Certified Legendary Thread Sack Hinkley 12 - Finals Are Scary

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Port's record against teams in the top 8 this year is 6-4. For context, Sydney's is 7-3, Brisbane's is 5-5 and Geelong's is 6-5. So based on this season at least I can't agree with the idea that Port capitulate against the top teams relative to their competitors. In previous years (especially around 2017) they absolutely could not beat teams in the top 8, but that imo hasn't been a problem for quite some years.

I would also challenge you to take the best 10 players out of any team and see how the remainder of the team performs against good sides. You're drawing some pretty long bows there which are purely subjective.

Hawthorn had the #1 offence and #1 defence since round 9 of this season. Won 15 of their past 19 games heading into last Friday night by an average of 45 points. They are a really good team and one can't simply overlook them and be dismissive of the win.

If Port win on Friday night, Ken deserves a lot of credit. Can't say that getting a team to a grand final is purely because of sound list management.
From 2020-2022 we were 10W-16L against top 8 sides, and 2W-10L against top 4 sides.
From 2023-2024 we are 10W-6L against top 8, and 4W-3L against top 4 sides.

However - we played the least games against top 8 sides this year, and played the equal least against top 8 sides last year. Given we only have a percentage of just under 100 in 2023 and just over 100 in 2024 against top 8 sides, it's fair to say that increasing the sample size likely would most likely increase the number of losses.
 

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Port's record against teams in the top 8 this year is 6-4. For context, Sydney's is 7-3, Brisbane's is 5-5 and Geelong's is 6-5. So based on this season at least I can't agree with the idea that Port capitulate against the top teams relative to their competitors. In previous years (especially around 2017) they absolutely could not beat teams in the top 8, but that imo hasn't been a problem for quite some years.

I would also challenge you to take the best 10 players out of any team and see how the remainder of the team performs against good sides. You're drawing some pretty long bows there which are purely subjective.

Hawthorn had the #1 offence and #1 defence since round 9 of this season. Won 15 of their past 19 games heading into last Friday night by an average of 45 points. They are a really good team and one can't simply overlook them and be dismissive of the win.

If Port win on Friday night, Ken deserves a lot of credit. Can't say that getting a team to a grand final is purely because of sound list management.
So there is a clear trend that the amount of time Hinkley spends in the coaches box is inversely proportional to the amount of wins we get against Top 8 and Top 4 opposition. 😂😂😂😂😂
 
Can he be coach next year with an expiring contract?
This is the problem. Bucks was talking about it the other day.

The AFL has created a narrative that coaches can't possibly coach out a contract year and Koch has created a narrative where we can't sack a coach with a contract. So round and round we go.

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Don't conflate the two ideas.

1) Hinkley deserves credit if anyone can point to any actual things he did to get the list to a grand final
2) the Club cannot do better while Hinkley is senior coach.

Both statements can be true.

FTFY

Perhaps. I still think we are relying too much on fanatical chaos and would be far better if the effort was coupled with better structure. We will never get that with Hinkley.
Geelong @ KP: W by 6
Hawthorn @ AO: W by 1
Carlton @ AO: L by 36
GWS @ SHO: L by 22
Brisbane @ AO: L by 79
Bulldogs @ AO: W by 48
Carlton @ MVL: W by 14
Sydney @ AO: W by 112
Geelong @ AO: L by 84
Hawthorn @ AO: W by 3

🪀

Yeah that's telling. For lack of better math-y terms it's the amplitude and shape of our yo-yo swings, mostly large-L and small-W, that makes it hard to believe we can win 3 finals in a row playing as we do against the 'more consistent' 'good' sides. And we're never getting a WB-2016 type umpired ride to the top.

Fanatical chaos is mostly on the players by definition. Last Friday night they owned a previous week's structural and setup failures in a way our coach never does. That first half was epic on effort, not so much on scoreboard pressure. And we just got over the line against a very well performing side who, yes, got a bit of a ride at key times (never mind the FK count, feel the quality of them) but also blew a real chance to win from behind in spite of everything. Winning 3 in a row at that intensity, dealing with 'bad run of cards' umpiring and serious outs from/weaknesses in the best 22 surely needs more than adrenaline and a 'rolling the dice' game plan FFS. If it turns out differently, happy to take that massive outlier for the record books but it won't change my opinion of Hinkley's limitations or of his limited contribution to it after a long decade of, ah, him "hitting his ceiling" to put it politely.
 
Heard Rozee on sen. They asked what you did this week to win and he just said we simplified everything.

He said basically Geelong game too many things to think about and not really clear messages so we simplified it all to just effort and contest work this week.

Sounds like the coaches have no ****ing clue don’t even send them out there with clear game plan so got absolutely walked off the park by Geelong.

Was confirming what we already think without probably meaning to say it. The coaching is shit house.
 
I think due to my cosmic karma balance always resulting in suffering, the most likely outcome is:

  • a 5-6 goal defeat against Sydney where we're never really in it, but we're close enough that it isn't completely embarrassing
  • a heavy dose of media saying finals are hard to win, and making a prelim is a great outcome, and 14 other teams would be jealous
  • this being more than enough for kockhead and co to declare season 2024 a ripping success, and we roll around in 2025 with good ol master coach Kenny at the helm.
 
This is the problem. Bucks was talking about it the other day.

The AFL has created a narrative that coaches can't possibly coach out a contract year and Koch has created a narrative where we can't sack a coach with a contract. So round and round we go.

On SM-G975F using BigFooty.com mobile app

I'm begrudgingly accepting of the fact that he will very likely be coaching next year....but how does this purported hand over work? The club will have to address the situation at some stage, either he's coaching for another contract extension next year, or he's seeing out his final year and will hand over to Carr.

If he fails to make a GF this year, I simply fail to see how he can coach for another contract next year given his length of tenure, failures, Josh waiting in the wings and supporter unrest.

But then this is Ken & Koch, anything is possible.


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Sam Edmund

@Sammy__Edmund
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The West Coast coaching search has been narrowed to four candidates.Andrew McQualter, Steven King, Brett Montgomery and Hayden Skipworth are the quartet of contenders left in the race for the Eagles’ top job. King and McQualter seen as the frontrunners of that four.

It’s understood Port Adelaide coach Ken Hinkley was never approached and regardless, has never had any desire to move to Perth.

Just give up, our club is run by a load of selfish egotistical arse wipes.
 
I'm begrudgingly accepting of the fact that he will very likely be coaching next year....but how does this purported hand over work? The club will have to address the situation at some stage, either he's coaching for another contract extension next year, or he's seeing out his final year and will hand over to Carr.

If he fails to make a GF this year, I simply fail to see how he can coach for another contract next year given his length of tenure, failures, Josh waiting in the wings and supporter unrest.

But then this is Ken & Koch, anything is possible.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app
I'm getting to the stage where I wouldn't be surprised if they give him another 1 year extension because he couldn't possibly coach out the final year of his contract, the pressure wouldn't be fair.

On SM-G975F using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

Sam Edmund

@Sammy__Edmund
·
Follow
The West Coast coaching search has been narrowed to four candidates.Andrew McQualter, Steven King, Brett Montgomery and Hayden Skipworth are the quartet of contenders left in the race for the Eagles’ top job. King and McQualter seen as the frontrunners of that four.

It’s understood Port Adelaide coach Ken Hinkley was never approached and regardless, has never had any desire to move to Perth.

Just give up, our club is run by a load of selfish egotistical arse wipes.
As I said some way back I heard King was pretty much a dead certainty and Hinkley not approached.
 

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This is the problem. Bucks was talking about it the other day.

The AFL has created a narrative that coaches can't possibly coach out a contract year and Koch has created a narrative where we can't sack a coach with a contract. So round and round we go.

On SM-G975F using BigFooty.com mobile app
This is like that movie cube.
There's no escape.
 
I'm begrudgingly accepting of the fact that he will very likely be coaching next year....but how does this purported hand over work? The club will have to address the situation at some stage, either he's coaching for another contract extension next year, or he's seeing out his final year and will hand over to Carr.

If he fails to make a GF this year, I simply fail to see how he can coach for another contract next year given his length of tenure, failures, Josh waiting in the wings and supporter unrest.

But then this is Ken & Koch, anything is possible.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

Regardless of what happens over the next 2 weeks, if the handover to Carr is what the club has been angling for, the best possible outcome is to announce good and early that 2025 is definitely his last year.

If Collingwood could do it with Malthouse and Buckley when Malthouse was at the peak of his powers, it shouldn’t still be a point of contention because Hinkley keeps bobbing up like a magic tartare sauce cork, having randomly avoided the mouth of a giant squid for the thousandth time.
 
Regardless of what happens over the next 2 weeks, if the handover to Carr is what the club has been angling for, the best possible outcome is to announce good and early that 2025 is definitely his last year.

If Collingwood could do it with Malthouse and Buckley when Malthouse was at the peak of his powers, it shouldn’t still be a point of contention because Hinkley keeps bobbing up like a magic tartare sauce cork, having randomly avoided the mouth of a giant squid for the thousandth time.
It's like getting 12 months added to a prison sentence.
 
Be interested in some West Coast assistants if the new West Coast coach brings in his own people. (actually only one)
Would love Schofield back but doubt it’ll happen under Davies, Koch and Hinkley.

Would love Sumich also, but he is now invested in the Junior Programs in WA and out of the AFL system.
 
I'm getting to the stage where I wouldn't be surprised if they give him another 1 year extension because he couldn't possibly coach out the final year of his contract, the pressure wouldn't be fair.

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It honestly wouldn’t surprise me.

It’s all just about Kochies ego now.
 
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