Oh. I hadn’t heard that.
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AFLW 2024 - Round 9 - Indigenous Round - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Prediction How will the Geelong Cats fare in season 2024?
- Thread starter The rabbi
- Start date
- Tagged users None
This year's been so weird that whoever wins it will have a touch of Bradbury about them. Why should it not be us?
Pure_Ownage
TheBrownDog
They dont have king but they do have marshall and membrey so i wonder if we play sdk. Or maybe blitz follows marshall around the ground.
Scott said rohan will play,tanner will miss.
That to me looked like a tough game at optus so i wouldnt be surprised if 2e or henry get managed then again its a must win so maybe we just go all out.
Pure_Ownage
TheBrownDog
I think hawks will lose today but win their last 2 so if freo lose next week the last game of round 24 will be live and an elim final.
BlakeyNoFlakey
Brownlow Medallist
Before the season started, I thought the Cats would make the eight but not the top 4, and it now looks like we will be in the top 4. What a year.
Vdubs
Hall of Famer
Many had Hawks to be near the bottom this year, but they're smashing Carlton, and should win their last 2- top 8 almost certainly. What a season! No such thing as an upset any more.
Top 4 is now ours to lose, which is a great effort after last season.
Top 4 is now ours to lose, which is a great effort after last season.
catempire
Premium Platinum
Happy with this prediction from March
Vdubs
Hall of Famer
What are your thoughts on Hawthorn? I know we dealt with them twice really well, but with Sicily and Ginnivan in the team, and their current form, I think they will stay in the 8, and would hate to play them in September
Kobe Gryant
'07, '09, '11, '22
Only just to laugh at him.
I don't think I've seen a Cats supporter agree with his take that we're premiers in waiting even once.
We've shut it down at every turn, so much so that oppo supporters are laughing that even Geelong fans don't agree with him.
catempire
Premium Platinum
Would LOVE to play them in September. They are riding a wave but they are clearly the least to fear of those in contention to make it. Certainty to lose the EF if they make it.
- Aug 18, 2018
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Very happy to be incorrect. On Carlton I continue to be pleasantly surprised. On St kilda I think my judgement was being affected by the underlying fear that Ross Lyon football was going to start gaining traction among the wider comp.
Seems to me the teams that really challenge the Cats clinical yet flexible approach are those that go Bazball (which I hate BTW). That is just go mental, kick the ball off the ground for 40m, handball out of your arse, kick/lead at whim.
It undermines our plans bigtime. BUT we adjust.
The upside to this folks is that we are in this balls deep this year. Great team, great coaching, great culture.
Let's enjoy what comes our way.
Have faith, every big game is a bonus for the kittens. And who knows?
It undermines our plans bigtime. BUT we adjust.
The upside to this folks is that we are in this balls deep this year. Great team, great coaching, great culture.
Let's enjoy what comes our way.
Have faith, every big game is a bonus for the kittens. And who knows?
Interesting- may pan out and yet, and every one of these might be incorrect.
Couldnt have you said that in a more kinder fashion to the Cats !!!
Vdubs
Hall of Famer
Yes.
It's completely in our own hands.
Pure_Ownage
TheBrownDog
The only question is whether us or port finish 2nd which probably comes down to %..the rest i agree with.
We will see soon enough! But I’d have thought there were still quite a few questions to be asked.
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I feel like the following is an "odd" profile for a team that may finish 2nd-3rd:
2024 Rankings (differential compared to opposition)
Contested possessions: 12th
Uncontested possessions: 14th
Hit Outs: 16th
Clearances: 13th
Tackles: 11th
Marks: 12th
Contested marks: 11th
Inside 50s: 8th
Handball receives: 17th
5th for points for, 10th for points against.
What we do very well is intercept. We create an abundance of scores from kick ins and turnovers compared to our opposition. We are elite at spoiling and winning ground ball + loose ball gets. Then we are efficient at converting inside 50s into scores from these situations.
I'm fairly confident in saying we would be an outlier team statistically if we were to go deep in September.
Of course the limitation of seasonal averages is they may no longer reflect current trends, which is why Champion Data tends to focus on 6 week blocks. On that basis we may be trending up. But I'd still say the way we are winning this year differs to a lot of top sides over recent years.
2024 Rankings (differential compared to opposition)
Contested possessions: 12th
Uncontested possessions: 14th
Hit Outs: 16th
Clearances: 13th
Tackles: 11th
Marks: 12th
Contested marks: 11th
Inside 50s: 8th
Handball receives: 17th
5th for points for, 10th for points against.
What we do very well is intercept. We create an abundance of scores from kick ins and turnovers compared to our opposition. We are elite at spoiling and winning ground ball + loose ball gets. Then we are efficient at converting inside 50s into scores from these situations.
I'm fairly confident in saying we would be an outlier team statistically if we were to go deep in September.
Of course the limitation of seasonal averages is they may no longer reflect current trends, which is why Champion Data tends to focus on 6 week blocks. On that basis we may be trending up. But I'd still say the way we are winning this year differs to a lot of top sides over recent years.
Thanks for all this info, Meowza. I think it underlines what I've found myself suspecting more and more again in recent weeks.
Our coach is the next best thing to a genius when it comes to wringing the best out of a compromised list. Set him any series of constraints and he'll find a compelling way to make the best of it.
And his 'making the best of it' is then regularly capable of troubling the best that any other club can ever muster. He really is insanely good at this coaching caper, as his long-term CV clearly shows.
#whatanappointmentwaybackwhen
#lovethisclub
Vdubs
Hall of Famer
you covered it all, great summary
