Toast Hawks made finals in 2024! - Hawks finals discussion

[eldorado]

What does one do with 4 testes?

Whatever one wants!

 

[DogDaySonny]

What does one do with 4 testes?

 

[OhhhhhCyril]

I am still of the same opinion 5/6 weeks ago today.
I think it would be great for the boys and give them a world of confidence moving forward, however if we don't its not the end of the world. We still need to just about win every game and rely on other results to go our way.

Even if we win the games we should in Richmond and North. Crows, Giants and Blues are tough games. If we apply the same attitude and play that way we have for the past few months who knows. All i can say is the future is exciting regardless of results.

 

[Simon_Nesbit]

I would bet my left testicle that any team that wins 15 games is playing finals.

		W	L	D	%
1.	Geelong	15	7	1	109.2%
2.	Sydney	15	8	0	134.3%
3.	Western Bulldogs	15	8	0	121.9%
4.	Brisbane Lions	14	7	2	121.7%
5.	Fremantle	14	7	2	117.3%
6.	Carlton	15	8	0	112.9%
7.	Port Adelaide	15	8	0	105.9%
8.	Essendon	14	7	2	100.8%
9.	Hawthorn	15	8	0	100.4%
10.	GWS	13	10	0	112.7%
11.	Gold Coast	12	11	0	103.7%
12.	Melbourne	11	12	0	97.3%
13.	Collingwood	9	12	2	96.2%
14.	Adelaide	8	14	1	97.3%
15.	St Kilda	8	15	0	96.0%
16.	West Coast	4	19	0	69.4%
17.	Richmond	3	20	0	65.6%
18.	North Melbourne	2	21	0	68.1%

 

[cryptor]

		W	L	D	%
1.	Geelong	15	7	1	109.2%
2.	Sydney	15	8	0	134.3%
3.	Western Bulldogs	15	8	0	121.9%
4.	Brisbane Lions	14	7	2	121.7%
5.	Fremantle	14	7	2	117.3%
6.	Carlton	15	8	0	112.9%
7.	Port Adelaide	15	8	0	105.9%
8.	Essendon	14	7	2	100.8%
9.	Hawthorn	15	8	0	100.4%
10.	GWS	13	10	0	112.7%
11.	Gold Coast	12	11	0	103.7%
12.	Melbourne	11	12	0	97.3%
13.	Collingwood	9	12	2	96.2%
14.	Adelaide	8	14	1	97.3%
15.	St Kilda	8	15	0	96.0%
16.	West Coast	4	19	0	69.4%
17.	Richmond	3	20	0	65.6%
18.	North Melbourne	2	21	0	68.1%

Not only would the 4 premiership points lost to Port due to a time keeping error be the difference, that final seconds goal is probably the difference in the percentage between us and Essendon in 8th.

 

[eldorado]

		W	L	D	%
1.	Geelong	15	7	1	109.2%
2.	Sydney	15	8	0	134.3%
3.	Western Bulldogs	15	8	0	121.9%
4.	Brisbane Lions	14	7	2	121.7%
5.	Fremantle	14	7	2	117.3%
6.	Carlton	15	8	0	112.9%
7.	Port Adelaide	15	8	0	105.9%
8.	Essendon	14	7	2	100.8%
9.	Hawthorn	15	8	0	100.4%
10.	GWS	13	10	0	112.7%
11.	Gold Coast	12	11	0	103.7%
12.	Melbourne	11	12	0	97.3%
13.	Collingwood	9	12	2	96.2%
14.	Adelaide	8	14	1	97.3%
15.	St Kilda	8	15	0	96.0%
16.	West Coast	4	19	0	69.4%
17.	Richmond	3	20	0	65.6%
18.	North Melbourne	2	21	0	68.1%

Yeah...and I would bet my left testicle that that won't happen.


Will you bet yours that it will?

 

[SpanishBrowne]

And the winner is ...
Come on complete it mate...

hawks vs lions at the MCG? we all know the answer to that

 

[TheFourPillars]

		W	L	D	%
1.	Geelong	15	7	1	109.2%
2.	Sydney	15	8	0	134.3%
3.	Western Bulldogs	15	8	0	121.9%
4.	Brisbane Lions	14	7	2	121.7%
5.	Fremantle	14	7	2	117.3%
6.	Carlton	15	8	0	112.9%
7.	Port Adelaide	15	8	0	105.9%
8.	Essendon	14	7	2	100.8%
9.	Hawthorn	15	8	0	100.4%
10.	GWS	13	10	0	112.7%
11.	Gold Coast	12	11	0	103.7%
12.	Melbourne	11	12	0	97.3%
13.	Collingwood	9	12	2	96.2%
14.	Adelaide	8	14	1	97.3%
15.	St Kilda	8	15	0	96.0%
16.	West Coast	4	19	0	69.4%
17.	Richmond	3	20	0	65.6%
18.	North Melbourne	2	21	0	68.1%

How are we still at 100.4% winning every game we have just won every game by a point?

 

[Cyril says]

I honestly think we don’t lose another game in the home and away and we make top 4

We may never lose again!

 

[Simon_Nesbit]

Yeah...and I would bet my left testicle that that won't happen.


Will you bet yours that it will?

No, but it's important to understand the risks.....no matter how small they might be.

 

[Simon_Nesbit]

How are we still at 100.4% winning every game we have just won every game by a point?

Yep, just changed results to 1pt wins as appropriate to show 15 wins can still miss.

 

[Mitch75]

Yep, just changed results to 1pt wins as appropriate to show 15 wins can still miss.

You’ve even resorted to giving Essendon and Geelong another draw? That’s going to the extreme isn’t it, to show that the unlikeliest scenarios are possible for a team with 15 wins to miss out? The first scenario from fr_303 has Essendon winning every game from here and GWS losing every game which is also very unlikely. If Eldorado is putting his left nut on the line, I’ll put my right one down. No team with 15 wins (or 60 pts) misses out

 

[mustang]

Just did the predictor and we were at 4th and Giants at 9th.
Really thought the giants would make the 8 so I went back to our game versus them and flipped it to give them the win and then it was Giants at 4 and us at 9th.
This could go so so many ways.
If port doesn’t win on friday I think they miss and if they lose friday we make it…and on and on and on...
What an awesome season!

Yeah as I’ve said before if all the favourites win till the rest of the season, the giants game is the most important it changes if we make it all not.

It the so called fork in the road game, to play or not to play.

 

[mustang]

Would be very interesting if we somehow finished 4th.

How we would go if we won all our remaining games, in the H&A

 

[peetoo]

Not predicting this, but it appears our likely floor is 9th at season end.

 

[Manila_Hawk]

Not predicting this, but it appears our likely floor is 9th at season end.

That's a form of tanking peetoo

 

[eldorado]

No, but it's important to understand the risks.....no matter how small they might be.

What makes you think I didn't understand the risks when I said I would 'bet'?

Your scenario is left-testicle worthy.

 

[cryptor]

Mods on this board are always betting their left testicle on stuff.

 

[LRobbo]

Think if we beat Adelaide this week, it all falls into place.
GWS will be tough but I don’t think they are anything to fear and we are playing the MCG beautifully at present with our run and spread we’ll give Carlton all sorts of issues especially without DeKoning.

Last 2 are the % boosters, hopefully by then we’ve done the dirty work and it’s all about where we finish in the 8 (or top 4)

Can’t believe we are in this position given at 0-5 we were questioning the direction of the rebuild

 

[eldorado]

Mods on this board are always betting their left testicle on stuff.

And I haven't lost it yet!!!

 

[peetoo]

Mods on this board are always betting their left testicle on stuff.

Test - a - daisical

 

[kazzooka]

This time of year is all about the teams that just need to "just need to win this 1 against a bottom 6 side and top 4/8 is all sewn up." and then they lose. And then the next team has a golden opportunity to take their spot but somehow fumble too.

Bulldogs last year just needed to beat us to make finals and we got over them. Collingwood aren't going to make finals as they have 4 really tough games, but i'm pretty sure they'll win 1 or 2 of those and that will help us a lot.

I want us winning all our remaining games. 4 out of the 5 we've already beaten this year and 3 of them have already booked september holidays. We can't be the ones to fumble.

And on the argument of winning 15 and missing finals, we can win 15 and finish top if results go our way too. so LETS DO IT.

Then win the whole damn thing.

 

[cryptor]

I have an eye on a top 4 spot. We can win all our remaining games in the H&A.

 

[Sixpence]

Mods on this board are always betting their left testicle on stuff.

But never their right, clearly no strength in their convictions!

 

[fr_303]

You’ve even resorted to giving Essendon and Geelong another draw? That’s going to the extreme isn’t it, to show that the unlikeliest scenarios are possible for a team with 15 wins to miss out? The first scenario from fr_303 has Essendon winning every game from here and GWS losing every game which is also very unlikely. If Eldorado is putting his left nut on the line, I’ll put my right one down. No team with 15 wins (or 60 pts) misses out

​

Never said it will happen, was just answering the question from Walshawk "I don’t think it is possible to win 15 and miss." Was just showing it is possible , there is multiple scenario's of 15 wins not getting in the 8. Now in all likely hood of that happening this year is .0000001% but it is still possible. I think the Bulldogs have a nice run and potentially can win 5 (dependent on the Swans game) which gets them in + they have good %. So 2 of the teams in the 8 need to have poor ends to the season. Which current teams will drop out?