 13, and 4 middle ring seats from 30-35
They've become the party of the super rich and the rural.
- Jul 5, 2012
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Good riddance. Only have themselves to blame anyway. Australians deserve better and demand it.
Similar to the Republicans, but Australia has mandatory voting, so voter suppression tactics are less likely to be successful and non-political/partially independent process for seat redistributions, so you can't gerrymander your way to victory very easily either.
Thus if they continue to take their marching orders from figures behind the rightwing US machine, it is plausible of sinking into permanent opposition in at least some states.
Who knew the Coalition hasn't won a federal election in Victoria since 1996?!
This means Labor has won 15 of the past 16 elections in Victoria
Any Victorian 43 or younger has only voted in a maximum of 1 election that the Coalition won in Victoria
This means Labor has won 15 of the past 16 elections in Victoria
Any Victorian 43 or younger has only voted in a maximum of 1 election that the Coalition won in Victoria
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Gralin
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Andrews still privatises state assets, they let companies propose works to them, he funds cops like a right wing US state, though you can definitely get left wing authoritarianism.
He's certainly not actually a lefty on climate change when he's outlawing peaceful protest and approving more gas projects.
He likes the progressive moniker and he does do more social welfare than most but it's reputation winning more than real work most of the time when you get to the neoliberal fine print.
- Nov 10, 2022
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The red connects again
Must admit I'm surprised if it stays this way, as a Pakenham local a couple of things I look forward to ....
The local crime theft and racism page melting down (LOL), and even better
Monica Smit streaming more hostage type videos from the car on Main St
Community Facebook pages should be declared proscribed organisations.Must admit I'm surprised if it stays this way, as a Pakenham local a couple of things I look forward to ....
The local crime theft and racism page melting down (LOL), and even better
Monica Smit streaming more hostage type videos from the car on Main St
More hate speech than a Freedom Party telegram chat.
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You mentioned the flu, omricon is like the flu you said ….Well Flu vaccines have been mandatory for years, for health care workers.
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Even after 3% 2PP swing, the pendulum for next time is still dire for the Liberals.
Even if they knock things down further to 51-49 or 50-50 2PP in 2026, there aren't many seats that would be certainties to fall - and most of those under 5% margin will get an extra ALP boost from new/loss of incumbents so could hold.
Of all the big swings they got in N/W Melbourne this time, Melton is still the most likely. Yan Yean (will get a boost from new MP) and maybe Sunbury if they do really well.
To take Labor into minority, even with a significant cohort of Greens, they probably need to push things toward 48-52 2PP where seats start to fall en-masse.
Even if they knock things down further to 51-49 or 50-50 2PP in 2026, there aren't many seats that would be certainties to fall - and most of those under 5% margin will get an extra ALP boost from new/loss of incumbents so could hold.
Of all the big swings they got in N/W Melbourne this time, Melton is still the most likely. Yan Yean (will get a boost from new MP) and maybe Sunbury if they do really well.
To take Labor into minority, even with a significant cohort of Greens, they probably need to push things toward 48-52 2PP where seats start to fall en-masse.
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- Nov 10, 2022
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Qld has had almost no coalition govts since sir Joh.
Imagine if they started replicating that vote federally?
Imagine if they started replicating that vote federally?
- Nov 10, 2022
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Their leader if he lasts could easily be given the fryzo treatment.
Here in hawthorn/Kooyong we are loving that our votes can actually count these days
If ALP had put up a decent candidate and made even a token effort in the seat it probably would have held.
They finished ahead of the Teal as it is.
My brother ( Labor member) has met Peter dutton a few times and reckons he is a really decent man who would give you the shirt off his back.....
What is your point?
