List Mgmt. Christmas comes early (Nov 28 - 19 sleeps) - Draftee discussion

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I'm hoping we keep our powder dry til draft night and not do anything with pick 2 and 20 until then if anything.
With the incoming Hunt taking a spot on our list that leaves us with 4 Main list picks.
26, 27 and 39 for Robertson and pick 15 which values Robertson at pick 25 would leave us 3 spots and 3 picks.
We actually have 5 main list spots available and if Hurn does a Redden we’ll have 6
 
I don’t like this mindset.

You’ve got to back yourself as a club that you’ll win the player over once he joins. Build that connection so he won’t want to leave.

If you fail, take your licks and get full value, but I hope we take the best option regardless of supposed ‘go home’ concerns.
Whilst I agree with your sentiment if I was to agree with your argument entirely I think I would need to pre-suppose a number of critical things:
1. Sheezel is the best player available - I would argue that he's about equal with Wardlaw and Cadman;
2. Sheezel is the best option for us - I don't think he necessarily is. On a "needs" basis I would have a pure mid (i.e. Wardlaw) or a KPF (i.e. Cadman) as more important for us; and
3. The quality of West Coast's culture - I think that West Coast has done a fantastic job of retaining players over their history (with only small outliers). However, the culture of any organisation is often hard to properly analyse and keep tabs on. The larger the organisation the harder it is to ensure everything is as it should be. I do worry about the playing group after what was our worst on-field season to date, and while I am hopeful that we will put player (and staff) welfare as priority one I'm not naive enough to believe that we are immune to being affected in similar ways to other AFL clubs recently. A lot of organisations (including the one I work at) makes tokenistic statements about the value of mental health, families and work-life balance but such platitudes are often skin deep.

My proposal was simply that the club is responsible for doing it's homework. IIRC the rumblings re. Horne-Francis were there prior to NM's selection of him last year. They obviously grew during the season and in the latter rounds it was quite clear that he wanted out. As fans we only get fed very basic information on these situations. The club would by privy to substantially more information than what we have available to us on Sheezel (and all other players who would be around our picks, both now and what they will be in November). I'm not suggesting that they make a decision on what the general public knows (and the rumblings and wild interpretations of Sheezel's interviews), I'm suggesting that our recruiters should be making necessary inquiries (like whether all his teammates came to his birthday party) so they are aware of this likelihood.
Of course, if he is the best player by far available then you might still be inclined to take him, however, if there are legitimate reservations about the "go-home" factor I think what is now occurring with Horne-Francis is very detrimental to North Melbourne. Now you might say "well that's reflective of their culture" and to a small extent that might be true, however, it seems blatantly obvious that we'd be in a similar situation for the vast majority of the 16 non-SA teams given Horne-Francis' propensity.

If we select Sheezel and then he wants to bail within 12 months, that's either:
1. a failure by the recruiters to properly identify a strong desire to return home (which I in no way am attributing as a character flaw, as family is important); or
2. a failure by our club (and its culture) to retain Sheezel.

Either way it results in us losing momentum in our rebuild (as we lose a year of development for our highest rated 18-19 year old) and a likely failure to be properly reimbursed from the team trading with us for the player returning home.

For the record, I wouldn't hold the same standard if a player wanted to leave 3-5 years after joining the club, simply the first year (or two) where it should be identified (through draft interviews etc), avoided (by not selecting the player) or practices put in place for retention (ala your post of proactively ensuring the player stays).
 
After the interview with O'Brien today where one of the journalists asked him pointedly about taking a player like Horne-Francis with a known "go-home" factor (i.e. Sheezel) and O'Brien stipulating that they "won't be put off in any way" there's really no excuse for us to make the mistake of taking Sheezel if we have any inkling that he is likely to want to return to Melbourne in the next couple of years.
keep in mind if we're looking at a splitting strategy we need to represent the willingness to select anybody. no good trying to fleece an extra pick out of a club wanting to trade up for someone like sheezel if they know we are no threat of actually selecting him.
 

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keep in mind if we're looking at a splitting strategy we need to represent the willingness to select anybody. no good trying to fleece an extra pick out of a club wanting to trade up for someone like sheezel if they know we are no threat of actually selecting him.
Also puts teams on notice that they'll have to trade up for xxx player, if they really want him, rather than waiting for interstate teams to pass on them.
I concur, but I would suggest that nobody outside of the inner circle of the West Coast recruiting team (and probably the head coach) should know our intentions (certainly not at this point a couple of months out from the draft) and they should be on a strict code of silence.
At times it does feel that the press (and Twomey) somehow have a finger on the pulse of teams, however, in this situation it would be prudent to play our cards close to our chest (particularly if we intend to split our pick 2).
 
I concur, but I would suggest that nobody outside of the inner circle of the West Coast recruiting team (and probably the head coach) should know our intentions (certainly not at this point a couple of months out from the draft) and they should be on a strict code of silence.
At times it does feel that the press (and Twomey) somehow have a finger on the pulse of teams, however, in this situation it would be prudent to play our cards close to our chest (particularly if we intend to split our pick 2).
If there’s one thing you can be confident of the club doing at draft time, it’s keeping our intentions well disguised
 
Looking at the draft list sticky at the top of the thread GWS have an absolutely stacked draft hand.

They’ve still got the Hopper deal but assume they’ll want 2023 draft capital as part of that trade. Richmond have sweet FA to offer this year in any event.

Shame they’re only one spot behind us. They’d have to be really keen on someone to trade up one spot and give us something worthwhile in doing so.
 
Clubs are going to find it hard to trade out excess picks in the 50's and 60's this year, particularly after the player trade period is over.

Not many teams needing to match second round bids on academy or father son kids.

And if I was a club needing to use my later picks at the draft, I'd just wait until the predraft list lodgment, that determines the final draft order, and watch my pick/s in the 70'sand 80's move up 20 odd places as the AFL takes away those picks that clubs can't use at the draft, and then on draft night, they'll move up further, as cubs pass on their last pick/s.
 
I don’t like this mindset.

You’ve got to back yourself as a club that you’ll win the player over once he joins. Build that connection so he won’t want to leave.

If you fail, take your licks and get full value, but I hope we take the best option regardless of supposed ‘go home’ concerns.
This is absolutely true, take the best player. Once they get to the club, form friendships, bond they are likely to stay.

Good post CC
 
Perhaps, I think that the Sheed selection was fairly telegraphed IIRC.

That was more a result of lazy journalism though - if there’s a highly rated WA prospect then he’ll be linked by West Coast. Sheed was a natural link

Oscar Allen was linked to us with our first pick in 2017 but we took Brander

Last year with Chesser being linked to us just before the draft was one time when it got out
 
That was more a result of lazy journalism though - if there’s a highly rated WA prospect then he’ll be linked by West Coast. Sheed was a natural link

Oscar Allen was linked to us with our first pick in 2017 but we took Brander

Last year with Chesser being linked to us just before the draft was one time when it got out

Just to add to your comment, remember when everyone thought we’d take Powell-Pepper?

We definitely automatically get linked to every decent WA prospect
 

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Humphrey could go on to be the best Mid in this draft. Damaging mid who can go forward take a clunk and kick off both feet he is also hard as nails.

Think his stock will just continue to rise from here.
Good to hear. Read somewhere or someone on here mentioned him but only once. Sounds like a pie man move given the usual hush hush about us. Might be a clever slide back…well here’s hoping anyway and fingers crossed we nail this draft
 
Humphrey could go on to be the best Mid in this draft. Damaging mid who can go forward take a clunk and kick off both feet he is also hard as nails.

Think his stock will just continue to rise from here.

If the Hawks or Dons get pick 7 from the Suns we should be trying to get both of their firsts for 2 and our 2nd/s

Would love Phillipou and Humphries or McKenzie
 
Depends. They could take the Port offer and take Wardlaw at 1 and Jefferson at 8. That’s what I believe makes sense for them.

I really liked your double slide back trades.

2 for 3 and 18.

Then 3 for 4 and 22.

Leaves you 4, 18, 20, 22, 26, 27, 39.

Package 26, 27 and 39 for our 15.

So 4, 15, 18, 20, 22.

4. McKenzie
15. Hotton
18. ???
20. ???
22. ???
That's the dream but there's a large spanner in the way goes by the name of ROB
 


Humphrey could go on to be the best Mid in this draft. Damaging mid who can go forward take a clunk and kick off both feet he is also hard as nails.

Think his stock will just continue to rise from here.

I like everything about his game except his kicking.

I think he is one of the worst kicks, in the touted top 15.

He is as hard as nails, great leader, has a swagger and takes the game on, decision making is good too, however the disposal accuracy is a concern for me and consequently I have him in the second half of the first round.

Conversely I have Mackenzie higher because he has very neat and tidy foot skills, as does Hotton.

Just saying.
 
I like everything about his game except his kicking.

I think he is one of the worst kicks, in the touted top 15.

He is as hard as nails, great leader, has a swagger and takes the game on, decision making is good too, however the disposal accuracy is a concern for me and consequently I have him in the second half of the first round.

Conversely I have Mackenzie higher because he has very neat and tidy foot skills, as does Hotton.

Just saying.
Doesn't have the best penetrating kick but seems tidy enough.

I like how he is dual sided and won't be a player who gets stuck on the wrong side.

His handball is bloody impressive and is one of his best weapons.

Feel if he tests well he will go top 8
 
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