How will the 2016 Federal Election pan out?

[Dry Rot]

You have just ruined my night by mentioning her name. I have been racking my brain thinking of which comediennes voice she is mimicking. Her voice so annoys me.
It is quite possible he did, will get my vote. What you see is what you will get from him.

Come on, she's got sensational hair. And a snappy dresser. Almost better than Agent Carter.

 

[Maggie5]

Come on, she's got sensational hair. And a snappy dresser. Almost better than Agent Carter.

Love that show.
Maybe she might be better if she doesn't speak.

 

[The Speaker]

Didn't he get more votes than Minister Cash?

http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/03/first-preference-votes-for-elected-senators.html

 

[GreyCrow]

Is Tony Abbott doing a Kevin Rudd? Claims the Turnbull Gov will be running on the efforts of the Abbott Gov. Gee its not like Malcolm needed any more millstones around his neck.

Labor needs 16 seats just to have a hung parliament. I am not sure if they can get so many but the mood may change once the reality of a 15 week campaign grinds on everyones nerves.

Agree Bill Shorten is as limp as cold spaghetti. Everybody Wiggle.

 

[Pessimistic]

Is Tony Abbott doing a Kevin Rudd? Claims the Turnbull Gov will be running on the efforts of the Abbott Gov. Gee its not like Malcolm needed any more millstones around his neck.

Labor needs 16 seats just to have a hung parliament. I am not sure if they can get so many but the mood may change once the reality of a 15 week campaign grinds on everyones nerves.

Agree Bill Shorten is as limp as cold spaghetti. Everybody Wiggle.

16 seats based on a list of porkies abbott came up with, and couldnt wait to go back, on, then publicly invited a state premier to go back on his.

Fairs fair all pollies are decietful, but this bunch dont even bother concealing it any more, such is the stupidity of some voters

 

[Ice-Wolf]

16 seats based on a list of porkies abbott came up with, and couldnt wait to go back, on, then publicly invited a state premier to go back on his.

Fairs fair all pollies are decietful, but this bunch dont even bother concealing it any more, such is the stupidity of some voters

Australian Politics Rule #1: It's only bad/unforgivable when Labor do it to a much lesser extent.

 

[Pessimistic]

Australian Politics Rule #1: It's only bad/unforgivable when Labor do it to a much lesser extent.

Rule #2. Your side does something reprehensible. All pollies are as bad as each other

 

[yibbida]

Rule #3 repeat the talking points at every opportunity (even if you have stolen your latest slogan from a satirical TV show or said the exact opposite in the past)

 

[Hawk Dork]

Rule #4 Satirical Nazi related front pages on the Torygraph are cheaper than spending your own money on advertising or developing good policy

 

[The Speaker]

Rule #4 Satirical Nazi related front pages on the Torygraph are cheaper than spending your own money on advertising or developing good policy

please point to any time in the history of australia where we have had a tory party

 

[sherb]

Rule #4 Satirical Nazi related front pages on the Torygraph are cheaper than spending your own money on advertising or developing good policy

The Murdoch rags should really change their names to the Coalition Chronicle or the Conservative Cheerleader.

 

[Hawk Dork]

Please point to anywhere in my post where I said we did

please point to any time in the history of australia where we have had a tory party

please point out where I said what you imagined?

 

[Pessimistic]

The Murdoch rags should really change their names to the Coalition Chronicle or the Conservative Cheerleader.

isn't the opposite the truth? they suck murdochs dick

 

[The Speaker]

Please point to anywhere in my post where I said we did

please point out where I said what you imagined?

so who does the 'torygraph' support?

 

[Jascave]

What swing is needed for Tony Abbott to lose his seat?


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[iluvparis]

What swing is needed for Tony Abbott to lose his seat?


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Just over 15% on a 2PP basis

 

[Pykie]

If Shorten goes in with his negative gearing policy I will preference Labor first. Something desperately needs to be done about housing in this country.

I don't think a housing crash is what it needs personally.


If Shorten goes in with the same policy, I'll be voting against him.

 

[Hawk Dork]

so who does the 'torygraph' support?

If you dont already know Im wasting my time arent I

 

[The Speaker]

If you dont already know Im wasting my time arent I

Well it can't possibly be the Liberals, because they have no connection at all to any Tory party, as we have established.

Unless, of course, you are wrongfully engaging in tribalism brought over from Britain.

 

[coerced]

I don't think a housing crash is what it needs personally.


If Shorten goes in with the same policy, I'll be voting against him.

If a housing crash comes from the removal of negative gearing, it was due anyway. Australia's economy can't keep going on being solely dedicated to selling houses to one another based on purchasing debt from overseas, and the government's budget shouldn't be supporting those gambling on it continuing.

 

[Bomberboyokay]

I don't think a housing crash is what it needs personally.


If Shorten goes in with the same policy, I'll be voting against him.

Hello someone negative gearing like ****.

 

[rodney hoo]

Hello someone negative gearing like ****.

Won't affect people who are doing it now re tax savings, but hopefully house prices will stabilise so everyone can afford one. People who have more than one property now won't make the money they thought which is a good thing and only top Enders could afford anyway.

 

[Howard Littlejohn]

That's the prediction

apparently preference 'deals' are still OK, just not the ability of minor parties to have as much clout as the majors

Preference "deals" will still happen in the Senate, as they do in the HoR. Until how to vote cards are banned there will be prefrerence deals. (Tasmanian and ACT elections work fine without them, they aren't actually banned but no campaigning can take place within a few hundred metres of a polling place effectively rendering them useless as voters don't have to run the gauntlet at the school gate)

Under the new system, they are not automatically allocated by the party receiving the primary vote, but like the HoR are suggested by the party - most notable on HTV cards.

 

[Howard Littlejohn]

No doubting he'll run a negative campaign as they have no substantive issues to crow about, nor any reform agenda to engage the electorate

Not that is out there yet, though the "innovation" campaign is underway even if the policy seems lacking so far.
Abbott started this term running as an opposition-leader-in-government. Everything Turnbull may have tried to change has been stymied by the nuttery that is Bernardi, Abetz, etc camp. Maybe he will run his own campaign, the signs so far are not promising.

If, as seems likely, he runs largely on the Abbott legacy, Shorten may become yet another PM to get there by default.

 

[Patrick Bullet]

Question for those in the know - is what is being described in this article likely to have any appreciable effect on the election results?

http://www.watoday.com.au/federal-p...ter-barnaby-joyces-scalp-20160325-gnqzwr.html

The TL;DR version: the Preference Whisperer reckons the micro-parties will unite against Coalition and Greens MPs sitting in marginal seats (as well as Joyce and Dutton) with preference deals designed to unseat the incumbents.