Autopsy AFL 2023 Round 20 - Collingwood v Carlton Fri July 28th 7:50pm EST (MCG)

[Corn Cobbers]

Just saw a magpie with a broken wing which is a really bad omen



Eg in 2011 I saw a bunch of magpies attacking an injured magpie two days before the GF, and in 2018 I tried to take a selfie with a magpie on GF eve and it attacked me

Not good

 

[JyeDye]

Just saw a magpie with a broken wing which is a really bad omen

View attachment 1755120

Eg in 2011 I saw a bunch of magpies attacking an injured magpie two days before the GF, and in 2018 I tried to take a selfie with a magpie on GF eve and it attacked me

Not good

You are a true nuffie. Love it!

 

[Corn Cobbers]

You are a true nuffie. Love it!

If we make the GF, I'll have to stay indoors all week, blinds down

 

[Cripps 'n' Blue Bloods]

Just saw a magpie with a broken wing which is a really bad omen

View attachment 1755120

Eg in 2011 I saw a bunch of magpies attacking an injured magpie two days before the GF, and in 2018 I tried to take a selfie with a magpie on GF eve and it attacked me

Not good

Are you saying I should put the house on Carlton?

 

[Corn Cobbers]

Are you saying I should put the house on Carlton?

Not sure

Feel something bad will happen but that could be a key injury, which would be worse than a loss

Knew I should have stayed in bed today

 

[Chief]

Not good

For the bird, anyway.

 

[LoungeLizard]

Just saw a magpie with a broken wing which is a really bad omen

View attachment 1755120

Eg in 2011 I saw a bunch of magpies attacking an injured magpie two days before the GF, and in 2018 I tried to take a selfie with a magpie on GF eve and it attacked me

Not good

It's just saying to you, injury or not, i'm still here.

Carlton on the other hand are blaming injuries before the game starts.

 

[YeoShuey]

Congratulations to Curtis Deboy on 150 matches.

 

[Geelong_Bisons_#36]

Collingwood to start the next run of Carlton's 6 game losing streak

 

[Elmer_Hauser]

It's just saying to you, injury or not, i'm still here.

Carlton on the other hand are blaming injuries before the game starts.

If Cerra and Cripps are back/fit for this game, we (Carlton) have no excuses whatsoever.

Those two are the key. We can live without Harry and Walsh and possibly JSOS.

I don't like making excuses generally

 

[CCurnow3votes]

Likely no Cripps, McKay, Walsh, Cerra, Kennedy, JSOS, Motlop.

That leaves us with a starting midfield of Ed Curnow, George Hewett, Patty Dow and Alex Cincotta.

Pains me to say it, but Pies in a canter.

Wrong!

 

[YeoShuey]

The equation is quite simple. Fully fit, we beat them. Injured as we are, probably will lose by no more than 30 points.

 

[RAPPA]

Just a standard Friday night battle of the minnows

 

[Truetiger]

Are you saying I should put the house on Carlton?

Should be a close game lol. So might end up worth it

 

[beerbandit]

Key games are to beat GWS, Saints, GC and if we do that we play finals. The pies, demons games are largly irrelevent in the context of our season, would have to beat both in order to have the luxury of dropping one of the others.

I think we should leave cripps, cerra, walsh out for this one and prep them for the games that matter.

Why would you do that, that sounds like a bit of fear to me. Put your best side possible on the park to measure against the best, if you feel you are just making up the numbers then you may as well miss finals and get an earlier draft pick.

 

[beerbandit]

A large percentage of Collingwood's wins this year have come against bottom 12 teams, so there's a bit of an asterisk against them for mine.

All of our wins have come from teams below us. That’s a big Asterix for mine!

 

[HarryBeef]

All of our wins have come from teams below us. That’s a big Asterix for mine!

Glad you can agree

 

[Skull Face]

Why would you do that, that sounds like a bit of fear to me. Put your best side possible on the park to measure against the best, if you feel you are just making up the numbers then you may as well miss finals and get an earlier draft pick.

Why risk cerra Cripps at 80% when we can rest them up have them at 90-100% for the must win games, prove ourselves only to miss finals again sound like a 2022 repeat, no point burning out before you get there.

Should be a good test of our current form but it's not season defining nor important to our ladder position when you crunch the numbers, play the same brand but don't risk having players missing for the games afterwards by rushing them back underdone.

 

[Interstater]

Looking forward to seeing how much Carlton have learnt from Saturday night's game.

 

[Truetiger]

All of our wins have come from teams below us. That’s a big Asterix for mine!

Lol which should continue Friday night.

 

[Hagla]

Looking forward to seeing how much Carlton have learnt from Saturday night's game.

I love how Port think they've cracked the code after losing to the Mighty Pies at their own home ground.

 

[Cripps 'n' Blue Bloods]

All of our wins have come from teams below us. That’s a big Asterix for mine!

All of your losses have come from teams below too.

 

[The Fantom]

Are you saying I should put the house on Carlton?

A punter has 1 million on Collingwood to win this week. Bet was placed a few weeks back when we weren’t travelling so well. I guess he’d be stoked with our injury list heading into this match.

 

[Fadge]

A punter has 1 million on Collingwood to win this week. Bet was placed a few weeks back when we weren’t travelling so well. I guess he’d be stoked with our injury list heading into this match.

I actually expect that bet was made in the belief $1.40 was well over the odds (which I agree it is), and that if Port had have fielded a near full strength team and done a number on Port as they should have, Collingwood's odds would have firmed and he would have made cashed out and made circa $200K before the game was even played.

As it is he just goes ahead with his bet in the knowledge $1.40 is still well over the odds.

(Given the odds are currently $1.34, he can cash out now and make $100K or so).

Smart punting.

 

[The Fantom]

I actually expect that bet was made in the belief $1.40 was well over the odds (which I agree it is), and that if Port had have fielded a near full strength team and done a number on Port as they should have, Collingwood's odds would have firmed and he would have made cashed out and made circa $200K before the game was even played.

As it is he just goes ahead with his bet in the knowledge $1.40 is still well over the odds.

(Given the odds are currently $1.34, he can cash out now and make $100K or so).

Smart punting.

Seriously you can do that, so what’s stopping everyone from plonking a mill and cashing out before the games played?