Opinion Sack Hinkley 7 - "Turn it around or watch out"

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Status
Not open for further replies.
2013
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
3​
8​
9​
3​
12​
11​
27​
%
75​
%
52​
%


2014
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
5​
7​
11​
2​
16​
9​
42​
%
85​
%
64​
%


2015
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
6​
8​
6​
2​
12​
10​
43​
%
75​
%
55​
%


2016
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
1​
9​
9​
3​
10​
12​
10​
%
75​
%
45​
%


2017
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
2​
8​
12​
1​
14​
9​
20​
%
92​
%
61​
%







2018
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
3​
6​
9​
4​
12​
10​
33​
%
69​
%
55​
%
2019
Top 8​
Bottom 8​
Total​
Win​
Lose
Win​
Lose
Win​
Lose
3​
7
8​
4
11​
11
30​
%
67​
%
50​
%


2020
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
5​
4​
10​
0​
15​
4​
56​
%
100​
%
79​
%


2021
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
5​
5​
13​
1​
18​
6​
50​
%
93​
%
75​
%


2022
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
2​
9​
8​
3​
10​
12​
18​
%
73​
%
45​
%





Kens 10
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
35​
71​
95​
23​
130​
94​
33​
%
81​
%
58​
%

Some Ken win/loss stats. make of them what you will
Pretty much confirms what we all say and think. Hinkley is a sh*t coach who's used guile and BS to keep his job.
 
These comments that some journos continually roll out about the club not being in the SANFL any more are absolute BS, of the approx 20 Port supporters I had regular contact with when the club joined the AFL not one of them was silly enough to expect us to dominate that comp, and I suspect the vast majority of supporters would have been just as realistic.

I have recollections of none other than Brian Cunningham saying something along the lines of the expectations were for the team to be competitive from day 1, to eventually make the finals on a regular basis, and once that happened be a chance to make the grand final every 5 years or so.

All very reasonable and sensible comments from the CEO of a very proud club that had no intention of joining the AFL just to make up the numbers!
 

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2013
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
3​
8​
9​
3​
12​
11​
27​
%
75​
%
52​
%


2014
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
5​
7​
11​
2​
16​
9​
42​
%
85​
%
64​
%


2015
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
6​
8​
6​
2​
12​
10​
43​
%
75​
%
55​
%


2016
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
1​
9​
9​
3​
10​
12​
10​
%
75​
%
45​
%


2017
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
2​
8​
12​
1​
14​
9​
20​
%
92​
%
61​
%







2018
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
3​
6​
9​
4​
12​
10​
33​
%
69​
%
55​
%
2019
Top 8​
Bottom 8​
Total​
Win​
Lose
Win​
Lose
Win​
Lose
3​
7
8​
4
11​
11
30​
%
67​
%
50​
%


2020
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
5​
4​
10​
0​
15​
4​
56​
%
100​
%
79​
%


2021
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
5​
5​
13​
1​
18​
6​
50​
%
93​
%
75​
%


2022
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
2​
9​
8​
3​
10​
12​
18​
%
73​
%
45​
%





Kens 10
Top 8Bottom 8Total
WinLoseWinLoseWinLose
35​
71​
95​
23​
130​
94​
33​
%
81​
%
58​
%

Some Ken win/loss stats. make of them what you will
So in his entire career he's had one season where he's won more games than he's lost against Top 8 sides, and that was by exactly one game in a season with the biggest asterisk in the history of the universe.

ReMeMbEr WhAt KeN dId In 2013 AnD 2014 wHeN hE fIrSt CaMe To ThEcLuB yOu UnGrAtEfUlL bAsTaRdS !!!!

Yeah, I remember. He taught the players how to pick up toilet rolls and lose against top 8 sides.
 
For me, what has caused my dissatisfaction of ken is the inability to beat top teams. We all know before the first bounce the games we have no chance in. This is not opinion it's fact, the numbers don't lie over a 10 year sample space.

Of course you're not going to win the flag every year. But you genuinely have to feel that you're a chance! With a strong list even 50/50 of those games would be disappointing. But Ken's numbers. My god, you can't defend that. And we are not unreasonable in having this opinion. It is NOT ok for Port to have the "Dallas Cowboys rep" (thanks David King) it's just not
MF ya spot on, I feel the same, we go to games knowing we can’t win, homes games as well. We should be beating every side in the comp at home And worse we lose in the same insipid way And then Get told how good the oppo was or how tough the comp is..

shut the **** up and just get it done..

**** I hate you hinkley. You have taken all the joy out of PAFC for me..
 
With the win loss % data, it would be great to compare with other average coaches, as you can't tell what's normal. I think most coaches/ teams would more often beat sides lower on the ladder and lose to better teams,. I wonder how Donuts would fair against Ratten , Nicks or Dew?
I cant work out the best way to analyse this. Correlation maybe. Are there any stats gurus in the house? Not that we need any more data to prove he's a bust.
 
Yes, Brogan was quoted. Brogan called out our methodology of movement into the forward line and observed it was kick it to Dixon and hope. He said there was no method. I now think Dixon is the most overrated player on our list.
1678666088366.png

Looking forward to Koch publicly calling Brogan out as a Hinkley Hater and the mouth breathing happy clappers on social media telling him to "go and support the Crows".

Club premiership players Brogan and Tredrea are just White Noise.
 
Yes, Brogan was quoted. Brogan called out our methodology of movement into the forward line and observed it was kick it to Dixon and hope. He said there was no method. I now think Dixon is the most overrated player on our list.
Dixon, like a lot of players on the team, are being let down by the idiotic coach.
 
With the win loss % data, it would be great to compare with other average coaches, as you can't tell what's normal. I think most coaches/ teams would more often beat sides lower on the ladder and lose to better teams,. I wonder how Donuts would fair against Ratten , Nicks or Dew?
I cant work out the best way to analyse this. Correlation maybe. Are there any stats gurus in the house? Not that we need any more data to prove he's a bust.
It still may give blurred results considering Donuts has been in a senior AFL coaching position much longer than Dew & Nicks.
Note : I did not say that Donuts was an actual AFL coach lol.
 

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With the win loss % data, it would be great to compare with other average coaches, as you can't tell what's normal. I think most coaches/ teams would more often beat sides lower on the ladder and lose to better teams,. I wonder how Donuts would fair against Ratten , Nicks or Dew?
I cant work out the best way to analyse this. Correlation maybe. Are there any stats gurus in the house? Not that we need any more data to prove he's a bust.
Yea most coaches would have a similar loss vs top eight situation, maybe not as stark as Ken’s but it would be there. It’s what sets Scott, Hardwick, Clarkson and Longmire apart - they are exceptional. Top eight are the best sides and therefore the hardest to beat.

There are extenuating circumstances. Ie Geelong have a massive advantage with Kadina Park, it’s almost impossible to win there and they typically play clubs like Port, Freo, WC, GWS and the Suns there - ie smaller drawing crowds. I would suggest hawthorn at their peak, Richmond at their peak ie just about anyone at their peak would struggle there. Collingwood, Hawthorn and Richmond have the advantage of playing many games at the G, this is a huge leg up in finals. Ratten, Dew, Cameron, Brad Scott, etc have all lead clubs that are rebuilding or restructuring or have a deficient list or lack financial support. Apt comparisons for Hinkley are Ross Lyon at Freo, Nathan Buckley, James Hird, the Crows pre Nicks, Adam Simpson, all the coaches of Carlton, Luke Beveridge and Chris Fagan - ie clubs that have money, should have a strong home game advantage and have reasonable playing lists. What we see there is a mix bag but I suspect most would have poor win loss records against top eight sides and then have a period of getting it together and then revert.
 
We all know before the first bounce the games we have no chance in.

In isolation, any other club would have such an atrocious nine year home ground record under a media spotlight that could liquefy skeletons.

Instead, I still don’t think I’ve heard anyone even mention it.

Every single year it’s “gee, that’s a gutsy win over there. it’s a tough place to go and get a result”.

It’s literally not. It literally isn’t.

Unless you’re a basement outfit like the Suns or Kangas, you’re basically a 50/50 shot of taking the chocolates against Port at Adelaide Oval, regardless of mutual circumstance. Even better than 50/50 under lights.
 
Luv 2 turn up to watch us have less than 30% chance of winning vs any side that happens to be in the 8

‘It’s not Woodville sans Malcolm Blight, Allen Jakovich and Ralph Sewer making the trip past the cemetery anymore’
 
Yea most coaches would have a similar loss vs top eight situation, maybe not as stark as Ken’s but it would be there. It’s what sets Scott, Hardwick, Clarkson and Longmire apart - they are exceptional. Top eight are the best sides and therefore the hardest to beat.

There are extenuating circumstances. Ie Geelong have a massive advantage with Kadina Park, it’s almost impossible to win there and they typically play clubs like Port, Freo, WC, GWS and the Suns there - ie smaller drawing crowds. I would suggest hawthorn at their peak, Richmond at their peak ie just about anyone at their peak would struggle there. Collingwood, Hawthorn and Richmond have the advantage of playing many games at the G, this is a huge leg up in finals. Ratten, Dew, Cameron, Brad Scott, etc have all lead clubs that are rebuilding or restructuring or have a deficient list or lack financial support. Apt comparisons for Hinkley are Ross Lyon at Freo, Nathan Buckley, James Hird, the Crows pre Nicks, Adam Simpson, all the coaches of Carlton, Luke Beveridge and Chris Fagan - ie clubs that have money, should have a strong home game advantage and have reasonable playing lists. What we see there is a mix bag but I suspect most would have poor win loss records against top eight sides and then have a period of getting it together and then revert.
You could go full Janus and over analyse the fu K out of it. Home ground, injuries Yada Yada. But the trend I think is pretty clear
In their GF appearance year the Camry Cows went 8/4 against top 8 teams including beating us twice
 
You could go full Janus and over analyse the fu K out of it. Home ground, injuries Yada Yada. But the trend I think is pretty clear
In their GF appearance year the Camry Cows went 8/4 against top 8 teams including beating us twice

For reference, our halcyon days under Chocolate:

• 2001: 6-6 (inc. 0-2 finals)
• 2002: 9-6 (inc. 1-2 finals)
• 2003: 9-4 (inc. 1-2 finals)
• 2004: 10-3 (inc. 3-0 finals)
• 2005: 4-8 (inc. 1-1 finals)
• 2006: 5-9 (missed finals)
• 2007: 7-6 (inc. 2-1 finals)

• TOTAL: 50-42 (8-8 finals)
 
Realistically our chairman Koch will bundle a final farewell game for Ken that coincidentally will be retirement games for one of/all of Jonas, Boak, Dixon.

That way it will be seen as a 'celebration' of Ken's decade of donuts and for supporters to dare not boo Boak or Jonas.

Either way it doesn't sit easy with me what they have planned.
 
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