- Jun 19, 2006
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- AFL Club
- Geelong
I posted a number of times here earlier in the year when things were really bad with injuries and uncompetitive performances. I actually suggested that if you got your best team on the park you should be looking at 6-7 wins and if things go right maybe up to 9. At the time that seemed fantasy but the last 3 performances show you're not that bad a side. Beating StKilda and Port with players missing shouldn't be underestimated. Then on the weekend you pushed Collingwood reasonably close with very little impact from senior players bar Griffen. You've got 11 games left, 3 of which you'll go in to as favourites (Melb x2 and GWS). Then you've got a bunch of other games as underdogs where you'd have to be considered an outside chance (Rich, WC, Ess and Adel at home and Carl and Bris away). Really only Hawthorn and Sydney are almost impossible to see a win.
So from here I think a realistic expectation would be 7 games won. Then being competitive in a bunch of others and really you've had a pretty reasonable year. That far exceeds expectations at the start of the year but also far exceeds what most supporters thought early on. It would be a pretty major turn around and shows McCartney's on the right track.
While I'm here I couldn't let this one go through to the keeper. Here's every player who played a prelim from 2008-2010 for you blokes and whether they're still playing or not:
Still Playing at the Bulldogs:
Boyd*
Giansiracusa*
Murphy
Griffen
Cooney*
Minson
Morris*
Addison
Cross*
Higgins*
Williams*
Grant*
Picken
* Either not playing or playing at much reduced output due to age or injury.
Not on the Bulldogs' list:
Gilbee
Callan
Lake
Eagleton
Hargraeve
Johnson
Harbrow
Akermanis
Tiller
Hahn
Hudson
Hill
Welsh
Ward
Hall
So 28 players were played across the 3 prelims. 15 of them are gone, 3 of them are giving significantly less output due to age (Giansiracusa, Cross and Boyd), 4 of them have had horror injuries and are significantly reduced output (Higgins, Williams, Cooney and Morris) and 1 has seriously falen away in form (Grant).
So that leaves 5 of 28 who are playing at a similar level to what they were. Of those Addison and Picken are no more than honest. So really McCartney's got 3 better than average players left (who are still playing at that level) from the prelim sides in Minson, Griffen and Murphy.
If that turnover isn't enough to be a cause of the drop in team performance what type of turnover would be?
You also said that it was McCartney making those changes but if you look through the list how many could still be playing good footy at the dogs who aren't? Lake for sure. Did Hill get moved on by McCartney or was that just before he came in? What about Hudson (although surely Minson's outperforming what Hudson would've done)? Apart from that I don't see who else there is since people like Hargraeve and Gilbee were aleady struggling and would be almost 32 now.
Do you really not see that the list has turned over massively and most of that has been due to players getting older rather than McCartney deciding to get rid of good players?
So from here I think a realistic expectation would be 7 games won. Then being competitive in a bunch of others and really you've had a pretty reasonable year. That far exceeds expectations at the start of the year but also far exceeds what most supporters thought early on. It would be a pretty major turn around and shows McCartney's on the right track.
The funny thing is that even with the mistakes of the recent past, we still performed so much better than we have under McCartney, which suggests to me he is making a lot more mistakes than his predecessor. I don't buy the "blame the playing list" excuse. It simply doesn't add up, not only because the list hasn't changed enough to justify the fall in team performance, but also because McCartney has been the one making those changes.
While I'm here I couldn't let this one go through to the keeper. Here's every player who played a prelim from 2008-2010 for you blokes and whether they're still playing or not:
Still Playing at the Bulldogs:
Boyd*
Giansiracusa*
Murphy
Griffen
Cooney*
Minson
Morris*
Addison
Cross*
Higgins*
Williams*
Grant*
Picken
* Either not playing or playing at much reduced output due to age or injury.
Not on the Bulldogs' list:
Gilbee
Callan
Lake
Eagleton
Hargraeve
Johnson
Harbrow
Akermanis
Tiller
Hahn
Hudson
Hill
Welsh
Ward
Hall
So 28 players were played across the 3 prelims. 15 of them are gone, 3 of them are giving significantly less output due to age (Giansiracusa, Cross and Boyd), 4 of them have had horror injuries and are significantly reduced output (Higgins, Williams, Cooney and Morris) and 1 has seriously falen away in form (Grant).
So that leaves 5 of 28 who are playing at a similar level to what they were. Of those Addison and Picken are no more than honest. So really McCartney's got 3 better than average players left (who are still playing at that level) from the prelim sides in Minson, Griffen and Murphy.
If that turnover isn't enough to be a cause of the drop in team performance what type of turnover would be?
You also said that it was McCartney making those changes but if you look through the list how many could still be playing good footy at the dogs who aren't? Lake for sure. Did Hill get moved on by McCartney or was that just before he came in? What about Hudson (although surely Minson's outperforming what Hudson would've done)? Apart from that I don't see who else there is since people like Hargraeve and Gilbee were aleady struggling and would be almost 32 now.
Do you really not see that the list has turned over massively and most of that has been due to players getting older rather than McCartney deciding to get rid of good players?