- Apr 18, 2005
- 31,450
- 27,426
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
Pies by 46.
Just too good this year.
Just too good this year.
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AFLW 2024 - Round 6 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
What would the figure look like if you only had Collingwood in that figure? We have had some recent long winning streaks against Essendon and Carlton.Collingwood, Essendon and Carlton combined have won 5 of their last 40 matches v Richmond.
Collingwood have lost 26 of their last 90 games against Carlton, Richmond and Essendon combined, though that's pretty consistent with our all-time ratio against those clubs so nothing special, relatively speaking...What would the figure look like if you only had Collingwood in that figure? We have had some recent long winning streaks against Essendon and Carlton.
4 of the last 11/12? While that figure still looks good for Richmond, it doesn't look anywhere near as bad if Essendon or Carlton were in the figure.
Collingwood, Essendon and Carlton combined have won 5 of their last 40 matches v Richmond. Therefore the correct odds of Collingwood winning are 7 to 1, or $8.0.
Looking grim for the TigesPies $1.45
Tigers $2.75
What would the figure look like if you only had Collingwood in that figure? We have had some recent long winning streaks against Essendon and Carlton.
4 of the last 11/12? While that figure still looks good for Richmond, it doesn't look anywhere near as bad if Essendon or Carlton were in the figure.
Mark it down as a likely loss, not gonna win them all and we don't need to. No shame in losing to the Pies who are arguably the best side in it at this point in time.Looking grim for the Tiges
Only positive is literally everyone thinks the Pies will pump us.
Before Round 1, Cats were $1.53 to Collingwood’s $2.50. I’m not subscribing to these bloody odds, let alone so early in the season.Looking grim for the Tiges
Only positive is literally everyone thinks the Pies will pump us.
I’d love to see the free kick count in those games.What a strange pull.
Pies are 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from the last 6 against the Tigers.
Probably nowhere near high as your tear count.I’d love to see the free kick count in those games.
I’d love to see the free kick count in those games.
Why separate them? They are the 3 peloton clubs trying to chase Victoria's biggest club, Richmond, who has strung together 6 years over 100k members, and has an unbroken run of 7 consecutive MCG finals(not including Grand Finals) with attendances above 90,000. None of the peloton clubs have had a run above 2 of those in the AFL era. If you try to separate the peloton clubs as you are suggesting you will introduce all sorts of variance based on non-repeatable factors. When Richmond plays a peloton club, they lose 5 of their last 40 matches. Collingwood is a peloton club. That is all you need to know.
When you want to ascertain the correct probability for something occurring Frank, you need to source the right sample to construct the equation.
Plus this is clearly Collingwood's Grand Final, and we know their record in Grand Finals, winning one from their last 14. So really we could say that 7 to 1 is not generous enough odds, and they should in reality be 13 to 1. But I like to be mean with my odds.
Collingwood winning one GF from their last 14 GF's..? 1990 & 2010 were Pie premierships. GF appearances in 1990, 2002, 2003, 2010 (x 2 including draw), 2011, 2018.Why separate them? They are the 3 peloton clubs trying to chase Victoria's biggest club, Richmond, who has strung together 6 years over 100k members, and has an unbroken run of 7 consecutive MCG finals(not including Grand Finals) with attendances above 90,000. None of the peloton clubs have had a run above 2 of those in the AFL era. If you try to separate the peloton clubs as you are suggesting you will introduce all sorts of variance based on non-repeatable factors. When Richmond plays a peloton club, they lose 5 of their last 40 matches. Collingwood is a peloton club. That is all you need to know.
When you want to ascertain the correct probability for something occurring Frank, you need to source the right sample to construct the equation.
Plus this is clearly Collingwood's Grand Final, and we know their record in Grand Finals, winning one from their last 14. So really we could say that 7 to 1 is not generous enough odds, and they should in reality be 13 to 1. But I like to be mean with my odds.
Collingwood winning one GF from their last 14 GF's..? 1990 & 2010 were Pie premierships. GF appearances in 1990, 2002, 2003, 2010 (x 2 including draw), 2011, 2018.
Lol, so you don't count the draw win?You will find EM, that from your last 14 actual Grand Finals, you have won only one of those. Nobody was talking about mulligan matches, they are not Grand Finals.
Lol, so you don't count the draw win?
Yes and Pies won 1990 & 2010. That's 2 by my calculations. 6 (7 including draw) past GF appearances for 2 premierships.When I am counting up Grand Final wins I look at all the Grand Finals and count how many the team has won. Radical I know, but that is my controversial method.
I’m sure that had nothing to do with the way Richmond plays their footy. How many weeks did Broad get…?I’d love to see the free kick count in those games.
Who mentioned Premierships? I wrote this is clearly Collingwood's Grand Final and we know their record in Grand Finals. For the record:Yes and Pies won 1990 & 2010. That's 2 by my calculations. 6 (7 including draw) past GF appearances for 2 premierships.
Pies have won it already, just put your feet up. It’s all over, we’re cooked.Before Round 1, Cats were $1.53 to Collingwood’s $2.50. I’m not subscribing to these bloody odds, let alone so early in the season.
It’s an unpredictable game, let alone when it’s the big 4 playing each other and upsets are always so common.
Later in the year I'd be bullish about the Tigers matching and beating the Pies , but timing is everything and our ducks aren't lining up ATM