Their form line since round 12 has been good though, outside of one shocker at home to Brisbane.Did you watch the game tonight? Geelong was owned by a team that was 14th on the ladder. Your scenarios assume Geelong will flick the switch and start playing good football. There is an obvious fitness problem at the club with few players able to run out a game. At this stage there is nothing we can do about that. First job is to beat WC at home. I'd say that's a 50/50 proposition. Winning a final is fanciful.
The rest have been:
-14 point win against WCE in Perth
-3 point win against GC at Marvel
-20 point loss against Brisbane at Gabba
-2 point loss against Port at Marvel
-2 point win against Sydney at Marvel
-32 point loss against Adelaide in Adelaide
-72 point win against WCE at Marvel
-53 point win against Essendon at Marvel
-48 point win against Richmond at Marvel
That's why I was worried heading into this game. The above form line is closer to that of the team that finished 6th in 2023, with 10 games under the roof this season while we were playing our first. A danger game from the outset and we couldn't bury them in the first half when we had the opportunity to do so. 3 more goals and it was probably done and dusted.
As for the rest, Geelong's form line also hasn't been shocking since round 16. We had a dreadful game in the wet against the Bulldogs and an awful half against St Kilda under the roof. Otherwise we've beaten Essendon, Collingwood, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, Adelaide and Fremantle while playing some pretty good but not spectacular footy.
I, like everyone else, fears and maybe anticipates a horror quarter or half in finals. But it's silly to declare back to back thrashings and a straight set exit a foregone conclusion. Let alone calling West Coast at home next week a 50/50 game. What a silly overreaction. That's just emotion talking, not logic.