Preview 2024 Rd 20 Carlton vs Port Adelaide Friday 26th July 7:40PM AEST @ Marvel Stadium

[Aphrodite]

Team is in …

3 Changes

AFL team news: Three big additions

Mitch McGovern is among a trio of inclusions for Friday night football.

www.carltonfc.com.au

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[Juddernaut08]

He's due a big 10-goal haul to seal the Coleman, I reckon. Though I'd be equally happy, if not happier, to see a smart game from him with 5+ goal assists.

hope to see Martin back soon. I hope once we have 3 legitimate targets down there we can do what North did and isolate the smallest defender in the goal square.

Charlie is arguably the best contested mark in the game, but it's easier for most no.1 defenders to spoil a long high ball to a wrestling contest than it is for even the best mark to take it cleanly.

 

[teagueyubeauty]

As always, such stats should always be viewed with some degree of context.

Last 11 results (most recent first, working backwards):
(2024)
- beat St Kilda (62-60)
(2023)

• lost to Carlton (72-122)
• beat Bulldogs (107-85)
• beat St Kilda (83-76)

(2022)
- beat Essendon (146-62)
(2021 - COVID Hubs)

• beat Bulldogs (66-64)
• beat GWS (100-73)
• beat Collingwood (97-69)
• beat St Kilda (74-61)
• beat Hawthorn (87-53)
• beat North Melbourne (117-65)

2024, St Kilda are rubbish.
2023, Port were very good, finishing third on the ladder, we belted them, and the Dogs and Saints were mid-table sides.
2022, Essendon were rubbish.
2021, Port were very good, finishing third on the ladder, Roos, Pies and Hawks were all bottom 6, Saints and Giants were mid-table sides (and Giants game was a neutral venue), only Bulldogs were a top 6 side and that game was a tight one.

There's also, as you can expect from the media, selective sampling. Why is 2021 relevant to the discussion? Cause Port won 6 games there that year and it makes the 10-1 record look impressive. The previous 11 games they went 5-6, so of course we'll just look at the last 11

Of their last 11 games at Marvel, they've won 5 games against shit teams, 4 games against mid-tables sides in years that Port themselves were running hot, 1 game against a strong side, and got done to the tune of 50 points by the mighty Blues when we got our shit together last season.

If we had a record like that at say Gold Coasts ground we’d go in extremely confident, this is an intangible that Port can take confidence in.

I guess we’ll see by about 10pm tonight


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[teagueyubeauty]

Good Cunners number, good omen.

Just put 50 on him to get 30 and kick 3. Nice payday for me, Lol.

Seriously, Blues by 16 points.

Did you name your own odds?


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[The Old Dark Navy's]

If we had a record like that at say Gold Coasts ground we’d go in extremely confident, this is an intangible that Port can take confidence in.

I guess we’ll see by about 10pm tonight


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Having that record at Carrara would mean we had beaten Gold Coast each time. I think it's only their record against us that matters.

We'd like playing in SA more if we played the Eagles there, but I'm not sure it would matter as much against the Crows.

 

[Sweet Seventeen]

Did you name your own odds?


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Have to be 150 to 1, don't think he has ever got it 30 times in a game ever.

Just havin' some fun. Off work for a few day's, with a sore back. Getting old, I am afraid.

 

[ctwenty1]

Have to be 150 to 1, don't think he has ever got it 30 times in a game ever.

Just havin' some fun. Off work for a few day's, with a sore back. Getting old, I am afraid.

But your name is sweet seventeen

Confused

 

[DangerousD]

I really hope Cerra doesnt spend much time at half back tonight, i thought he cost us a few goals last week, with really sub par efforts of attacking the ball and opposition, id much prefer Cincotta there, in saying that, i hope if Cincotta tags anyone, its Houston, keep it simple, no getting lost on changeovers with mids if tagging a mid, just do a job on their outlet from defence.

Cunners the sub again please.

Two decent outs for us, but Gov is a good inclusion and Pitto is solid, no excuses.

 

[4flagsin5yrs]

Latest with the bookies (Sportsbet):

Blues 1.50

Port 2.53.

(gamble responsibly)

 

[AndyLucimitis]

hope to see Martin back soon. I hope once we have 3 legitimate targets down there we can do what North did and isolate the smallest defender in the goal square.

Charlie is arguably the best contested mark in the game, but it's easier for most no.1 defenders to spoil a long high ball to a wrestling contest than it is for even the best mark to take it cleanly.

I reckon Harry is the best contested mark at the moment but a nice problem to have.


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[AndyLucimitis]

Real nervous about this one. Think we need to finish top 2 and to do that, tonight is simply must win.

Being a pessimist I’m doing some mental gymnastics at the moment that if we can’t finish top 2 are we better to be 5th


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[AndyLucimitis]

Latest with the bookies (Sportsbet):

Blues 1.50

Port 2.53.

(gamble responsibly)

And the line is 2 goals ?


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[Revenant1965]

 

[SOS Rules]

No one thinks we will go with the Cincotta tag on Butters starting at half forward like last game?

That worked a treat last time. Not sure why we wouldn't do it again.

 

[Graffy4242]

Port have won 10/11 at Marvel. I just cannot understand why we play home games there instead of the MCG. If we lose tonight, top two is gone. Surely, the club can see that if this game was being played at the MCG, we'd have a better chance at winning? Marvel is a neutral venue at best. We absolutely should not be playing home games there.

Anyone, anywhere, any time

GO BLUES

 

[swuzzlebubble]

But your name is sweet seventeen

Confused

Says Mr 20

 

[4flagsin5yrs]

And the line is 2 goals ?


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yep

 

[Sweet Seventeen]

But your name is sweet seventeen

Confused

Yeah, would'nt we all like to be seventeen again.

 

[myblueroan]

I have a feeling
That tonite's gonna be a good good
night.

 

[swuzzlebubble]

Is there a "captain's run" or anything today?

 

[Revenant1965]

Is there a "captain's run" or anything today?

Starts at 7.40pm, ends with 3 Brownlow votes and a W

 

[Sam The Doc]

Being a pessimist I’m doing some mental gymnastics at the moment that if we can’t finish top 2 are we better to be 5th


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It’s a free hit though if we get done in perth or Sydney.. one bad game in 5th and it’s goodnight Irene

 

[katmanblue]

Good morning all


and no injuries!



View attachment 2059066

Like clockwork.

On SM-F946B using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[JJBagger]

That worked a treat last time. Not sure why we wouldn't do it again.

The only thing is that Williams and Fantasia played a big part in keeping Houston and Farrell quiet. And neither of them are going to be on the field tonight

 

[swuzzlebubble]

That worked a treat last time. Not sure why we wouldn't do it again.

Being too predictable isn't always a good thing

 

[ctwenty1]

Says Mr 20

excuse me

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