Oppo Camp Non Geelong football (AFL) discussion 2024, Part I

[Hamingja]

In all seriousness though the Dogs at $13.50 on Betfair is not the worst bet IMO.

They could finish 5th/6th and only have to play one final interstate.

If they make the GF only have to show up on the day to collect the cup when interstate side "X" shits their pants on the big stage.

 

[D BRIDGE]

Just done the math and we can still finish 2nd if everything goes our way.

If Freo beat Port by 1 point.. we will need to beat West Coast by around 100/110 points.

Natually if Freo beat Port by 20ish... maybe 70/85ish would have us cover Ports %

We also would need the Doggies to beat GWS (by any margin).

It's not beyond the realms of possibility and still a slight chance.


Also.... and sadly.

Our game is before the Port/Freo - GWS/Dogs games so we will not have the intel on what we potentially would need.

So we simply must come out and go for the jugular to push for that 110 minimum range and hope for the best.

If our game was later in the round it could have possibly (given other results) given us the option to rest Danger or anyone else they deemed "rest-worthy".

Anyway... we just need to smash WC and then hope things fall our way.

80ish points would give us a sniff of 2nd if GWS/Port lose... 120 would lock it in if those teams lose by my math.


We really have not been good enough to punish any side by a large margin this year... So I'm not holding my breath.

But WC at home... Surely it's a chance.

 

[And_ROOS]

Just done the math and we can still finish 2nd if everything goes our way.

If Freo beat Port by 1 point.. we will need to beat West Coast by around 100/110 points.

Natually if Freo beat Port by 20ish... maybe 70/85ish would have us cover Ports %

We also would need the Doggies to beat GWS (by any margin).

It's not beyond the realms of possibility and still a slight chance.


Also.... and sadly.

Our game is before the Port/Freo - GWS/Dogs games so we will not have the intel on what we potentially would need.

So we simply must come out and go for the jugular to push for that 110 minimum range and hope for the best.

If our game was later in the round it could have possibly (given other results) given us the option to rest Danger or anyone else they deemed "rest-worthy".

Anyway... we just need to smash WC and then hope things fall our way.

80ish points would give us a sniff of 2nd if GWS/Port lose... 120 would lock it in if those teams lose by my math.


We really have not been good enough to punish any side by a large margin this year... So I'm not holding my breath.

But WC at home... Surely it's a chance.

No chance we are winning by more than 40. Especially based on last nights effort.

 

[frggr]

Dogs struggling a bit with North early, but North does that to everyone.

Comben off after Jamarah poleaxed him will hurt

 

[frggr]

North are going to be a handful when they can do this for 4 quarters.

 

[frggr]

"to Liberatore, almost a throw"


Just call it a throw. You know it was.

 

[cats_09]

 

[Chinacats]

Just done the math and we can still finish 2nd if everything goes our way.

If Freo beat Port by 1 point.. we will need to beat West Coast by around 100/110 points.

Natually if Freo beat Port by 20ish... maybe 70/85ish would have us cover Ports %

We also would need the Doggies to beat GWS (by any margin).

It's not beyond the realms of possibility and still a slight chance.


Also.... and sadly.

Our game is before the Port/Freo - GWS/Dogs games so we will not have the intel on what we potentially would need.

So we simply must come out and go for the jugular to push for that 110 minimum range and hope for the best.

If our game was later in the round it could have possibly (given other results) given us the option to rest Danger or anyone else they deemed "rest-worthy".

Anyway... we just need to smash WC and then hope things fall our way.

80ish points would give us a sniff of 2nd if GWS/Port lose... 120 would lock it in if those teams lose by my math.


We really have not been good enough to punish any side by a large margin this year... So I'm not holding my breath.

But WC at home... Surely it's a chance.

Ahh good point. The last H & A game of the year should be all played at the same time like English football. We play earlier gives the advantage to GWS & Port….

 

[fpm84]

Just done the math and we can still finish 2nd if everything goes our way.

If Freo beat Port by 1 point.. we will need to beat West Coast by around 100/110 points.

Natually if Freo beat Port by 20ish... maybe 70/85ish would have us cover Ports %

We also would need the Doggies to beat GWS (by any margin).

It's not beyond the realms of possibility and still a slight chance.


Also.... and sadly.

Our game is before the Port/Freo - GWS/Dogs games so we will not have the intel on what we potentially would need.

So we simply must come out and go for the jugular to push for that 110 minimum range and hope for the best.

If our game was later in the round it could have possibly (given other results) given us the option to rest Danger or anyone else they deemed "rest-worthy".

Anyway... we just need to smash WC and then hope things fall our way.

80ish points would give us a sniff of 2nd if GWS/Port lose... 120 would lock it in if those teams lose by my math.


We really have not been good enough to punish any side by a large margin this year... So I'm not holding my breath.

But WC at home... Surely it's a chance.

Funnily enough I expect Port and GWS to both lose next week, but I can’t see us beating WCE by the required margin. Has a 6 goal win written all over it.

 

[Footy_Fan2007]

Dogs will win this by 100 plus.

 

[Munich]

Dogs will win this by 100 plus.

Should do

 

[Vdubs]

Just HOPING the Hawks do not pinch our record score today. This is looking like a shellacking that we haven't seen this year.

 

[catsfootyfan89]

It really is a credit to Geelong that we haven't slid down the pickings in the last 20 years like Richmond have this season. The way they're playing is just embarrassing. They are North-level bad.

 

[fpm84]

Don’t know if Richmond would beat a VFL team today.

 

[Vdubs]

Don’t know if Richmond would beat a VFL team today.

yes, the Tigers.

 

[UnitedWarrior93]

Hawks can go all the way, 0-5 start who would’ve thought.

 

[Vdubs]

I don't recall the 3-peat Hawks being this ruthless and dominant; the Tigers are deplorable though.

 

[Vdubs]

Hawks can go all the way, 0-5 start who would’ve thought.

They certainly have the team, hunger and form.

 

[winty]

The way they're going, they're a sneaky chance of actually doing this today.

 

[fpm84]

Finishing 4th means we avoid the winner of the likely Dogs/Hawks EF if we lose in week one.

 

[cats_09]

yes, the Tigers.

Their VFL team actually won today

 

[cats_09]

 

[Vdubs]

Their VFL team actually won today

View attachment 2083549

would they beat this Tigers team? Of course not

 

[Romeoh1]

Just done the math and we can still finish 2nd if everything goes our way.

If Freo beat Port by 1 point.. we will need to beat West Coast by around 100/110 points.

Natually if Freo beat Port by 20ish... maybe 70/85ish would have us cover Ports %

We also would need the Doggies to beat GWS (by any margin).

It's not beyond the realms of possibility and still a slight chance.


Also.... and sadly.

Our game is before the Port/Freo - GWS/Dogs games so we will not have the intel on what we potentially would need.

So we simply must come out and go for the jugular to push for that 110 minimum range and hope for the best.

If our game was later in the round it could have possibly (given other results) given us the option to rest Danger or anyone else they deemed "rest-worthy".

Anyway... we just need to smash WC and then hope things fall our way.

80ish points would give us a sniff of 2nd if GWS/Port lose... 120 would lock it in if those teams lose by my math.


We really have not been good enough to punish any side by a large margin this year... So I'm not holding my breath.

But WC at home... Surely it's a chance.

It’s a chance but WC have been going ok so hard to see us winning by that much especially when you consider how average we have been at k.park this year. But yes-it’s not impossible

 

[Vdubs]

It’s a chance but WC have been going ok so hard to see us winning by that much especially when you consider how average we have been at k.park this year. But yes-it’s not impossible

A win will do for me.