hawkman
Hall of Famer
There are clearances and then there are clearances that are damaging. In the 1st quarter and half against North we were allowing clean breaks from clearances, if we allow that to happen again this week we will get smashed by 10+ goals. Since then we haven't allowed those despite losing the clearances. Against Port we brought enough pressure in the contest that most if not all were scrappy disposals or high bombs which feed into our strengths in the backline. If we do that again this week we will give ourselves a chance despite a likely loss in the centre square. Carlton will be a much tougher challenge thoughDon’t get me wrong - well done to the Hawks on winning their first two games. No what anyone expected and it’s a great start under Mitchell.
HOWEVER, I don’t think these wins have been as impressive as what they seem from the outset…
Hawks lost the clearance count against North.
They also lost the clearances vs Port, as well as contested possessions (only just won them vs North).
This is where we can hurt them as it’s been our strength thus far this year. We need to beat them at the contest and then move the ball quickly forward to our potent forward line.
They’ve conceded 50+ I50s in both their games this year & so getting the ball in to our F50 SHOULD be relatively easy.
They’ve won the hitouts in both weeks so we need Pitto/ TDK to fire.
They are relatively effective going forward. 27% of the their i50s result in a mark i50 (compared to 18% for us). We’ll need our backline to be on-point this week and even though O’Mac is a key omission I think Weiters will play more of a key role this week vs first 2 rounds so not as concerned here. Perhaps Willo to come in for O’Mac (for their forward line, I would prefer him coming in as a medium-sized defender, instead of another tall coming in).
If we stick to the fundamentals this week, we should win this game:
- Work back hard in numbers & slow their ball movement
- Move the ball forward with pace
- Win the hard-ball & clearances
If we do all of that, should be Blues by 27 points (conservative margin). Whilst our history against this team scares the shit out of me, the margin really should be more (7-goals plus).