Preview Changes & Preview Thread for 2024 Preliminary Final vs Sydney @ SCG

[Interstater]

Injured and out for the year.

Would have played already otherwise.

He can't take a trick.

Damn, apologies for forgetting that.

Injury list
Zak Butters (ribs) - available
Kane Farrell (hamstring) - season
Hugh Jackson (knee) - season
Trent McKenzie (quad) - season
Kyle Marshall (shoulder) - season
Jeremy Finlayson (spleen) - season
Sam Powell-Pepper (knee) - season

Dan Houston - Kangaroo Court - season
Burton ?
Dixon ?

 

[PA88]

Thanks to the negligence of our club with its reserves, there's hardly a player to call upon. The only true performer all season was Clurey. The rest showed 10 minutes here and there, if that. If you don't watch the reserves you don't know how pathetic they were. Lorenz is in the side purely because of numbers and no other kid comes close to that. We're playing these finals with about 16 worthy players.

 

[Nemisis]

If Farrell can pass a fitness test, worth taking the risk. Leave Burygone back regardless. In that situation, not actually sure there's a spot for Burton, unless he plays forward. Can't be worse than Evans.

Wasn't Frankie doing a negating role on Sicilty?

 

[sobrave]

Could we play Farrell at half forward instead of Frankie Evans?

No, his leg fell off

 

[Buget]

Farrell would be the only player to consider from outside the squad.

But you would want to be pretty confident. It would be a bigger gamble than playing Rozee in the showdown.

 

[Young Gun #6]

For those even ****ing contemplating McEntee we’d be better going 3 on the bench.

7-7 when McEntee plays
10-1 when he doesn’t this season.

 

[jac147]

If all pull up OK, unchained

 

[Interstater]

For those even ****ing contemplating McEntee we’d be better going 3 on the bench.

7-7 when McEntee plays
10-1 when he doesn’t this season.

Would like to see how that relates to Top 8 clubs.

 

[Young Gun #6]

Would like to see how that relates to Top 8 clubs.

2-4 when he plays (0-4 last 4)
4-0 when he doesn’t.

 

[TeeKray]

The phrase "correlation does not imply causation" refers to the inability to legitimately deduce a cause-and-effect relationship between two events or variables solely on the basis of an observed association or correlation between them.[1][2] The idea that "correlation implies causation" is an example of a questionable-cause logical fallacy, in which two events occurring together are taken to have established a cause-and-effect relationship.

Correlation does not imply causation - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

 

[sobrave]

Dixon's corpse is an upgrade on Ratugolea.

0.0 combined the last five weeks. Incredible.

You gotta be kitten me

Ratagolea didn't have a great game, but he at least halved contests and brought the ball to ground, creating a 50/50 or getting it out of bounds. It was decent. Basically what chunk used to be able to do.

Dixon can't even get to contests anymore.

 

[elbarton]

The phrase "correlation does not imply causation" refers to the inability to legitimately deduce a cause-and-effect relationship between two events or variables solely on the basis of an observed association or correlation between them.[1][2] The idea that "correlation implies causation" is an example of a questionable-cause logical fallacy, in which two events occurring together are taken to have established a cause-and-effect relationship.

Correlation does not imply causation - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

But… what if

 

[Young Gun #6]

The phrase "correlation does not imply causation" refers to the inability to legitimately deduce a cause-and-effect relationship between two events or variables solely on the basis of an observed association or correlation between them.[1][2] The idea that "correlation implies causation" is an example of a questionable-cause logical fallacy, in which two events occurring together are taken to have established a cause-and-effect relationship.

Correlation does not imply causation - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

Although it doesn’t,
facts are facts and as much as we hate to say it AFL games have a long history of deeming trends and stats being impactful.

Whether it’s McEntee’s impact or not, the main reason we shouldn’t play him is because he isn’t an afl standard player and has very little impact on wins. Objectively, if he’s on the field we haven’t been winning anywhere near as much (10-1 when he doesn’t step foot on the field) as when he isn’t (for whatever reason that may be as a whole). It’s a smaller reason but just adds to a further reason why he shouldn’t be played. If he was a decent player, you might look past the fact we can’t win as much when he is in the team.

 

[avs]

I'd have Dixon in over Marshall if we are going to have Wines doing the ruck.

No way , Vissentini should come in

 

[TeeKray]

You'd have to be a total idiot to think it has any material impact which of the low impact small forwards we select to contribute 5 possessions and 0-1 goals in any given game.

 

[PAFC66]

Dixon's corpse is an upgrade on Ratugolea.

0.0 combined the last five weeks. Incredible.

It really isn't. Ratugolea doesn't get out marked and can actually run

 

[Schulzenfest]

You gotta be kitten me

Ratagolea didn't have a great game, but he at least halved contests and brought the ball to ground, creating a 50/50 or getting it out of bounds. It was decent. Basically what chunk used to be able to do.

Dixon can't even get to contests anymore.

This is McEntee tier apologism. Also how was the big uncontested double fist back into a contest with less than a minute on the clock? If Hawthorn had snagged a late winner from the resulting contest, it would have been Sav's fault.

To be very clear my comment says more about Sav than it does about Dixon. I wish neither of them were on our list. But even Dixon's corpse still occasionally does things like kick a goal. Or at least a ****ing behind.

 

[Bevoman]

F.Evans should be dropped for that turnover towards the end. Nearly lost us the game.
5 disposals @ 20% efficiency too.

Frank tagged their Captain so effectively Siciliy was moved to the forward line

 

[Progressive Aggresion]

I would tolerate Ryan Burton

3

Ryan Burton

Age

27

Ht

191cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.5

5star

K

12.1

4star

HB

6.3

4star

M

4.6

4star

T

2.1

4star

MG

277.3

4star

D

16.8

4star

K

12.3

5star

HB

4.5

3star

M

5.0

5star

T

1.0

2star

MG

277.3

4star

D

13.4

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

4.4

4star

M

4.8

5star

T

2.2

4star

coming back as a sub. Sinn played well enough to keep his spot but with both him and Jones having some injury history and evans still running on only 12 games of AFL i feel like Burton could work as a sub if one of those needs a chopout or less TOG.

And also because that way he could come on fresh and wouldn't be quite as likely to give up defensive chase as he normally does.

 

[PJ Power]

You'd have to be a total idiot to think it has any material impact which of the low impact small forwards we select to contribute 5 possessions and 0-1 goals in any given game.

Tonight yes. But I agree with the point made by Schulzenfest earlier in the week that at least Evans has a remote possibility of having a 3 goal game out of the box. Jed has not shown that he does from many more opportunities.

The bigger question is how did we get ourselves into a list position where we have so little to choose from in the small forward department.

 

[Bevoman]

Not tonight. He played his role pretty well. We wouldn’t have won without him. But yes, as a rule he is a useless forward.

The plan will be Charlie in for Marshall where the smaller SCG may suit Dixon.
Farrel is too big a risk with the back-line looking OK last night, alas Jones has been sighted for dangerous tackle

 

[backtozero]

This is McEntee tier apologism. Also how was the big uncontested double fist back into a contest with less than a minute on the clock? If Hawthorn had snagged a late winner from the resulting contest, it would have been Sav's fault.

To be very clear my comment says more about Sav than it does about Dixon. I wish neither of them were on our list. But even Dixon's corpse still occasionally does things like kick a goal. Or at least a ****ing behind.

He came over the back of the pack for that double fister. If he was all on his own or playing from the front I'd agree with you.

 

[PJ Power]

I would tolerate Ryan Burton coming back as a sub. Sinn played well enough to keep his spot but with both him and Jones having some injury history and evans still running on only 12 games of AFL i feel like Burton could work as a sub if one of those needs a chopout or less TOG.

And also because that way he could come on fresh and wouldn't be quite as likely to give up defensive chase as he normally does.

Burton also gives us a fair bit of flexibility. Could go forward if Marshall goes down early, or back.

For me, the biggest question is if Marshall and Dixon are both “available”, who do you take the punt on? I can’t see us picking Lord or Visentini. Neither Marshall or Dixon instil any confidence, but for different reasons.

My ideal scenario for changes, assuming Farrell isn’t fit and Burton is:
1. Out Francis Evans
2. Narkle forward to Evans’ position
3. Lorenz to Narkle’s wing
4. Burton to sub
5. Marshall gets the nod over Dixon

 

[PJ Power]

The plan will be Charlie in for Marshall where the smaller SCG may suit Dixon.
Farrel is too big a risk with the back-line looking OK last night, alas Jones has been sighted for dangerous tackle

Jones will be cited for tackle of the year, not dangerous tackle.

 

[PJ Power]

He came over the back of the pack for that double fister. If he was all on his own or playing from the front I'd agree with you.

He also took that last mark.