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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
I was referring to when we started competing for finals , that was 2012 when we just missed out, winning a flag is dependent on getting so much right , that’s further est thing , the plan this far out is contending and like I pointed out it only took a few years2010 was Jack and Rance’s 4th season, Cotch’s 2nd, and Dusty’s 1st.
We won a flag in Jack’s and Rance’s 10th season. Cotch’s 8th and Dusty’s 7th.
It’s a long road ahead if we consider we have none of the equivalent players on our kids.
Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
We haven’t had a dynasty since 2020. We deserve a pick
You still largely get your generational mids in the top-3. With our likely haul it will be worth trading two of our picks for pick 2.M Y advice to the strategists , don’t get too smart and lose top 20 pics to trade down . The pathetic 19 vote brownlow haul served to highlight what I reported by r8 that we were at lowest point in our history. This means we need a shit ton of incoming talent not 2-3 ,,,that’s f all . I want 6-7 top 20 selections on our list ,,,,fast . That’s how we ll get momentum our way. 2 good players will push shit up hill . Many hands make light work , it’s that simple
Oh and get Shanahan ,
Even prior to 2009 we already had Jack, Sheds, Cotch, Rance and Lids on the list. (And Jackson.) (And Jake King.) (And Andy Collins.)You’d be better comparing our position to Richmond circa 2009/2010 . After we get in our draft haul
Rance and cotch were both taken in 2007 draft2010 was Jack and Rance’s 4th season, Cotch’s 2nd, and Dusty’s 1st.
We won a flag in Jack’s and Rance’s 10th season. Cotch’s 8th and
I was referring to when we started competing for finals , that was 2012 when we just missed out, winning a flag is dependent on getting so much right , that’s further est thing , the plan this far out is contending and like I pointed out it only took a few years
The astute also see that the gap between the best and the rest has diminished significantly, due to inflationary effect of FA top teams just cannot warehouse depth ,,,And it can be sped up these days due to free agency. It is not like there will be no player left on our list from 2024 who is capable of playing in our next flag. Up to half the team could be there already.
If you look at recent examples of teams who realised they were on the wrong track and decided to go to the draft, Melbourne and Carlton are the two clearest examples of teams who have risen after doing so. For the sake of brevity, let's just have a look at Melbourne, whilst remembering that Carlton ripped it up in 2015 and were top four 8 years later in 2023.
Melbourne
2012 - the list contains only Gawn and McDonald who would go on to play in their flag 9 years later. It also had Jones who would be an important leader on the road to the flag, and Frawley, Howe, and Sylvia who I think were able to be released for something significant in return. Our list should be in at least that position now, with Balta, Gibcus, Brown, Maurice Rioli, Campbell and others looking more than decent chances to be long term winners for us. And we are about to release players(Bolton, D Rioli, Baker, maybe Graham) who will immediately return more than the players Melbourne released along their whole journey to the flag(I think I am correct in saying that, if not, it wouldn't be far short.)
During the next 3 off-seasons they added Hogan, Viney, Salem, Harmes, Petracca, Brayshaw, Bullen, Oliver. That was more or less the end of their very high end draft picks until they got to their one-off 17th placed finish in 2019, which enabled them to add Jackson, Pickett, Rivers. No doubt we will throw in a season like that along the journey to create a similar opportunity. But they got 8 ultimately valuable players in the 2012-14 drafts, 7 of those were significant players who came from top 30 picks. This is roughly what we should be doing in the next 3 drafts, but for us, so much of it should be front loaded into the first of the 3 drafts, putting us a little bit ahead.
They traded for the following players along the way, or took them as free agents:
2012 Dawes, Rodan, Byrnes
2013 Cross, Riley, Tyson, Vince
2014 Newton, J Garlett, Lumumba, Frost
2015 Melksham, Kennedy, Bugg
2016 Lewis, Hibberd, McKenna
2017 Lever, Balic
2018 May, Kolodjashnij
2019 Tomlinson, Langdon
2020 Brown
2021 Premiership and clearly had the list to go on with it but certain things seem to have gone wrong within the club.
An important part of this comparison is Melbourne had to bring in older players from more successful clubs to show leadership. We already have that type of player in situ, Prestia, Nankervis, Lynch, Broad, Vlastuin, Short and Hopper and Taranto. Another way we should be slightly ahead.
Melbourne had their first top 4 finish in 2018, about 6 years on from where we are now. But a load of our talent should be able to be brought in year 1, and we probably have more long term talent already on our list than Melbourne had in 2012.
It is definitely not unrealistic to believe if we draft and trade solidly we will be pushing for top 4 by 2030 or even a bit earlier and in proper contention in the years after that.
Bullshit. Did a dopey bloke on a golf course tell you that?SDK will be a blue next year
He and weitering will form an excellent
1 -2 pairing in their back line..it will be part of a 6 club trade
Sdk - Carlton
Bailey Smith to cats
Blues 2025 first round pick to Suns
Jack lukocius to Port power
Sam Houston to Saints
Saints pick 10( battle compensation) to dogs a few little tid bits might have to be thrown in but this will be 90% of the trade done
Where is home for Butters?Trade bell on SEN today
Sam Edmund
This is listeners message
Butters planning to return home end of next season
Sam’s mail
Liam Baker still undecided waiting for coach to be appointed at WC
Lukosius on a backended contract, over 1 mill for next 2 years , going to Port
Blues big on Houston and favs to land him. Future picks likely for this trade
SDK - no chance he’ll be traded
I think it's fairly safe to say that if Houston was headed to Carlton - then their pick 11 would have to be used.Trade bell on SEN today
Sam Edmund
This is listeners message
Butters planning to return home end of next season
Sam’s mail
Liam Baker still undecided waiting for coach to be appointed at WC
Lukosius on a backended contract, over 1 mill for next 2 years , going to Port
Blues big on Houston and favs to land him. Future picks likely for this trade
SDK - no chance he’ll be traded
**** me you'd think this bloke is prime Chris JuddLiam Baker still undecided waiting for coach to be appointed at WC
I think it's fairly safe to say that if Houston was headed to Carlton - then their pick 11 would have to be used.
Why would Port let them keep that and roll the dice in a weaker draft for a pick that would likely be (after academy and father and son picks) in the 20's. Absolutely zero chance that happens
Surely he ends up at WC?**** me you'd think this bloke is prime Chris Judd
Define remotely competitive?Absolutely laughable how quickly people think we will bounce back. It’s going to take a long time until we are remotely competitive again.
Cats were mentioned, surprise, surprise!!!Where is home for Butters?
You’d think so.I think it's fairly safe to say that if Houston was headed to Carlton - then their pick 11 would have to be used.
Why would Port let them keep that and roll the dice in a weaker draft for a pick that would likely be (after academy and father and son picks) in the 20's. Absolutely zero chance that happens
Oh in that case we should pack up and fold... not bother posting anything until 2030 and lean into destructive self-harming habits like excessive drinking, drug use and gambling should we?2010 was Jack and Rance’s 4th season, Cotch’s 2nd, and Dusty’s 1st.
We won a flag in Jack’s and Rance’s 10th season. Cotch’s 8th and Dusty’s 7th.
It’s a long road ahead if we consider we have none of the equivalent players on our kids.
Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
Darley bacchus marshWhere is home for Butters?
I think we will trade in a couple , hoping big time we get peatling , looks a real talentLikely an unpopular opinion but with Baker and Co. likely leaving I think it's important we look to bring in some early or mid 20s players in the next couple of years, as long as they are not at the expense of good picks. Not only will those guys leave a hole but Prestia, Lynch, Vlastuin, Kamdyn, Broad and maybe even Nank are close to finishing. It's a lot of AFL hardened bodies to lose over a short time.
Getting our picks right is most important but I believe staying competitive comes in very close behind that. And by staying competitive I mean finishing 15th > 12th > 11th rather than 18th > 18th > 17th. IMO you are at risk of staying at rock bottom for longer these days with the player movement landscape as it is. Free Agency, players routinely breaking contract and heaps more cash getting thrown around means players have more choice in getting to contenders and getting away from basket cases. If you can show you're competitive however and are building in the right direction, you can use those same things to your advantage to lure and keep players.
Puts Geelong right in the frame if he makes the move, will probably have the cap space as well with Danger towards the endDarley bacchus marsh
No way I'd be trading future first rounders, those kinds of trades always backfire and you are left with no first rounder after having a shit year.Trade bell on SEN today
Sam Edmund
This is listeners message
Butters planning to return home end of next season
Sam’s mail
Liam Baker still undecided waiting for coach to be appointed at WC
Lukosius on a backended contract, over 1 mill for next 2 years , going to Port
Blues big on Houston and favs to land him. Future picks likely for this trade
SDK - no chance he’ll be traded
Rubbish.
Crawford, Croad, Williams, Bateman, Brown, Hodge, Osborne, Ladson, Mitchell and Sewell were all drafted before they “bottomed out” (they finished second last) in 2004. That’s nearly half their 22 in their 2008 premiership side.
They had been building that list since the 90s/early 00s and shot up the ladder after drafting Roughead, Franklin, Lewis and Young which is a generational draft haul.
The foundation was clearly there prior to 2004. Who on our list is our Shane Crawford? Sam Mitchell? Luke Hodge? Brad Sewell? We don’t have any. And if we did they won’t be there when we challenge again.
You’re vastly underestimating the existing talent on Hawks list prior to 2004 and it’s far superior to what we have.
Compare apples with apples.