Autopsy AFL 2024 Round 1 - Cats v Saints Sat March 16th 7:30pm AEDT (GMHBA)

[Wosh]

AFL 2024 PREMIERSHIP SEASON ROUND 1
GEELONG V ST KILDA
SATURDAY MARCH 16TH 7:30PM AEDT (GMHBA STADIUM)

Live scores on BigFooty during the match.

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Teams
CATS

B: T. Stewart, S. De Koning, Z. Guthrie
HB: M. O’Connor, J. Henry, M. Duncan
C: M. Blicavs, P. Dangerfield - C, M. Holmes
HF: B. Close, T. Stengle, T. Hawkins
F: J. Cameron, O. Dempsey, O. Henry
FOLL: R. Stanley, T. Bruhn, J. Clark

I/C: J. Kolodjashnij, T. Atkins, Z. Tuohy, G. Miers, S. Mannagh
EMG: O. Mullin, S. Neale, B. Parfitt

SAINTS

B: L. Stocker, Z. Cordy, C. Wilkie
HB: J. Battle, R. Bonner, N. Wanganeen-Milera
C: M. Wood, S. Ross, B. Hill
HF: D. Wilson, L. Henry, M. Owens
F: J. Higgins, M. King, T. Membrey
FOLL: R. Marshall, J. Steele - C, B. Crouch

I/C: M. Windhager, L. Collard, R. Byrnes, M. Phillipou, C. Sharman
EMG: A. Schoenmaker, H. Garcia, A. Caminiti



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Share your football wisdom here

​

 

[g_TRAIN]

Wilson to debut and Bonner to debut for the club.

Looking forward to this, it's our best chance to beat them down there in a very, very long time.

Sinclair is a test, probably odds on to play as long as he makes it through training on Thursday.

 

[TheUnicorn]

Saints by a little.

 

[TheKanga]

Hard to win at the cattery and this will be no different.
Cats comfortably for me, especially with Saints defense somewhat depleted.

 

[Jimmy Yamazaki]

First time playing with the stadium being complete and can hold 40K so looking forward to seeing it.

 

[Zevon]

Nothing against the Cats but I’m not buying into this being a rebound year for them at all; think they’ll continue to struggle.

Worrying that St Kilda haven’t won down there since 1999 (11 straight losses in that time) but streaks like that break eventually and this looks their best chance.

 

[CatToTheFuture]

If I was in a car crash before the game and missed the result you could tell me it was a 10 goal win to the cats and I would be unsurprised.

You could also tell me it was a 10 goal win to the saints and I would also be unsurprised.

 

[Mr Meow]

Saints first up is a good test, especially if they have Sinclair.

Guthrie is a big miss for Geelong and usually Rohan would be, but it's a good chance for Clark and Dempsey to prove their best 22 credentials.

Saints have a few injury issues too though.

The Geelong squad overall is in better shape than this time last year. I'd be disappointed if they were slow out of the blocks with a game at home first up.

Geelong by 2 goals.

 

[Cleansweep17]

Cats by 30 too classy for the Saints

 

[Murraj1966]

Would love to get a win at Pork Barrel Park it’s been a long time and this is probably our best chance in a while

Saints by 15, Wilson with the rising star nom

 

[projectv]

Nothing against the Cats but I’m not buying into this being a rebound year for them at all; think they’ll continue to struggle.

Worrying that St Kilda haven’t won down there since 1999 (11 straight losses in that time) but streaks like that break eventually and this looks their best chance.

We didn't play them at their home ground for the majority of the time we were very good so this stat doesn't really mean that much.

But it'd still be nice to break the drought. Can't wait to see Darcy Wilson tear it up.

 

[Lethal09]

Geelong to be too strong at skilled stadium.

Cats by 19 points

 

[Jackington]

We didn't play them at their home ground for the majority of the time we were very good so this stat doesn't really mean that much.

But it'd still be nice to break the drought. Can't wait to see Darcy Wilson tear it up.

This is a big part of what skews the "incredibly good at Kardinia Park" stat in Geelong's favour. More games against Victorian teams when they're strong rather than just "Weak Victorian Teams + Interstate Away Teams" would paint a clearer picture.

That said they've also been quite good at Victorian grounds in general since 2004.

131 - 1 - 23 (84%) at Kardinia Park
57 - 1 - 11 (72%) at Docklands
77 - 0 - 43 (64%) at the MCG

I guess what I'm saying is that the Kardinia Park factor is probably slightly overrated, for a team that has been good everywhere for 20 years who only plays travelling teams or teams who have spent a couple of years out of finals contention at the ground.

Anyway, Sinclair out and Stanley in compared to last time these two teams met has me thinking Geelong by 3-4 goals, but honestly it could be 10 goals either way and I still wouldn't be surprised.

 

[Sttew]

First game before close to 40,000 and the new Joel Selwood stand + I can't remember when Saints last won at Geelong, so expecting a close dour affair for most of the day with Cats prevailing by 17 points.

 

[Atomboy]

This is a big part of what skews the "incredibly good at Kardinia Park" stat in Geelong's favour. More games against Victorian teams when they're strong rather than just "Weak Victorian Teams + Interstate Away Teams" would paint a clearer picture.

That said they've also been quite good at Victorian grounds in general since 2004.

131 - 1 - 23 (84%) at Kardinia Park
57 - 1 - 11 (72%) at Docklands
77 - 0 - 43 (64%) at the MCG

I guess what I'm saying is that the Kardinia Park factor is probably slightly overrated, for a team that has been good everywhere for 20 years who only plays travelling teams or teams who have spent a couple of years out of finals contention at the ground.

Anyway, Sinclair out and Stanley in compared to last time these two teams met has me thinking Geelong by 3-4 goals, but honestly it could be 10 goals either way and I still wouldn't be surprised.

Hmmm I dunno, Collingwood haven’t been beaten down there this century.

 

[g_TRAIN]

Sinclair officially out.

 

[Lingsface]

A good place to play at Kilda for us we will win the contests and have a bit more size but they are a quicker side so the space will favour us.

 

[Mr Meow]

Sinclair officially out.

Captain Obvious here but that's a big loss. He obliterated us last time.

 

[g_TRAIN]

Captain Obvious here but that's a big loss. He obliterated us last time.

Yeah, it's a big loss. We might see Shoenmaker debut not as a direct replacement position-wise but in his place.

Ross hinted at such in his presser.

 

[The 747]

Looking forward to seeing the King v SDK matchup - and always good to watch Mitch Owens.

However it is rarely good to watch Ross Lyon football.

Given we didn't have a late finish to last year we should be raring to go. A loss and BF will be judgemental.

 

[Chief]

Teams Up in OP

 

[Zevon]

A good place to play at Kilda for us we will win the contests and have a bit more size but they are a quicker side so the space will favour us.

Genuine question - will you win the contests though? Your midfield’s looking a little thin, especially now with no Guthrie. Bowes not named either. Big ask going up against Steele and Crouch. Marshall comfortably has Stanley covered as well.

Think a lot of people are sleeping on the Saints a little in this game.

 

[Footy Smarts]

Your know your midfield is thin when Bowes is out with a calf and your immediate reaction is that it's a big loss.

 

[g_TRAIN]

Collard to debut. Hopefully he shows some of what we saw from him in match sim and in the VFL, very exciting prospect.

 

[The 747]

Genuine question - will you win the contests though? Your midfield’s looking a little thin, especially now with no Guthrie. Bowes not named either. Big ask going up against Steele and Crouch. Marshall comfortably has Stanley covered as well.

Think a lot of people are sleeping on the Saints a little in this game.

Just hard to tip against Geelong at home. We do lose games there, but we win most.