Toast Hawks made finals in 2024! - Hawks finals discussion

[Simon Crawshay]

Results we want:

• hawks thump North
• giants beat dogs
• Carlton beat saints
• Freo beat port

We play Carlton at the G and Dogs miss finals

Every one of those is quite possible, even probable result.

Probably giants beating the doggies at Ballarat is the most unlikely.

 

[Billyc]

Every one of those is quite possible, even probable result.

Probably giants beating the doggies at Ballarat is the most unlikely.

Agree. I'd be tipping all but that one. And if it goes that way, it's Dogs at the G. Two of the most in form sides, with the Giants.

 

[Strapping Young Lad]

Results we want:

• hawks thump North
• giants beat dogs
• Carlton beat saints
• Freo beat port

We play Carlton at the G and Dogs miss finals

 

[CD Xbow]

Shame we lost to the Giants. A win tomorrow and we would have displaced the Cats in the top 4. We would have been a genuine contender. Too much travelling finishing 5-8 and almost impossible to win the flag from there.

Tough ask, but it's possible. I think were a genuine contender. The bye has changed the dynamic of the finals a lot. If results go in certain ways we might only have to travel once on the way to the Granny. Also never under estimate the importance of momentum/the vibe etc. We've got it. Just need to ruthlessly dispatch Norf on the Saturday. What a year. Go Hawks.

 

[Roddy]

Results we want:

• hawks thump North
• giants beat dogs
• Carlton beat saints
• Freo beat port

We play Carlton at the G and Dogs miss finals

Why do we want the Dogs to miss finals? We match up well on them, we beat them this year and last year.

 

[Billyc]

Why do we want the Dogs to miss finals? We match up well on them, we beat them this year and last year.

Because they are better than Carlton.

 

[Gaston]

Results we want:

• hawks thump North
• giants beat dogs
• Carlton beat saints
• Freo beat port

We play Carlton at the G and Dogs miss finals

The AFL won't do it but the Freo v Port game needs to be played before the other 3.
Otherwises it could become irrelevant at the end of the round.

 

[Leather Poisoning]

Here's what I think will happen:

• Hawks will comfortably beat North
• Port will beat Freo, not by much. 10-20 points.
• Carlton will take St Kilda too lightly and lose.
• GWS will beat bulldogs (who continue to be red hot or ice cold).

This would leave the finals

5th - Lions (14.5 wins)
6th - Hawks (14 wins)
7th - Bulldogs (13 wins)
8th - Carlton (13 wins)

 

[Sixpence]

Here's what I think will happen:

• Hawks will comfortably beat North
• Port will beat Freo, not by much. 10-20 points.
• Carlton will take St Kilda too lightly and lose.
• GWS will beat bulldogs (who continue to be red hot or ice cold).

This would leave the finals

5th - Lions (14.5 wins)
6th - Hawks (14 wins)
7th - Bulldogs (13 wins)
8th - Carlton (13 wins)

If only the Drug Pigs could pull one out against Brisbane, we could finish 5th and host Carlton. Not that I condone supporting Drug Pigs, but given their season is over and it'd help us, it wouldn't be the worst.

 

[LRobbo]

Looking a little ahead- Geelong get their obligatory soft kill at their dump gift wrapped by the AFL pre finals, that could be 100 points the eagles are horrendous.

Dogs beat GWS, Cats leap frog into 3rd and play Port who I think beat Freo.

That would put us on Geelongs side of the draw for week 2 should we win week 1.
The Cats have the weakest % in the 8 and have been ordinary since their 7-0 start.
That’s the path to a prelim and from there anything can happen

 

[MtGHawk]

It’s a Hawks v Giants GF.

Let's do a week at a time

 

[Mr Meeseeks]

Carlton, Freo, Dogs in that order.

But I don’t fear any of them. Particularly not at the MCG.

I fear the dogs. They have the fwds that can trouble the hawks and are the other team in red hot form.



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[The Golden Glenferrie]

I fear the dogs. They have the fwds that can trouble the hawks and are the other team in red hot form.



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Yep, if we had Barrass and Battle i wouldn't worry, but their forward line could tear us apart

 

[I wanna pash Nash]

I fear the dogs. They have the fwds that can trouble the hawks and are the other team in red hot form.



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I agree, they have the midfield to give the forwards enough supply. On their day that forward line is very potent. If Darcy, Naughton and Jamara get enough ball it will get dicey.

 

[Harper_Hawk]

A finals game would just be so enormous for this group. So close within reach, I hope they grab it and just run with it!

 

[The Jet From Poowong]

Why do we want the Dogs to miss finals? We match up well on them, we beat them this year and last year.

So that Doggy can shut the **** up

The guy goes to bed thinking of Hawthorn

 

[Bedi]

Here's what I think will happen:

• Hawks will comfortably beat North
• Port will beat Freo, not by much. 10-20 points.
• Carlton will take St Kilda too lightly and lose.
• GWS will beat bulldogs (who continue to be red hot or ice cold).

This would leave the finals

5th - Lions (14.5 wins)
6th - Hawks (14 wins)
7th - Bulldogs (13 wins)
8th - Carlton (13 wins)

and Blues are travelling back from WA, which makes it a tougher task

 

[cryptor]

I fear the dogs. They have the fwds that can trouble the hawks and are the other team in red hot form.



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They’d be the toughest match up at the MCG of the three, but they’re also pretty flakey still.

8 goal loss to Port the week we lost to Cats down in Geelong. 6 goal loss to Crows just last week. Close win over Carlton when they haven’t been flying.

They do have dominant forwards but they can have poor conversion.

I respect them. I think we’d be a 50/50 against them right now. I’d be worried we wouldn’t win but far from fear.

 

[fairdinks]

and Blues are travelling back from WA, which makes it a tougher task

My pessimistic take is this:

my nerves are shot through elevated expectations. Another scenario is Hawks lose to clarko, carlton and freo both win and we are done. We have been up for such a long time, now have several players with soreness, so not all done and dusted yet.

AND, we play first, so no opportunity to relax. Please keep going hawks.

 

[Bedi]

My pessimistic take is this:

my nerves are shot through elevated expectations. Another scenario is Hawks lose to clarko, carlton and freo both win and we are done. We have been up for such a long time, now have several players with soreness, so not all done and dusted yet.

AND, we play first, so no opportunity to relax. Please keep going hawks.

haha yep i'm with you, but for all 3 results to go against us we'd be very stiff.

 

[Walshawk]

The AFL won't do it but the Freo v Port game needs to be played before the other 3.
Otherwises it could become irrelevant at the end of the round.

Cats will pump WC, so Port may still need to win to finish second. At a minimum they will need a narrow loss.

 

[RCAB]

As good as we have been, if we lose to North, we don't deserve to make finals this year, and then on to 2025 and beyond.

 

[peetoo]

Assuming hawks beat north comfortably, what needs to happen to have a stress free Sunday?

 

[RobHawk]

Assuming hawks beat north comfortably, what needs to happen to have a stress free Sunday?

A few congratulatory beers

 

[DogDaySonny]

Assuming hawks beat north comfortably, what needs to happen to have a stress free Sunday?

Carlton wins by no more than about 220 points. If Carlton get up to about a 150 point lead against St Kilda at some point during the game then it will be time to get out the smelling salts.