Preview Changes and Preview Brisbane vs Ports @ Gabba, qualifying final thread

[240volt]

i have a source that told me we're going to win this game

Fagan?

 

[ClintEastwood]

i have a source that told me we're going to win this game

Nostradamus?

 

[PowerBaz]

We're gonna beat them fairly comfortably

Get our hopes up again

Lose our home prelim

Watch Brisbane run out there on grand final day anyway

Underperform next year with Ken having a two year contract

Complain in here daily

Get fired from our jobs as our work slips due to the constant negativity

Become homeless as we can't make our rent payments without a steady income

Have our families move in with the inlaws

End up begging on the street for home & away tickets while trying to make "Sack Hinkley" signs out of random bones we find on the street

Get cursed by the bones and have greyhound ghosts haunt us

Go in to the sewers and have sex with a magic fish that is said to be able to break the curse

'have sex with a magic fish'


Wild.

 

[Coobk001]

We're gonna beat them fairly comfortably

Get our hopes up again

Lose our home prelim

If we win the QF, we will win the prelim, take it to the bank.

We wont win the QF though. We will get spanked.

 

[Janus]

Listening to Daniel Hoyne from Champion Data about what changes in finals compared to home and away. Says that uncontested marks drop from an average of 90 per game to 80 per game, and that this only effects two teams in the finals - St Kilda, who is 1st in the comp for uncontested marks...and Brisbane, who is 4th.

Says the Brisbane's best chance is to get the ball outside of stoppage and into the turnover game, while Port needs to turn it into a stoppage based game. Port is the best in the competition at scoring from centre bounce, while Brisbane are the 5th worst at conceding score from centre bounce - probably because their mids all try to get on their bike in transition and 'cheat'.

This is why I said Lycett is the key to winning - if McInerney can just smash the ball to the outside all game, Brisbane will most likely cut us up on the outside. But if he can break even, our mids will cut them up on the inside.

I believe with Butters, Rozee and Horne-Francis with are the antithesis to Brisbane in the same way Adelaide is the antithesis to us - that is, we play in a way that exploits Brisbane's weaknesses (1st for scoring from centre bounce, Brisbane are 5th for conceding score from centre bounce) while negating their strengths (they are 1st for defensive to forward 50 transition, we are 3rd).

Since 2004:

2005 - Sydney - 3rd
2006 - West Coast - 1st
2007 - Geelong - 1st
2008 - Hawthorn - 2nd
2009 - Geelong - 2nd
2010 - Collingwood - 1st
2011 - Geelong - 2nd
2012 - Sydney - 3rd
2013 - Hawthorn - 1st
2014 - Hawthorn - 2nd
2015 - Hawthorn - 3rd
2016 - Western Bulldogs - 7th
2017 - Richmond - 3rd
2018 - West Coast - 2nd
2019 - Richmond - 3rd
2020 - Richmond - 3rd
2021 - Melbourne - 1st
2022 - Geelong - 1st

In 18 years, your chances of winning the premiership are just about even between 1st, 2nd and 3rd. And 10 of the 18 premiers have been dynastic teams.

 

[JUSTWORK]

FF: Willie Rioli | Ollie Lord | Todd Marshall
HF: Sam Powell-Pepper | Jeremy Finlayson | Darcy Byrne-Jones
C: Xavier Duursma | Zak Butters | Miles Bergman
R: Scott Lycett | Jason Horne-Francis | Connor Rozee
HB: Dan Houston | Aliir Aliir | Kane Farrell
FB: Ryan Burton | Trent McKenzie | Lachie Jones
I: Ollie Wines | Willem Drew | Dylan Williams | Orazio Fantasia
S: Travis Boak
E: Sam Hayes | Jed McEntee | Tom Jonas

IN: McKenzie, Lycett, Marshall, Fantasia
OUT: Jonas, Hayes, Evans, McEntee

I recon this will be close to the side we pick, except they will (wrongly) go with McEntee over Fantasia.

 

[Addy23]

FF: Willie Rioli | Ollie Lord | Todd Marshall
HF: Sam Powell-Pepper | Jeremy Finlayson | Darcy Byrne-Jones
C: Xavier Duursma | Zak Butters | Miles Bergman
R: Scott Lycett | Jason Horne-Francis | Connor Rozee
HB: Dan Houston | Aliir Aliir | Kane Farrell
FB: Ryan Burton | Trent McKenzie | Lachie Jones
I: Ollie Wines | Willem Drew | Dylan Williams | Orazio Fantasia
S: Travis Boak
E: Sam Hayes | Jed McEntee | Tom Jonas

IN: McKenzie, Lycett, Marshall, Fantasia
OUT: Jonas, Hayes, Evans, McEntee

There is a part of me that thinks we may keep Evans and drop Lord instead and play small to forcefully avoid us from kicking to their tall defenders.

 

[Ports1870]

I recon this will be close to the side we pick, except they will (wrongly) go with McEntee over Fantasia.

And also probably Boak starting over Williams

 

[Willsy10]

Malcom's had a vision

Asked a question, which camp he'd like to be in going in to finals, and he lists every top 4 side.

 

[chiwigi]

There is a part of me that thinks we may keep Evans and drop Lord instead and play small to forcefully avoid us from kicking to their tall defenders.

Didn't work against Richmond, we kept trying to hit it high to Rioli.

 

[JUSTWORK]

And also probably Boak starting over Williams

Don’t think so as Boak was training with the “whites” (seconds) today

 

[JUSTWORK]

Didn't work against Richmond, we kept trying to hit it high to Rioli.

Andrew’s would have a field day. Lord should be send to Andrew’s with a role of brining the ball to ground at every contest.

 

[Ford Fairlane]

 

[PAFC66]

 

[EskimoPAFC]

'have sex with a magic fish'


Wild.

Lonely Island ftw

 

[ClintEastwood]

View attachment 1796092

 

[SC_Power]

Has umpired 8-9 Port Adelaide games the last 2 years.
We have never won a free kick count once overall (not individual umpire stat's) and split is about 56 FA-44 FF
He is only 1 of 4 on the field of course.

 

[Alberton Proud]

View attachment 1794757

It'll blow up in their faces

 

[HighBudget]

How cringe is O Wines atomic bomb analogy? This team better win the premiership because they’re setting us up for some more Port level embarrassment

 

[JUSTWORK]

How cringe is O Wines atomic bomb analogy? This team better win the premiership because they’re setting us up for some more Port level embarrassment

People are overthinking this and making it a bigger deal than it needs to be.

 

[HighBudget]

People are overthinking this and making it a bigger deal than it needs to be.

No we’re not, It’s ****ing stupid!

 

[Holden Hillbilly]

KEY DEFENDER Trent McKenzie

12

Trent Mckenzie

Age

32

Ht

191cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.6

4star

K

11.2

4star

HB

4.4

3star

M

4.3

4star

T

2.6

4star

MG

305.7

4star

D

12.1

3star

K

10.6

4star

HB

1.6

1star

M

4.7

4star

T

1.1

2star

MG

290.6

4star

D

16.8

4star

K

10.4

4star

HB

6.4

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

3.8

5star

has proven his fitness and could squeeze his captain out of Port Adelaide's team to meet Brisbane in Saturday night's qualifying final. McKenzie hasn't played since suffering a knee injury on August 5 but has trained strongly this week, putting selection pressure on Power skipper Tom Jonas. Jonas, who will retire at season's end, was summoned as a replacement for McKenzie after a stint in the SANFL but looms as a possible omission from Port's side to meet the Lions at the Gabba on Saturday night.

Key back fit to play as Power prepare for finals scrap

Port Adelaide will welcome Trent McKenzie back for Saturday night's qualifying final against Brisbane

www.afl.com.au

 

[ClintEastwood]

No we’re not, It’s ******* stupid!

Yeah it's a bit stupid and embarrasing, but you're now officially makin too much of it.

 

[theouthouse]

Has umpired 8-9 Port Adelaide games the last 2 years.
We have never won a free kick count once overall (not individual umpire stat's) and split is about 56 FA-44 FF
He is only 1 of 4 on the field of course.

If only bets could be placed on free kick counts.

 

[Ports1870]

Looking at training photos…
In black: Butters, DBJ, Lord, SPP, Bergman, McEntee
In White: Boak and Evans.

On that basis I’d say the changes would be
In: Lycett, McKenzie, Marshall
Out: Hayes, Jonas, Evans
Williams in the 22, Boak to sub