Fantastic workSince 2006 Richmond picks 11-20 v 21-30
This period captures all current players.
Green represents a successful pick or tracking positively for the pick.
Red represents and unsuccessful pick or tracking negatively for the pick.
Yellow represents just not enough to go on yet to make a meaningful assessment.
11-20
Riewoldt 13, Rance 18, Griffiths 19, B Ellis 15, Lennon 12, C Ellis 12, D Rioli 15,Higgins 17, Coleman-Jones 20, Collier-Dawkins 20, Brown 17
First thing here I think is remove Higgins and CCJ from the sample, as we basically traded them out for more or less picks of the same value.
So we are left with 9 selections producing:
Top class(2) - Rance, Riewoldt, both highly decorated players.
Very strong(1) - D Rioli? certainly getting there.
Good players (1) - B Ellis
Failures(3) - Griffiths, Lennon, C Ellis
Undetermined(2) - RCD(not looking great) Brown(too early to tell, some decent signs)
Overall, from 9 selections, probably tracking for 4 failures, 2 good or very strong players, and 2 champions. 1 too early to tell. So not too bad at all.
21-30
Edwards 26, Post 26, Batchelor 30, Elton 26, Bolton 29, Balta 25, Dow 21, Sonsie 28, Banks 29, Clarke 30
Top Class(2) - Bolton and Balta are both tracking that way but Balta we will get a better idea after next year.
Very Strong(1) - Edwards
Good players(0)
Failures - Post, Batchelor, Elton
Undetermined - Dow(tracking just ok, looking a little shaky) Sonsie(tracking very well) Banks, Clarke(too early to tell but both tracking ok)
Overall, from 10 selections, tracking for 4 failures and 4 successes, 2 of the successes are tracking very strongly one is too early to be too confident. And another 2 we cannot make a meaningful judgement on yet.
So I think what you are saying holds up ok regarding the value of these picks to us based on our track record. But they are quite small samples and if your recruiters are any good(ours are) then logically say a pick 15 would have to be worth more than a pick 25. At 15 you can still take the same guy you take at 25 but you also have 9 other choices from the players other clubs take at 16-24.
Even from our selections, we need to ask ourselves whether we prefer
Rance Riewoldt B Ellis D Rioli and Brown from 9 selections, or
Bolton, Balta, Edwards, Sonsie, Banks, Clarke from 10 selections.
What a choice to have to make. Certainly you can see why the club might have traded pick 15(Zac Bailey) for picks 20(CCJ) and 25(Balta) in the 2017 draft, you would back us to do better from 2 picks in the 20’s than 1 pick in the teens.
As for Graham, I wouldn’t be too keen on seeing him go for below about the value of pick 20 unless there is some sort of necessary salary dumping element to it.