catempire
Premium Platinum
Wild that the winner of Freo v Geelong finishes 3rd, loser 7th.
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AFLW 2024 - Round 9 - Indigenous Round - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Prediction How will the Geelong Cats fare in season 2024?
- Thread starter The rabbi
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Wild that the winner of Freo v Geelong finishes 3rd, loser 7th.
Art Vandelay_
TheBrownDog
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Generous to the Baggers. They're a good chance to get rolled by Hawthorn next week.
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Win the next 3 games before an easy run to the finals thrashing Sydney in the Big Dance again
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I can see this happen. Last time a Cat won the Rising Star, Geelong won the flag
Pure_Ownage
TheBrownDog
In a normal year id 100 % agree with you but i think you have underestimated how bad the standard of the top 8 is this year. The results show it. We absolutely (if we play like we were at the start of the year and thats a big IF) could win 3-4 and the flag. Any of the 8 teams can this year.
Pure_Ownage
TheBrownDog
If port lose to either freo or adel we will pass them on % unless we get absolutely flogged by freo margin wise. So we will probably be 6th at worst.
But i take your point its a very close year.
catempire
Premium Platinum
I have Port losing to Freo in the above scenario. It’s not our of the question we make up 4% on them given we have Eagles in the last round, but it’s not likely.
- Aug 18, 2018
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I honestly don’t think anyone can win the flag! But someone has to so might as well be us!
Having said that Brisbane may well be in the middle of the cats version of 2022. Might not lose another home and away and win first final easy. It will then be down to preliminary final which could go either way.
Dogs are one bad game away from bubble bust as is Port (both of them could lose to Adelaide when they play them!)
Sydney of course do have time to self correct and make grand final. Just don’t see them winning unless playing another interstate.
It does look like it could be Sydney 1 and Brisbane 2 so someone will want to win first final to not have to play preliminary interstate…at the moment I would prefer to finish 4th and have a crack at Sydney week 1
- Aug 18, 2018
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Now that would be a good outcome
So this is basically the same as my ladder predictor.
I wanted to engineer 4th to play sydney week 1 but when I tried I ended up getting second or 6th depending on a couple of games
Pure_Ownage
TheBrownDog
Fyi if port beat melb and adel by around 20-30pts each but lose to freo by 20-30 pts.
So long as we lose to freo by around 20-30 pts and no more.
We would only need to beat st kilda and wce by about 50-60pts each to pass port on %.
In that scenario providing freo lose to gws and gws lose to brisbane it would also get us a top 4 spot.
So we can get top 4 if we lose to freo but only with a close loss-it cant be a huge margin.
Pure_Ownage
TheBrownDog
Mine has us losing to freo by about 20pts, beating wce and st kilda by 50-60 each and getting just enough % to get 4th.
Does need a couple of results our way though-2nd/3rd (if we beat freo) and 6th (if we lose to freo) are mathematically more likely.
Attachments
So much hinges on the St Kilda game in a few weeks. Ran through the ladder predictor and had us 4th with a win (even accounting for a loss to Freo) and as low as 9th if we get rolled. Vital we’re switched on from the first bounce in this one as it’s definitely a potential banana skin of sorts.
No matter how we feel about our performances, most Cats supporters at the start of the year would have bitten someone's hand off to be half a win (and %) below 2nd with 3 games to go.
Win all 3 (unlikely) and we will be top 4. Win 2 and there is still a chance we might. Win 1 and an away EF is on the cards.
Kobe Gryant
'07, '09, '11, '22
Next week far more vital for mine, albeit unlikely.
We win that, and the season opens up completely. Top 4 would completely be in our own hands.
Lose, and the St Kilda game becomes must win...but we can make the whole thing academic by just winning this week.
dazbroncos
Max Rooke Appreciation Society
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yeah when you see what he posts on mainboards and his own board ....
im letting it roll but it wont roll far.
Go Catters
Results have been a little odd, but there is still a group of teams that are in contention and those that are not. Geelong are definitely in the latter.
I would be pleasantly surprised if we won a final.
Geelong are no chance of winning the Flag.
I am not normally a pessimist but this side is a long way off those Geelong sides that fell apart (pre 2022) in finals in years past.
So what will happen this year could be ugly if by some chance we fall into 4th.
I actually think it has been a decent year. We have found a few players and competed well. The disappointing aspect has probably been too many games for Tuohy etc when we could have fast tracked development but overall been a positive season. Clark and Conway for different reasons been a little disappointing. They are both crucial for our overall list build.
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dazbroncos
Max Rooke Appreciation Society
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I still think we'll make Finals and due to ladder position (5-8) we'll make the semi finals weekend so 1 -2 finals for us feels right.
Good but just not good enough - and thats ok given what we have to work with curently.
But im all for getting Finals into Bruhn, Ollie Henry, Bowes, Neale, Mannagh, Dempsey, Humphries, Clohesy.
If we miss the 8 then it will be a wasted year - that Finals pressure and step up in level will be good for them to experience.
If we have 4 weeks of our best we can do it but thats highly highly optimistic.
GO Catters
Good but just not good enough - and thats ok given what we have to work with curently.
But im all for getting Finals into Bruhn, Ollie Henry, Bowes, Neale, Mannagh, Dempsey, Humphries, Clohesy.
If we miss the 8 then it will be a wasted year - that Finals pressure and step up in level will be good for them to experience.
If we have 4 weeks of our best we can do it but thats highly highly optimistic.
GO Catters
- Aug 18, 2018
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More than anything getting that taste of finals sets expectations. Huge win if we can get a finals appearance into the guys who've never been there - Dempsey, Humphries, Neale, Henry, maybe a game for Bowes/Clark/Clohesy
Cannot be understated what a win it is to get finals under the belt while in list transition
catempire
Premium Platinum
This is it for me.
I think they’ve actually managed Tuohy pretty well. He has been “managed” out half a dozen times. If we picked our finals team right now he wouldn’t be in it.
Conway is the biggest disappointment. That kind of injury for a player of his size is terribly concerning.
Uncovering Humphries and the progression of Holmes (wins the Carji?), Dempsey, Bruhn and Neale are all reasons for optimism. Mannagh another good find. I’m confident Clark will be a long term player.
Ultimately we are just a bit unbalanced. If we land Bailey Smith, which seems likely, we can start to get the midfield back in order next year.
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